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We've all seen some of those
other
sites; their 'blog' started about six weeks ago and has maybe 12 posts.
Well, they've to start somewhere...
Here at the CoinMine, we've been analyzing things in
quite a bit of detail for the past nine years; and we've been
spot-on more than a random roll of the dice
would indicate, since 2000!. Browse below through a few hundred pages of
observations, picks, calls, diatribes,
rants, and raves and mine your own nuggets.
SPOTLIGHT ON: The
mercury Mewl - The Internet's Favorite Demi-god
8.30.10 Why the Banking Act of 2010 is
Only designed to spark further Class Warfare
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/93ff41de-b457-11df-8208-00144feabdc0.html
8.29.10 Thanks
to you, our Customers!
Our
sales have done really well this summer, traditionally the slow time for
precious metals and coins.
In
part I know we are benefitting from larger trends: the precious metals
have generally out performed every other market for a solid decade.
Was nice to be right about that one, eh?
8.24.10
How to Devalue a Currency
Step One: Take the specie backing away.
Status: Completed in 1913/1964/1971
How Fallen Empires Devalue their
Currency, leading to collapse
"Silver coins were
a basic medium of exchange during the empire, and one of the major Roman
coins, a denarius (plural, denarii), equaled four of the smaller silver
coins called sesterces. During the reign of Augustus (circa 30 B.C.), a
silver denarius weighed 5.7 gm (.20 oz) and was 99 percent pure. By AD
193 it had dropped to 4.3 gm (.15 oz) and was only 70 percent pure. The
deficit spending of later emperors nearly halved the silver value of the
coinage.”
The
soldier-emperors who followed the Severan rulers continued to treat the
military generously, but as tax collections fell and silver mines were
exhausted, imperial funds disappeared. The treasury melted down
available coins and issued new money that had less real value. By 270
the silver content of the coinage was only 1 percent. This devaluation
of the currency soon had a terrible effect on Rome. As money became
worthless, much of the empire was reduced to a barter economy. The state
collected food, animals, and other supplies instead of tax money. "
http://www.crystalinks.com/romanempire.html
The
marketplace last devalued paper relative to metal in 1964 and 1965.
According to Burton Hobson in International
Guide to Coin Colleting, [First Edition. New American Library.
New York. 1966]:
"..we
had a coin shortage so severe that commercial banks at one point were
forced to offer a few cents' premium for every dollar's worth of coins
turned in, so that payrolls could be met and change made to the penny."
Step Two: Remove Larger Denomination Currency so that all
Transactions Must go through a Central Clearing House (federal reserve
system).
Status: Check. Completed via removal of the $10,000 $5,000 $1,000
and $500 dollar bills, in 1934.
Step Three: Eliminate Coinage
Status: Almost complete.
Should
the penny be removed from commerce?
well,
A one
ounce gold American Eagle has a denomination of $50
whereas
the market value is roughly $1120.
Is this a
problem?
Um, yep.
But don't
take my word for it...
Let's see
what Charles Jenkinson had to say about the general subject in
A Treatise on Coins of the Realm:
"A
difficulty then existed, and continues to exist, which must necessarily
be removed, before any plan can be adopted for the improvement of the
silver I have already observed, that silver and gold, in reference to
each other, are estimated at Your Majesty's mint at a different value or
price, than these metals are generally sold for at market. As long as
this difference subsists, both of these metals will not be brought, in a
sufficient quantity to the mint to be coined: that mineral will only be
brought which is estimated at the lowest value with reference to the
other: and Coins of both metal cannot be sent into circulation at the
same time, without exposing the public to the traffic of one sort of
coin against the other; by which the traders in money would make a
considerable profit, to the great detriment of Your Majesty's subjects.
And
this mischievous practice, and the frauds committed in carrying it on,
are the more to be apprehended in this country, where the Mint is free:
- that is: where every one has the right to bring gold or silver to the
mine to be converted into coin; not at the charge of the person who so
brings it, but of the public: for,...the charge of coining Gold and
Silver has been born by the public; and, contrary to the practice of
most other countries, no seignorage has been taken.
To
prevent this evil, it is necessary to determine, whether there must be a
standard, or superior Coin, made of one metal only; and whether the
coins of other metals must not be made, and take their value, with
reference to this standard Coin, and become subservient to it; - and, in
such case, of what metal this standard Coin, to which the pre-eminence
and preference are to be given, should be made."
Now,
substitute copper for silver (or metal - such as it is, for paper notes)
and talk about removing the modern cent from circulation...
In the
1950's, Japan introduced aluminum coinage into circulation for the first
time in her history.
Source:
Coins through the Ages. Laurence Brown.
Bonanza Books. New York. 1961
Don't
take my word for it, Part II:
The
Silver Dollar Epitaph
Born -
1794
Died -
1935
Buried -
1964
- William L. Graham Jr.
The Silver Crisis. Hickory Press. Lake Forest.
Il. 1964. 134 pages. Softcover.
"At
the end of February, 1933, just before we went off the gold standard,
there were in the United States a little over 8 Billion Dollars of money
(aside from that held in the US Treasury). Of this sum about two-and a
third billion dollars consisted of gold coins and gold certificates."
-
Edwin W. Kemmerer.
Kemmerer on Money. John
Winston Company. Chicago. 1933. Hardcover. 197 pages.
With the following inscription:
-Dedicated to the Memory of
Grover Cleveland: A fearless and valiant champion of sound money.
No wonder
Cleveland is seldom mentioned in the top five presidential rankings...
"The
evil effects of such decline (silver and gold against available
commercial monetary expanse) were enormously increased by the
shortsighted, crafty manipulation of currency by the european rulers.
..and by the inability of the age to understand, or even to perceive,
the hidden working of two metals see-sawing against each other -acting
as levers against each cutting each others throats. The discovery of
America corrected the fall of prices and saved europe, but it left her
rulers as deadly ignorant as before of the workings of bi-metalism to
give a name to what they had not even perceived as a phenomenon, much
less system."
The
History of Currency: 1252-1896. W.A. Shaw.
Step Four: Establish a two-tier currency system, one for
international settlements and one for internal trade.
Status:
Partially completed via the Bank of International
Settlements. The next step will be to establish one currency for trade
and one currency for day to day transactions.
The
day to day currency (a newly introduced red-back) will immediately
plummet in value and continue to erode until, eventually, the public
will abandon it all together.
The
currency for international trade (the greenback) will be backed by
actual US assets. This has already occurred to some degree via locking
up western BLM-managed lands containing mineral ores for eventually
hand-off to the Chinese.
A better
solution, but politically unpalatable, is for the US to call a spade a
spade and devalue the US 'dollar' (the Federal Reserve Note) by one
significant digit. At one point a (large) cent could buy a loaf of
bread. A loaf of bread nowadays is $3. So, = knock off two digits from
the dollar, and that FRN would be worth what a post 1982 cent is worth
today - one cent. Although, you would still need 3.5 cents to buy the
loaf of bread, look at it this way, now the loaf comes with slices so it
is 'value added', part of the productivity daydream nightmare that has
allowed flawed logic to devalue the dollar some 97%.
At some
point the Red Note FRN will circulate outside the country at some
discount, or premium to, the domestically traded greenback. We may as
well position ourselves for this eventuality and influence its due
course to whatever degree possible.
Step Five: The greenback stops trading. Most citizens readily
accept the Iris scan and carbon credit allocation system. For those
that won’t (religious objection or those in rural environments) the
Government takes, instead of your useless scrip, actual material such as
ammunition, food, stored goods, etc.
The
way this is introduced is by first eliminating, or more likely, making
non-palatable, any non-government spending accounts.
For
example, Phil Grande played a great obama quote yesterday, to wit: “I
don’t have a problem with folks that have money in IRAs”. Well, isn’t
that benevolent of our dear leader. Of course, next quote will have the
modifier (..provided they are already fully invested in the government
IRA/MSA/HAS/MEDPLAN/ first”.)
nah, Could Never Happen Now/Here…
8.24.10 Today's Lousy Housing Numbers
Real Estate: Single Family Home
Started looking again for a SFH to buy/re-hab/rent.
last two properties I have penciled up and then called the listing agent already
had multiple qualified offers (*and they didn't want anohter offer!).
Neither were on the market more than 60 days, both had significant problems to
boot.
Real Estate: Commercial/Industrial
Helped out a local water district looking to rebuild a water
reservoir. Some of their quotes look like they are coming in AT cost, just
to stay afloat.
Not good...
Water operators becoming scarce. This year the State of
California dropped its standards on who can disinfect/treat water from a
Treatment License to a Distribution License. Much easier
qualifications. Of course, the state only offers the written test in
English, so the qualified applicant pool, even for the minimum license, keeps
dropping.
8.24.10
More regulations, eh?
The regulations we have are not
enforced, or are unenforceable.
The regulatory
bodies we have vary between corrupt and incompetent. Harry Markopolos
provided the Securities and Exchange mathematical proof why Madoff was
running a ponzi shceme. Harry pursued the case FOR 9 YEARS; SEC refused
to even begin an investigation.
Furthermore,
Congress just
shoveled another 1,500 pages of ‘financial reform’ down our throat – the
largest expansion of financial bureaucracy in over 70 years. Yah,
that’ll help.
You
really wanna change things? Starve the beast. Pull your $ out of the
bank and put into a credit union.
8.24.10
Check out Monday’s
Kitco podcast with my fave crush Alexis:
http://www.kitco.com/Exclusive-News/
She
has on Phil Streible, Senior Analyst with Lind-Waldoock.
Seriously, the guy looks about 28. WTF does he know, a paid for degree
and nepotism based job? How many articles have you read that he’s
written over the past decade? Was he right? Go to the JVs and
prognosticate about GOOG.
Pretty faces and prettier words
Blunting the take of sharpest swords
8.23.10 SilverBourse.com
Makes the scene. They have some good information here
on Australian mint silver coinage production for the past ten years:
http://silverbourse.com/mintage-information-australian-lunar-silver-coins/
8.21.10 International Mine Water
Association
http://www.imwa.info/imwa2010/index.php
Conference in Nova Scotia, Set 5-9
8.20.10 $50k historic gold bar stole via
smash and grab?!
http://www.miningweekly.com/article/gold-bullion-stolen-from-florida-treasure-museum-2010-08-20
8.20.10 Make your own: metal casting in
the back yard
http://www.backyardmetalcasting.com/index.html
8.20.10 Public Perception and Political
Environment for Mining, worldwide
http://www.miningweekly.com/article/attitudes-becoming-more-hostile-to-mining-in-80-of-jurisdictions---fraser-institute-2010-08-20
Perception and support in
Canada declines dramatically.
Only Botswana improving...
8.20.10 High
Denomination U.S. Notes Remain Popular With Collectors
By Kathy Lawrence
Three of the four highest prices realized for
notes in the recent Heritage
ANA Signature Currency Auction, part of the official ANA World's
Fair of Money auction in Boston, were high denomination notes. The top
selling note was a
Fr. 2221-B $5,000 1934 Federal Reserve Note PCGS Very Choice New 64PPQ.
That note realized $103,500 with the 15% buyer's premium. A
Fr. 2231-A $10,000 1934 Federal Reserve Note PCGS Extremely Fine 45
brought $69,000. Another $5,000, this one a Series 1928 example from the
Atlanta district, a
Fr. 2220-F $5,000 1928 Federal Reserve Note PMG Very Fine 20 crossed
the auction block for $63,250.
Per Heritage Collectors
New, August 19. 2010
8.20.10
Southern Nevada Bank Ratings
http://www.lvrj.com/business/nevada-lenders-rank-low-59603082.html
The
pressure is still on, and how.
8.20.10 The Administration to Give more
Money to the Banks (your money!)
Because that’s what the administration does best!
http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-money/banking-financial-institutions/114349-banks-to-benefit-most-from-white-house-program-to-stave-off-foreclosures
8.20.10 Electronic Frontier Foundation
TO Verizon
ETISALAT CERTIFICATE AUTHORITY THREATENS WEB SECURITY
EFF's open letter urges Cybertrust, a division of Verizon, to
evaluate whether the trusted SSL CA certificate it issued to United Arab
Emirate-based Etisalat should be revoked. Etisalat recently threatened to
discontinue service to BlackBerry users after Blackberry developer Research in
Motion refused to provide the UAE government with surveillance back doors in its
encryption services.
This follows a mislabeled firmware update to approximately
100,000 UAE BlackBerry subscribers that contained malicious surveillance
software in July 2009.
For more information and the full text of the letter go to:
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2010/08/open-letter-verizon
8.20.10
How your shopping cart spies on
you:
http://blog.cleveland.com/metro/2010/08/city_of_cleveland_to_use_high-.html
8.20.10 Leon, Mexico: The trial run
for the complete surveillance state
What life under the North
American Union will be like in 10 years:
http://www.fastcompany.com/1683302/iris-scanners-create-the-most-secure-city-in-the-world-welcomes-big-brother
http://www.engadget.com/2010/08/19/leon-mexico-to-use-biometric-scanners-in-all-aspects-of-life/
8.19.10
Cool Website: IdahoNationals.com
Indeed the mining
west produced treasure that we can still mine!
Wallace Id is one
of my favorite mining towns in the country.
Here is a nugget mined near
that district, from Murray:

Looking around this page you
may just find the miner that dug up that nugget, and the mine from
whence it came:
http://www.murray-idaho.com/
Old mining town
postcards are fascinating. Photo techniques, real post cards, boomed
with the Idaho and Nevada boomtowns in the glory years of the
1880s-1910s.
As one example, Rhyolite sure is an
interesting place, even today. My favorite piece of mining ephemera is
from Rhyolite, actually, a sweepstakes entry.
The drive down Titus canyon from Rhyolite into
Death Valley proves one of my favorite back routes. The bottle house,
the railroad depot, the modern metal artwork all provide quite a scene
against a beautiful colored palette desert backdrop.
Here the Mining Union marches
in the glory days, just before Teddy Roosevelt sent in union troops to
break up the union for real.

Alas, the Nevada
National notes produced by the banks of these mining camps do not come cheap
(minimum 2,000 +, for just a good/very good). I’ve run across Reno,
Elko, Ely at
coin shows, etc, but prefer to put my collecting money into the
postcards, mining scripophily, ephemera and trade tokens.
Regarding national notes, the next book I plan to purchase is:
The Nevada
“Sixteen” National Banks and Their Mining Camps. Melvin Owen Warns.
1974.
8.19.10 Daybar Study: Average Investor
Returns unperform the market
http://www.grubmanfinancial.com/main/library/averageinvestor.html
8.19.10
Mining Magnates built the west.
The
minerals produced steel which formed the railroads and steelyards. The
gold and silver built the Comstock, and the Comstock built San
Francisco. The period of 1870s-1890s was THE single greatest period of
wealth and expansion in US history, bringing forth the singular societal
phenomenon called the ‘middle class’. This middle class in turn built
out our fine Republic into the pinnacle of political achievement,
education and scientific advancement Those were the days built upon
principle, by men of vision and drive, financed only by true specie:
gold, silver and copper; the blood of a healthy capitalistic society.
William A. Clark, the Copper
King of Montana
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/35266269/displaymode/1247?beginSlide=1/from/toolbar
The
cancers of today’s bailout mentality, deficit driven dereliction,
declining middle class and all the other ubiquitous signs of decay and
societal decline you see around your community are not by chance. The
bankers drove out honest legal money, installed a corporate controlled
fiat debt mechanism, and now hold you and your kin and neighbors in debt
over dozens of trillions of ‘dollars’ (federal reserve notes).
Long
live the honest miners, those who traded a day’s wage for an honest
dollar.
Not
all of us have forgotten, nor given up…
8.19.10
Nanosilver disinfectant under review by EPA
EPA is announcing a 45-day
public comment period for the draft document "Nanomaterial Case Study:
Nanoscale Silver in disinfectant Spray" (EPA/600/R-10/081). The document
is being issued by the National Center for Environmental Assessment
within EPA's Office of Research and Development.
The draft is intended to serve
as part of a process to help identify and prioritize scientific and
technical information that could be used in conducting comprehensive
environmental assessments of selected nanomaterials. The 45-day public
comment period begins August 13, 2010, and ends September 27, 2010. POC
is Office of Environmental Information Docket; telephone: 202-566-1752;
facsimile: 202-566-1753; or e-mail: ORD.Docket@epa.gov (Federal
Register: August 13, 2010 [Notices], Page 49487-49489).
8.15.10 Gold Coin Market sees continued Strength
Per the witness of
Doug Winter, upstanding and longtime nice gold piece purveyor:
Early date (i.e., pre-1834) gold
was almost non-existent. Even the low end,
overpriced stragglers that had been overhanging the
market seemed to have disappeared. I can’t remember
an ANA at which I saw fewer early gold coins nor a
major show that I purchased fewer.
There was extremely strong demand
for Type One double eagles. The coins that nearly
everyone seemed to want were common and somewhat
better dates in AU50 and up, especially in the
$2,000-7,500 price range. Demand was also strong for
interesting Type Ones in the $10,000-20,000 range.
Its hard to say what demand was like for expensive,
really great Type Ones as there were almost none to
be seen at the show.
Branch mint gold also was in
demand. I bought and sold a few interesting pieces
of Dahlonega at the show and had quite a few people
come to my table with specific wants. I searched
through dozens of dealers’ inventories in a Quest
for Crust and was unable to find more than a handful
of truly DWN-worthy coins.
http://www.coinlink.com/News/market-reports/some-observations-about-the-2010-boston-ana-show/
Nice gold coins
are rarely hard to sell...
8.15.10
Mainstream Media Valuation
Last
week newsweek sold for 1$. Basically completely bankrupt and void of
value. The liabilities far exceeded what 'worth' the company had. Only
reason the rag is still propped up is to float negative press about your
countrymen.
I suppose someone (just one person on the planet) was still willing to
pay 1$ for newsweek's opinion.
Remember in highschool when my lame history teacher made us buy both
Time and Newsweek to keep up with 'current events'. Took about three
weeks before I realized they ran the same exact story, with the same
exact spin, just a few pictures taken from different angles.
Pretty convincing evidence for this 15 year old student that the Powers
That Be had locked up the press tight as a drum. Voluble lesson, served
me well, thanks lame ass teacher for that unintended teachable moment.
8.14.10
Skeletons in the 'Health Care Bill' start falling out of the closet
I
have been following this one closely because it will add new
requirements for me.
1)
There are No New Taxes
There are no new taxes (almost everything is already taxed. What
currently is not taxed will be taxed soon after Obama’s tax writing
committee [official doublespeak: US National Debt Commission] comes out
with their proposal right after this fall’s election. A central plank
to ‘reduce the debt’ will be the creation of the Value Added Tax).
The
VAT - a tax on every transaction - will be a central plank, count on it,
no matter how it is couched.
You will be forced into the position of monitoring other's financial
transactions and acting on behest of the IRS.
The IRS does not need to be ready to enforce regulations.
Like all rules and regulations, they were not designed to be universally
followed - only SELECTIVELY ENFORCED. You will carry the water for the
IRS at the threat of CRIMINAL and CIVIL PERSECUTION (or, as is more
standard, threats of such).
The 2011 and 2012
provisions are setting up a mechanism whereby we all report on each
other to the IRS. This process and mechanism is a rollout pre-ceding the
VAT.
The
IRS is already preparing for the brush back from the small business
owners in the US (i.e. the new dinosaurs).
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-irs-arms-60-of-its-investigators-with-12-gauge-pump-actions-guns-2010-2
2) The
Liability is on the Buyer
THE
BUYER is required to file the 1099 for YOUR purchases. Purchase covered
are anything over $600. If you try to make more than one serial
purchase of $595 to get under the trigger, that will cause you a fine
also (Just as the current reporting cap is $10k and serial financial
deals to avid that amount are a federal crime, called ‘structuring’,
just to catch al Qaeda dontch know.)
That’s right, now YOU must acquire ‘personal information’ (social
security number{SSN}) from anyone that sells you something over $600.
And
when you buy…Sure, you WANT to give your SSN to dozens of merchants
every year, RIGHT?
SURE
THEY WILL ‘change’ the LAW.
You
think WalMart or Apple or Microsoft is going to have to follow this
provision? HAH har!, funny.
No,
the burden IS ON YOU; the citizen small business owner.
Big
corporations have lobbyists and lawyers to avoid this type of thing.
That’s what your tax dollars go to, new regulations that further
increase your paperwork burden.
3) The
Burden is On YOU
The
burden of being up to date on tax law is placed on the tax payer. That
is why those in the tax industry fight so hard (e.g. write new
legislation via their lobbyists on K street) for new incomprehensible
regulations, so that you then must hire a ‘professionals’ to sift
through the garbage and render a ‘tax strategy’.
Of
course, the IRS loves new regulations, especially poor ones. Nobody
writes regulations so that you can effectively follow them, regs are
written so they CAN BE SELECTIVELY ENFORCED.
Rule
of Law no longer exists; unevenly enforced regulations replaced that old
relic canon.
4)
The Law Impinges upon the Small Business in Favor of Big Business
Since you don’t give much to the political campaigns, you are simply an
unnecessary waste of resources.
Mom
and pop vintage stores, ebayers, pocket vest coin dealers, antique
store, pawn shops, will be CRUSHED because THEY must collect SSN from
Everyone that sells over $600 in one year (less than HALF a one ounce
gold coin!).
Oh,
BTW, the $600 figure is CUMULATIVE over the year. You can’t sell a
quarter ounce now and a quarter ounce later to avoid the trigger.
Big
businesses typically only buy form 10-20 vendors/distributors, so its
not like they can’t have their CPA and accountant send out 20 more forms
on top of the stack of paperwork. How many accountants work in your
business that are staffed to collect SSN for a few hundred buyers off
the street so that them may in turn send a 1099 to the IRS for that same
purchase? (Oh yea, keep those files for seven years in a separate box
when THAT audit comes knocking).
The
American Institute of CPAs already put an objection into the rule making
deliberative process b.c. they don’t want every useless citizen calling
them up and asking questions.
6)
Don’t like the 10% VAT?
Good, because they govt wants you to pay 28% instead!
See
the National Taxpayer's Advocate paper criticizing this law.
(28% ‘withholding tax’ (same as capital gains rate, go figure) applies
if the seller does not provide a valid Taxpayer's Identifying Number or
SSN).
5)
Of course they will REPEAL some sections for the ‘hardworking american
families’. Specifically, the caring politicians will write in these
exemptions before the presidential election to show how much they care:
-
Gas
- Groceries at the market
- crap you buy at chinamart for Christmas presents
Let’s face it, when you can ONLY afford those luxuries, you aren’t worth
the bureaucrats time.
Because, fact is…
6) THIS
IS AIMED at TRACKING PRECIOUS METAL PURCHASES
OH,
you haven’t noticed that gold and silver performance has essentially
out=performed ALL other investment classes EVERY YEAR FOR THE PAST
DECADE?
Well, some other folks have notice, I can assure you of that.
Remember,
1)
The government
hates competition which is why counterfeit is heavily penalized
2)
Substitute
competition against the Federal Reserve Note debt instrument issued by
their friends and cronies at the Federal Reserve Corporation will not be
tolerated (that is, specie)
3)
The IRS and
TREASURY do not want you to understand how and why species has been THE
currency for 6,000 years.
4)
Too many folks who
bought UNTRACEABLE gold and silver at ¼ of today’s prices AREN'T paying
the 28% tax; that will change.
One
major intent of this law is to kill the gold and silver trade by
requiring the SSN and 1099 for most purchases.
Obama’s
health care proviso to require a 1099 tax form for any gold sale over
$600 is designed to kill the trade.
Gold has always curried favor in part b.c the trade is anonymous, this
provision, requiring the buyers and sellers of gold to provide a SSN
number and receipt to theirs for every purchase of ½ once or more
removes the anonymity of gold.
The
government hates anonymity of the citizenry.
Right now in California you MUST provide a THUMBPRINT, SSN and PHOTO ID
to recycle aluminum cans for a few bucks.
Just
wait to see what else will be required for gold and silver transactions.
You
know, BECAUSE THIS IS A GREAT HEALTH LAW THAT WILL IMPROVE EVERYBODYS
LIFE!!!
(especially
the little people)
he
he, eh?
8.12.10 Food Freedom: Grow your own
while you still can
http://foodfreedom.wordpress.com/2010/04/24/s-510-is-hissing-in-the-grass/
"There is No Right to Consume or Feed Children Any Particular
Food; There is No Generalized Right to Bodily and Physical Health; There is No
Fundamental Right to Freedom of Contract." ~ US Dept of Health & Human Services
and US Food & Drug Administration,
2010
http://foodfreedom.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/fda-no-right-to-food-health-contract.pdf
8.13.10 Goldman report is not a good
sign for price of gold!
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/goldman-goes-goo-goo-gold-gold-market-poised-rally-us-real-rates-head-lower
Remember when Goldman Sachs said price of oil was going to
$200 a barrel?
Yep, look at the price now...
When they say you should buy, their the ones selling it to
you.
8.11.10 30 year T-bill yield, down over
20%!!
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5ETYX
yah, that's healthy...
8.8.10 Jack DeSangelis puts a sell call on gold
DeSangelis has traded commodities since the 70s and has been pushing gold for
the past decade. (He is a front for Legend National Gold Exchange, a moderate
pressure boiler room gold pushing operation).
His reasoning is that Obama’s health care proviso to require a 1099 tax form for
any gold sale over $600 will kill the trade.
Gold has always curried favor in part b.c the trade is anonymous, this
provision, requiring the buyers and sellers of gold to provide a SSN number and
receipt to theirs for every purchase of ½ once or more removes the anonymity of
gold.
He believes that silver purchases are a substitution trade.
Personally, not sure the 1099 will really affect gold purchases that much...
8.8.10 Best/Healthiest Cookware?
We use stainless steel with copper base cookware
Looked at more expensive stuff, but really:
The Kirkland set made in Italy sold at Costco is a nice deal, IMO.
Stainless and Copper are both relatively non-corrosive and non-reacting. Sure,
you'll get a little bit of Iron and Copper in your meal eventually, both are
essential elements needed to properly function.
I have seen NO study that shows Iron as a toxin at these micro levels. Copper at
these micro levels is only a toxin to certain salmonids, barely.
IMO and study.
8.8.10
Real Estate Development
Opportunity
On
the interchange off I-10, So.Cal, Thousand Palms Ca
The
actual address, too new (?) to appear in Mapquest, is 105 Conchita Road,
this is the cross avenue
http://www.mapquest.com/maps?city=Thousand+Palms&state=CA&address=%5B72200-72273%5D+Ramon+Rd&zipcode=92276&country=US&latitude=33.816355&longitude=-116.40214&geocode=BLOCK
Across the highway from the Aqua Caliente band Casino. Was pretty packed
when I was there two years ago.
Will
be auctioned by Hudson and Marshall (CB ELLIS), the auctioneer outfit I
bought my SFH from, August 18th in LA.
There’s a RE deal/play there somewhere, what would you do?
8.5.10 How Fallen Empires Devalue their
Currency, leading to collapse
"Silver coins were a basic medium of exchange during the
empire, and one of the major Roman coins, a denarius (plural, denarii), equaled
four of the smaller silver coins called sesterces. During the reign of Augustus
(circa 30 B.C.), a silver denarius weighed 5.7 gm (.20 oz) and was 99 percent
pure. By AD 193 it had dropped to 4.3 gm (.15 oz) and was only 70 percent pure.
The deficit spending of later emperors nearly halved the silver value of the
coinage.
The soldier-emperors who followed the Severan
rulers continued to treat the military generously, but as tax
collections fell and silver mines were exhausted, imperial funds
disappeared. The treasury melted down available coins and issued new
money that had less real value. By 270 the silver content of the coinage
was only 1 percent. This devaluation of the currency soon had a terrible
effect on Rome. As money became worthless, much of the empire was
reduced to a barter economy. The state collected food, animals, and
other supplies instead of tax money.
http://www.crystalinks.com/romanempire.html
8.3.10 Inside Fix
All the US Presidents, except one (not the one you think),
share the same ancestors.
http://www.digtriad.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=146059&catid=175
7.30.10 How
Can the Japanese Suffer a Twenty Year Deflation
When they have such an intrepid
citizenry such as this?
http://www.bing.com/videos/watch/video/woman-makes-her-own-parking-spot/1jrvcqv3i
7.30.10 California Bans Lead in Toys =
Chinese Pick a Different Poison
So, the law of intended consequences (artful dodging of
regulations + general legislative banality) =
China increases level of cadmium in children's toy.
http://www.thedailygreen.com/environmental-news/latest/childrens-jewelry-lead-cadmium-47011402
7.30.10 Tangible Assets Sought out by
Millionaires
And that group of millionaires INCREASED between 2008-2010
http://www.kovels.com/index.php/201007287993/News-News-News/millionaires-keep-high-end-market-hopping.html
7.30.10 Predicted Short Term Price action in
Metals Markets
I vote the seasonals trump this year.
The gold and silver positions I sold in May were at higher levels than here.
Bought back most the positions last week.
Often I am early, price likely remains weak next couple weeks, but I see the
higher seasonal trends kicking in.
A rather standard year in equity and metal prices all in all.
One thing that could drag the metals down is a large fall in price of oil, if
seen as proxy for the commodities.
The oil inventories are rather high right now. Should
traders exit long positions the drop in price could snowball. Recent price
action and chartage on XOM, as already mentioned, may foretell this trade.
Then again, two separate market timing radio shows on the
business network y-day posted their view on going short XOM, so that trade maybe
getting crowded already
That said, I also lowered my equities exposure a bit based on
Arch Crawford's Cardinal Climax call.
Just in case...
Dat's a rap.
7.30.10 When I
entered negotiations on buying an existing business I learned five things:
1)
Many businesses keep three sets of books
a)
one for the IRS
b)
one for a potential buyer
c)
one for themselves
2)
It is easier to agree on price rather than
terms
3)
Goodwill is rarely worth what the seller
believes
4)
Depending on the business, inventory and/or
customer lists are worth the majority of the firms valuation
5)
Make sure you are only buying the assets, not
the liabilities
I
decided to start my own business instead of buying an existing one...
7.24.10 Long Term Gold and Silver Price
Performance
The best
resource on the internet for financial graphs was developed by Sharefin. Here
is his site. You have to subscribe now. Will take you a while to find
everything.
http://sharelynx.net/
A good place
to start initially is with the first graph on this page (The 600 year silver chart):
http://www.rapidtrends.com/silver-to-gold-ratio/
also hosted here:
http://goldinfo.net/silver600.html
FWIW, I think
this chart is actually incorrect in that the ratio for silver actually shows as
too overweight during the middle ages based on other data I have seen (the 2,000
year charts). The comparison gets difficult because silver traded day to day as
currency whereas Gold typically only exchanged hands for large land swaps or
political deals.
Governments
throughout the globe have attempted to fix the price of gold since government
began. They actually achieved some success about 1,400 a.d. to ensure relative
stability amongst economic pacts between each other. Silver had been allowed to
float for many centuries (and thus become debased), whereas gold was only
allowed to float beginning in 1973, more or less.
This silver
devaluation trend continued even moreso after the Polosi Strikes by the Spanish
in the Andes in the 1500s. Silver became the de-facto currency over most the
trading world, and eventually the value was debased.
Here is a good
study on the value of silver, as paid for working me wages, over the past 500
years (start on page 37):
http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Members/robert.allen/WagesFiles/wagesnew2.pdf
You can see
silver became cheaper, compared to hours labor necessary to procure, after the
precious metals strikes in California and Nevada in the mid 1800s.
Silver became
so cheap, relatively, that the bankers could no longer make a profitable spread
to suit their tastes. Hence, they engineered the panics and depressions of the
1890s and 1907. The US presidential election of 1896, to large degree, was
based on the battle between whether Gold (Republicans) or Silver (Democrats)
should be the coin of the US realm. Gold won.
Just ten years
later the bankers were no longer satisfied with the Gold carry trade, and they
instituted fiat currency via the 1907 panic and the resulting Federal Reserve
Act six years later.
You can find
some more long term price comparisons here
(Long term Inflation in US and UK):
http://www.measuringworth.com/inflation/
and http://www.measuringworth.org/gold/
There are a
few thousand gold/silver ratio and price performance charts that go back 30-100
years. There are a couple hundred good charts/graphs that go back to the middle
ages.
Since I
started looking in 1999 I have only seen five or six decent 2,000-4,000 year
charts, and regrettably can’t locate at the moment.
Of course,
most folks only have a two year time horizon anyway! LOL
7.24.10 Gold
to Silver Ratio
Another Interesting Ratio along these same lines is the Gold to
Silver. Historically the Ratio has been about 16:1. The price of Gold
has recently extended his dominance and the ratio is now about 70:1.
For
that reasons some folk have been stocking up on Silver.
However, they may not be aware that twice in the past 100 years the
ratio has gone as high as 100:1, during times of extreme financial
imbalance.
Furthermore, when one looks at the LONG term ratio charts, you can see
that silver had traded at a much higher premium for several centuries in
the Roman period and in the Middle Ages, at times breaking the 10:1
barrier.
As
with any other financial play, it all comes down to time horizon.
7.23.10
Someone asked: Which debt is better to pay
off?
Here
is the
Theoretical Example:
Let's say you have 2
debts,
A). Rental Property 2nd Mortgage Fixed, 7% interest over 20 years -- You
owe $30k
B). Credit card 10% -- You owe $30k
Which do you make extra payments on first?
His answer to his own question was:
"The conventional
wisdom might say to pay off the credit card, because the rate is
higher.
However, if you pay
off the Fixed 2nd mortgage on the rental house, then you
would have additional cashflow which you could put towards paying off
the CC. This is a case of using leverage, other people’s money via
rent, to increase your financial position.
In the end you would
have more equity in your property from your efforts, instead of just
paying off a CC that has no collateral attached to it and no benefits,
other than interest, in paying off the debt."
Here's Our Take
Sure,
That is the conventional first analysis. But a deeper look will show
that what hasn’t been mentioned, but should, is RISK, LEVERAGE and
OPPORTUNITY COSTS.
Paying
off credit card is zero risk return. Can you safely net over 10%
somewhere else without taking more risk? Probably not, nearest sort-of
safe yield today is in non-tradable REITS only at around 7%. So in this
case risk/reward confirms the previous answers to pay off the CC.
However, the RISK analysis also must consider Margin of Safety. That
is, has temporary market conditions now rendered the house temporarily
undervalued? Maybe the neighborhood average price is off 50% in the
past three years. If so, your Margin of Safety has decreased on two
accounts:
- The
Bank has effectively decreased their share of the investment;
leaving you more exposed to disaster to the property; and
- Your
Return on Equity has decreased.
Remember the mantra of value investing; DO NOT LOSE PRINCIPAL.
Which
leads us to LEVERAGE. How can we Leverage the Principal for Greater
Yield?
IF
the property ‘value’ has decreased 50%, you equity may have increased
from a previous 10$ of the house value to now 30% to %50. Should all
the other numbers remain similar (cash flow from rents, etc) you are now
in the position to use that Principal as a Collateral for a loan that
allows you to put money into another rental that triple nets 12%
Bingo. No opportunity cost lost, but cashflow increased.
INFLATION vs DEFLATION
Another way to analyze the scenario is simply from a money velocity
angle.
If
you think the house will increase in value, why pay off the mortgage at
all? IF you think it will continue a steep decline, then pay it off. A
nasty deflation is not the time to be in hock on depreciating assets, bc.
Now the Opportunity Cost is working AGAINST you. The money sunk in the
principal continues to lose value against what else it could buy
tomorrow. Just my two pence.
Opportunity Costs.
If
you pay down the interest card, you gain no equity, just perhaps a few
extra credit score points.
Someone else pointed out that
LIQUIDITY trumps all. Here was my response:
So, what is the best type of liquidity?
I’ve come to the conclusion that you need diversity in your liquidity as with
any other portfolio.
Frankly, a bunch of FRNs could become greatly devalued in a very short time
period.
Hence the metals. Yet, as previously discussed here, 1-oz gold or bullion coins
won’t work for the day to day items, hence silver.
But, you can’t eat silver.
Thus, I came to the conclusion that I’d better stock up on WHAT I NEED.
And accordingly, have stocked all kinds of goods and supplies.
Mostly as insurance, but also could turn into a financial play as well due to
THE COMING VALUE ADDED TAX!
Right now the US National Debt Commission is formalizing their proposals. The
VAT - a tax on every transaction - will be a central plank, count on it, no
matter how it is couched.
You will be forced into the position of monitoring other's financial
transactions and acting on behest of the IRS.
The IRS does not need to be ready to enforce regulations.
Like all rules and regulations, they were not designed to be universally
followed - only SELECTIVELY ENFORCED.
If you have the means and the space, buy the essentials now. Only one of two
possibilities:
- They will become more expensive.
- They won’t be available.
7.17.10 Why you should not keep your
precious metals 'on deposit' with a bank:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/christie-blatchford/an-unkind-complicatedness/article1643419/
7.17.10 "Financial Reform"
Will:
- Increase the cost of borrowing
- Politicize the mortgage industry. There will now be
'commissions' to determine if you should be allowed to purchase a car, house or
business. A VERY dangerous situation. Your success now depends, not on your
ideas and hard work, but on the whims of selected political teams.
- Availability of Capital will tighten, which will drive
capital out of the US
- There is NO reform of the criminal activity at Freddie Mac
and Fannie Mae. These two 'pillars' of the US housing industry are now
discredited penny stocks!
For the first time EVER the banks now own a larger percentage
of residential equity than all the homeowner equity combined:
http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/living-the-dream-what-do-you-own-really
- US will become less competitive in financial markets.
Remember how the powers that be convinced you that we would ship our domestic
production industries overseas, that we didn't need those dirty 'ol 20th century
factories. Remember how the financial and other 'service' industries were the
new path?
How's that working?
Let's look at a few metrics:
Fact is, the legislation will only INCREASE the powers of the
folks that lead is into this financial debacle in the first place. The
legislation INCREASES the back-room powers of the federal reserve instead of
providing visibility and sunshine. The legislation does NOTHING to
address:
The number of American's on the public dole is at RECORD
levels. Almost 40 million americans are on food stamp assistance.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6465E220100507
Percentage of homeowners who have missed a mortgage are at
record highs:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Mortgage-delinquencies-drag-apf-3683370452.html?x=0
Even worse, the foreclosure filings are at RECORD high
levels:
http://thehomeforeclosurehelp.com/archives/barack-obamas-foreclosure-help-programs-are-not-working
7.16.10
Mandatory financial education for all citizens:
Why the banking industry and US
Treasury Department WANT you to short sale your home or get foreclosed:
http://www.youtube.com/user/fiercefreeleancer
And if
you think that’s bad, wait ‘til you see what is in the massive
'Financial Reform' Law passed by the Senate yesterday!
From
your paycheck straight to Government Sachs…
7.15.10 The Administration Aims to Shut
Down America's Energy Independence
Six month moratorium on drilling. What, exactly, will that
accomplish? You think the fraud, waste and abuse at the Minerals
Management Service will get cleaned up in that time? Nope. Only
thing the moratorium does is force drilling rigs and operations to leave the
Gulf of Mexico. Heck, we're losing production rigs to the Congo!
http://www.investors.com/NewsAndAnalysis/Article/540265/201007131904/Idled-Gulf-Rigs-Head-For-Africa.aspx
After tens of thousands of dollars in expenses, and weeks of
travel, to move and re-set the rig, think they're coming back any time soon?
7.10.10 Arch Crawford warns on Cardinal
Climax planetary alignment; time to get defensive on equities
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/234091-hewitt-heiserman/61457-rare-cardinal-climax-planetary-alignment-this-summer-puts-stocks-at-risk-says-veteran-sky-watcher
Although I rarely trade based on astronomy, Arch has been WAY
to accurate over the years not to pay some heed. Time to get defensive and
SELL into this increase in equity market value over the past week IMO.
7.4.10 Independence Day
The last several years, more like fifteen, I had become
somewhat despondent on the fourth of July, even when celebrating with friends
and families. As I have documented here, our civil liberties have eroded
quite severely in this timeframe and numerous unpleasant events have unfolded
that threaten our great constitutional republic. However, I am now quite
convinced that the electorate has finally woken to the domestic enemies.
Although the hour is late, the cause still proves just - all these decades after
1776.
7.2.10 Metal Leverage Programs
In these programs they function
as a brokerage, more or less. Commission on sliding scale btw 9-15%.
You provide the money and they provide you a receipt with how much metal
you own in a warehouse. Steve Kramer, of Leland (he has his own podcast
in partnership with Jack DeAngelis) serves as principal. He wouldn’t
provide a prospectus or contract up front and stated that the industry
hasn’t done this in 35 years. Only the receipt of funds would fully
disclose the terms [percentage and points (?)] of any particular
principle trade.
I imagine the players have
generally remained the same but the firms have changed names over the
years given the vagaries of the gold market since 1980.
7.1.10 Major
US Banks Admit and are Proved to Support Latin Drug Cartels
Hope this doesn't surprise you:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-29/banks-financing-mexico-s-drug-cartels-admitted-in-wells-fargo-s-u-s-deal.html
6.30.10 Why the Gold Price was hit
Yesterday
Big decline on the Dow this week. Folks who
manage mutual and trade funds need to close out the second quarter books which
end June 30. In order to ameliorate their losses, they need to sell their
winners. IN this case, gold was that winner, having traded very near all-time
highs. You need to sell the winners to pay for the losers.
6.29.10
World’s safest table saw – stopped by one finger!
http://www.noob.us/miscellaneous/sawstop-worlds-safest-table-saw-in-slow-motion/
6.29.10 OilCano spews more
Disinformation
How
about this Gem:
“A report prepared for
prepared for President Medvedev by Russia’s Ministry of Natural
Resources warns that "a greater danger involving Corexit 9500...is that
with its 2.61ppm toxicity level, and when combined with the heating Gulf
of Mexico waters, its molecules will be able to
"phase transition"
from their present liquid to a gaseous state allowing them to be
absorbed into clouds and allowing their release as
"toxic rain"
upon all of Eastern North America”
Serious time out/red flag here.
Just
as I have felt an obligation to witness honest money and teach finance,
so too shall we spread our light unto the scientifically illiterate.
a)
Corexit isn’t that toxic in the scheme of
solvents.
b)
Moreover, toxicity has nothing to do with
propensity for ‘phase transition’
c)
Author needs to know that the heat does drive
the reaction. Yet, according to Clausius–Clapeyron
it is a non-linear function. For that matter, the Gulf is a MAJOR
thermal mass which will control the exothermic reactions.
d)
Hello authors, Vapor
Pressure ring any bells? This is the ‘scientific concept’ they reached
for, and strained a brain muscle.
The Corexit MSDS
CLEARLY states the product has, actually, a VERY LOW vapor pressure.
Below water even! Yep, just a matter of checking a few facts and basic
science.
Both
increasingly in short supply, alas.
6.28.10 2005 Merck Vaccination causes
seizures in Children
according to the journal Pediatrics, released today.
http://www.timesheraldonline.com/ci_15392649
Funded by Kaiser Permamente out of Oakland. Best thing to come out of Oaktown
since Zito and boys set the AL record for win streak in '02.
6.28.10 Can Recommend Two Brands
of Freeze Dried Food
Thrive (the Costco brand) and Honeyville Farms.
Honeyville has the most variety, but does cost more. I have tried the red wheat
and two types of fruits. All three were of excellent taste and quality.
For bulk, the Costco brand provides a good option. I have only tried the onions
but they were quite good.
The quality of today's freeze dried food, compared to the dehydrated swill of 20
years ago, is amazing.
Keep an eye on the Costco for sales. Typically they sell a years supply of food
for one person for about $1,000. ON a sale we got the deal for $800. Probably
the chepest insurance on the planet. We supplement the bulk with selected
Honeyville farms orders and fresh vegetables and fruit that we grow ourselves.
Now have: Lemon, Lime, Tangerine, Orange, Apricot, Plum, Blueberry and
Raspberry.
[Also have a persimmon, but turns out might not be the fruiting variety, drat].
Learn to dehydrate and vacuum pack.
ain't rokett science...
MREs take up too much volume IMO
However, the new generation has the ability to heat itself.
This feature provides a good morale source and saves heating fuel/time down the
road. Might be an option if you have extra space.
Food is good, but more important is a secured and sanitary
water supply. Lock yours in NOW!
6.28.10 Went Camping for a few days with
Family
Beats the computer, for sure.
6.25.10 Why
the Media Got it Wrong on McChrystal
Pointedly, McChrystal was not 'fired', indeed he submitted a timed,
planned, articulated and well-publicized resignation, via letter to
Rolling Stone.
Mc
clearly laid out the reasons why he feels Afghanistan is the disaster it
has always been, why the action cannot be won and who is responsible.
Mc
clearly understands the situation and will not allow himself to be
pegged with the defeat and took an offensive action to early retirement
while maintaining his face and respect of the staff.
The
Commander in Chief has not been able to do any of this and has led our
forces and nation to defeat and ruin, with plenty of help from the
career criminals that comprise the executive and legislative branches
6.25.10 Today's pop in Metal Prices
Possibly a reaction to the banking deal in the US.
Gold says "get yer stuff off the books now before we confiscate".
6.25.10 Gold Coin - One of Only Five
And it sells for melt value alone. Definitely NOT a sign of a
bottom in the market!
"VIENNA, Austria -- A Spanish precious metals trading company bought the world's
largest gold coin for 3.27 million euros ($4.02 million), its exact material
worth, from the estate of an insolvent investment firm at a rare auction in
Vienna on Friday.
The 100-kg (220.5 lb) piece, one of only five Canadian $1 million Maple Leaf
coins the Royal Canadian Mint has ever produced, was snapped up immediately in a
written bid from ORO direct, a gold trading company based in Madrid"
6.20.10 How the Sun Sounds
This is awesome:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/7840201/Music-of-the-sun-recorded-by-scientists.html
Reminds me of a couple of grateful dead shows, the middle
part, from my misspent youth.
6.20.10 The Oil Spill
National Response Center names all federalized spills. For
platform spills under MMS jurisdiction they simple assign a code and date to the
particular block where the lease is booked in MMS system.
There are dozens of examples of spills named Mississippi
Canyon Spill OCS-XXXX or similar. They all follow the same nomenclature.
The unofficial spill name is:
Mississippi Canyon 252/ Deepwater Horizon BP Oil Spill
The
official report will have a number very similar to:
Mississippi Canyon 252/ Deepwater Horizon OCS G 32306-XXXXXX
The last
six digits are to keep it straight in the USCG/NRC oracle database.
Currently the database query is not functioning.
The
actual NRC report has now been completely scrubbed from the web AFAI can
tell.
However, I have seen it once.
Here
is what the NRC spill report looks like
http://www.nrc.uscg.mil/reports/rwservlet?standard_web+inc_seq=645559
Here
is one of the block exploration plans:
http://www.gomr.mms.gov/PI/PDFImages/PLANS/29/29977.pdf
6.20.10 Woulfe mining co, received
operations permit last week
only western mining firm operating on Korean peninsula. Rare
minerals and proximity to China.
http://www.woulfemining.com/s/Home.asp
a winning plan???
6.20.10 Apollo and Linear Gold to
Combine Companies
What other nuggets does the Apollo Gold Management team
provide in their special circular that they hand delivered to me regarding the
deal?:
Apollo crows about their flagship mine, the Black Fox. Sure, like they're going
to brag about the disastrous results at both Florida Canyon and Montana Tunnels?
Right, what great examples of management malfeasance.
[Ok, one could make the case that the highwall instability at the Florida Canyon
property was not their fault, that due diligence of a geologist could not
uncover this 'differing site condition', fine. But what about the lousy safety
record and other operation problems?]
What about the continued inability to produce at Montana Tunnels?
Not a good thing when the highest ranked search query for the Montana Tunnels
project produces this:
http://meic.org/mining/new_mines/montana_tunnels
Seriously, why not a search query that shows:
- "Montana Tunnels exceeds production, creating new jobs", or
- "Montana Tunnels receives environmental and safety record", or - at a bare
minimum,
- "Montana Tunnels meets production levels".
Is THAT too much to ask? For this management team, the answer proves a sad if
resounding YES, too much to ask...
Instead, the only reference to the mine is by a hit firm that doesn't even
understand the current ownership regime. Don't know who to address the complaint
letter to? Hey, so how are those negotiations going?
Might make one wonder if they are actually intent at all on correcting a real
situation on the ground, or disseminating the typical anti-mining pro-taxation
claptrap scripted by a hidden/controlling organization. Nah, couldn't be... Just
another case where folks spend hundreds of hours developing a website and can't
figure out basic material facts.
Of course the Black Fox property is a great resource (even if the last drilling
results were a little disappointing; somewhat offset by better drilling figures
at the Linear Box property), that's the ONLY reason I hold the stock.
All of their production property and Linear's most promising projects, are now
in the most mining friendly country - Canada. [Ontario and Saskatchewan] South
America, USA and Australia have all made incredibly poor decisions regarding
federal 'management' (e.g. taxation and outright nationalization/distribution)
of their mining sector.
Canada retains its historic support that has allowed the industry to thrive up
north. A wise and strategic play, IMO. Canada is one of the eight nations (along
with Russia and Norway) poised quite right to gain from increased mineral
exploration and extraction from the North Pole. [Russia has eight ice-breakers,
USA has two, and one of those is under repair for the next 48 months!]
Ok, both Apollo and Linear has promising properties in Mexico, but neither of
those are even in the pre-feasibility stage yet.
Black Fox has over 32 million tons of reserves grading about 2.0 grams/ton.
Explanation of Mining exploration and production stages:
http://www.coinmine.com/Mining/Mining.htm
The real story, naturally, is that the Apollo board and management has run the
company into the ground, underfinanced, under capitalized and in massive debt.
Circular Page 51 provides a great insight into capitalization rates as measured
against gold equivalent resources - the Adjusted Market Capitalization (AMC).
From this table one looks at the great job that other firms such as Minefinders
and Alexis Minerals have done to marshall gold reserves on a shoestring.
Apollo has the gold reserves, and even a producing mine. The problem is they are
out just about out of cash and deeply in debt.
Hence enter Linear. Linear has two things Apollo does not: cash and a decent
management team.
The main reason that Apollo need Linear is that the firm realizes that
shareholders have grown impatient (including your truly) and are not currently
predisposed to forking out more dough in shelf offerings and the like. So Linear
can immediately alleviate the current cash flow issues. Apollo points out the
dream that only, if only, they had the Linear cash - then the future is rosy
gold indeed. Point in fact, page 27 in the circular is the Selected Unaudited
Pro Forma Consolidated Financial Statement ('fantasy numbers land').
Should they actually meet that target - a profit instead of unending parade of
quarterly cash abortions - then the marriage will prove a success indeed. Proof
will be in the pudding - producing children (the baby mines in N. Canada and
Mexico.)
And while on Linear, what is up with their parent corporation name formed to
hold the Box Mine property? 7153945? For real? Were all the seven-digit prime
numbers already taken? Even worse, the moniker is ALREADY taken! Some goof has a
perfume with that unit number. Personally, the US patent number with the same
digit configuration holds my main interest. Alas, why do I have to come up with
the great mining marketing angles...
My bright shining star appears early on in the script, page 14. The Apollo
board, namely, realizes it has screwed the pooch for the last time and will
finally bring in someone with a better track record (shoe store, lemonade stand,
whatever - anything will be better at this point!) R. David Russell - the Apollo
CEO/President will finally, if belatedly, find the exit door. The new management
team should find better direction, and hopefully thrive, under the new CEO Wade
Dawe (currently head of Linear).
Summary
Like all modern management teams, they are projecting out just a few short
quarters. Mercury takes the long view and sees incredibly potential down the
road for the under explore and under producing Goldfields Region in extreme
northern part of Saskatchewan. The aptly names Uranium City serves as the mining
town in the region.
Heavy equipment for the Goldfields region, and the Linear Box mine in
particular, are brought in by barge. Mercury highly approves. In fact, I bought
my house in a city that previously relied on water transportation and believe
that water transportation will again regain the popularity and obvious utility
that has reigned for millennia. The age of short haul petro-powered routes is
playing out, as all rich fantasy veins eventually do.
Of course exploration and production has been hampered in the region for decades
due to terrifically horrible weather and remoteness. Nevertheless, the future
glide path is just that, extreme arctic exploration and production. Canada at
large, and this new Brigus Gold Corporation (gag) are positioning themselves
primely for that glorious golden future.
Perhaps Apollo management saved their very best card for last after all.
6.18.10 CDE shuts down the Martha Mine,
Argentina
"BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--Idaho-based Coeur d'Alene Mines
Corp. (CDE) has tapped out its Martha silver and gold mine in Argentina and
plans to shut the site down while it considers further exploration or a sale."
Oh yeah, plenty of buyers lining up for a shuttered mine, played out of assets,
with environmental/social liabilities yet untapped!
hey, whadya know, Mirasol Resources broke $25K in
volume today!
6.18.10 Tom O'Brien was decidedly
bearish on Gold
and has been for a few days; states gold will be down next week.
He points out that this rise has been on declining volume, a triple top, and
based on fear.
I agree on the first point; second remains to be seen (a triple top is, after
all, a failure of a double top) and completely disagree on the third point.
This market has had complacency creep in.
VIX has declined all the way to the 200 DMA today.
6.17.10 Apollo Gold (AGT) about to
change their name to Brigus Gold?
Are you friggin kidding me?!?
They're going to dump a great name like Apollo Gold for
Brigus?
Geez, how many different ways can this management team screw up???
6.18.10 Apollo and Linear Gold to
combine companies
What other nuggets does the Apollo Gold Management team
provide in their special circular that they hand delivered to me regarding the
deal?:
Apollo crows about their flagship mine, the Black Fox.
Sure, like they're going to brag about the disastrous results at both Florida
Canyon and Montana Tunnels? Right, what great examples of management
malfeasance. [Ok, one could make the case that the highwall instability at
the Florida Canyon property was not their fault, that due diligence of a
geologist could not uncover this 'differing site condition', fine. But
what about the lousy safety record and other operation problems?]
What about the continued inability to produce at Montana
Tunnels?
Not a good thing when the highest ranked search query for the
Montana Tunnels project produces this:
http://meic.org/mining/new_mines/montana_tunnels
Seriously, why not a search query that shows:
- "Montana Tunnels exceeds production, creating new jobs", or
- "Montana Tunnels receives environmental and safety record",
or - at a bare minimum,
- "Montana Tunnels meets production levels".
Is THAT too much to ask? For this management team, the
answer proves a sad if resounding YES, too much to ask...
Instead, the only reference to the mine is by a hit firm that
doesn't even understand the current ownership regime. Don't know who to address
the complaint letter to? Hey, so how are those negotiations going? Might make
one wonder if they are actually intent at all on correcting a real situation on
the ground, or disseminating the typical anti-mining pro-taxation claptrap
scripted by a hidden/controlling organization. Nah, couldn't be... Just
another case where folks spend hundreds of hours developing a website and can't
figure out basic material facts.
Of course the Black Fox property is a great resource
(even if the last drilling results were a little disappointing; somewhat offset
by better drilling figures at the Linear Box property), that's the ONLY reason I
hold the stock. All of their production property and Linear's most
promising projects, are now in the most mining friendly country - Canada.
[Ontario and Saskatchewan] South America, USA and Australia have all made
incredibly poor decisions regarding federal 'management' (e.g. taxation and
outright nationalization/distribution) of their mining sector.
Canada retains its historic support that has allowed the
industry to thrive up north. A wise and strategic play, IMO. Canada
is one of the eight nations (along with Russia and Norway) poised quite right to
gain from increased mineral exploration and extraction from the North
Pole. [Russia has eight ice-breakers, USA has two, and one of those is
under repair for the next 48 months!]
Ok, both Apollo and Linear has promising properties in
Mexico, but neither of those are even in the pre-feasibility stage yet.
Black Fox has over 32 million tons of reserves grading about
2.0 grams/ton.
Explanation of Mining exploration and production stages:
http://www.coinmine.com/Mining/Mining.htm
The real story, naturally, is that the Apollo board and
management has run the company into the ground, underfinanced, under capitalized
and in massive debt.
Circular Page 51 provides a great insight into capitalization
rates as measured against gold equivalent resources - the Adjusted Market
Capitalization (AMC).
From this table one looks at the great job that other firms
such as Minefinders and Alexis Minerals have done to marshall gold reserves on a
shoestring.
Apollo has the gold reserves, and even a producing mine.
The problem is they are out just about out of cash and deeply in debt.
Hence enter Linear. Linear has two things Apollo does
not: cash and a decent management team.
The main reason that Apollo need Linear is that the firm
realizes that shareholders have grown impatient (including your truly) and are
not currently predisposed to forking out more dough in shelf offerings and the
like. So Linear can immediately alleviate the current cash flow issues.
Apollo points out the dream that only, if only, they had the Linear cash - then
the future is rosy gold indeed. Point in fact, page 27 in the
circular is the Selected Unaudited Pro Forma Consolidated Financial Statement
('fantasy numbers land'). Should they actually meet that target - a profit
instead of unending parade of quarterly cash abortions - then the marriage will
prove a success indeed. Proof will be in the pudding - producing children
(the baby mines in N. Canada and Mexico.)
And while on Linear, what is up with their parent corporation
name formed to hold the Box Mine property? 7153945? For real? Were all the
seven-digit prime numbers already taken? Even worse, the moniker is
ALREADY taken! Some goof has a perfume with that unit number. Personally,
the US patent number with the same digit configuration holds my main interest.
Alas, why do I have to come up with the great mining marketing angles...
My bright shining star appears early on in the script, page
14. The Apollo board, namely, realizes it has screwed the pooch for the
last time and will finally bring in someone with a better track record (shoe
store, lemonade stand, whatever - anything will be better at this point!)
R. David Russell - the Apollo CEO/President will finally, if belatedly, find the
exit door. The new management team should find better direction, and hopefully
thrive, under the new CEO Wade Dawe (currently head of Linear).
Summary
Like all modern management teams, they are projecting out
just a few short quarters. Mercury takes the long view and sees incredibly
potential down the road for the under explore and under producing Goldfields
Region in extreme northern part of Saskatchewan. The aptly names Uranium
City serves as the mining town in the region. Heavy equipment for the
Goldfields region, and the Linear Box mine in particular, are brought in by
barge. Mercury highly approves. In fact, I bought my house in a city
that previously relied on water transportation and believe that water
transportation will again regain the popularity and obvious utility that has
reigned for millennia. The age of short haul petro-powered routes is playing
out, as all rich fantasy veins eventually do.
Of course exploration and production has been hampered in the
region for decades due to terrifically horrible weather and remoteness.
Nevertheless, the future glide path is just that, extreme arctic exploration and
production. Canada at large, and this new Brigus Gold Corporation (gag)
are positioning themselves primely for that glorious golden future.
Perhaps Apollo management saved their very best card for last
after all.
6.15.10 Obama's Oil Spill Speech:
Another Major Problem
His credibility is shattered and now his self confidence has
evaporated; a truly dismal performance. I never wanted the guy to succeed
in his agenda (I love political stalemate) but I never wanted him to fail this
miserably either. The country will be profoundly worse off with another
three years of this Nero at the helm.
6.15.10
Daniela Cambone vs Alexa Steele
For the Kitco cheesecake
correspondent bake-off!
Alexa
Flashes the golden smile and pulls hard ahead out of the trading pit
gate but Daniela lands a CEO interview and the RACE IS ON!
Good
summer show Bart…
6.14.10 I have but One Comment on Last
Week's Primary US Elections
The one criminal/career-politician I have hounded most,
Nevada Governor Jim Gibbons (Rep.) lost his seat (following episodes of divorce,
cheating, multiple assault reports, mis-conduct ad nausea). All of
this occurred against a macabre background - Nevada's worst economic collapse
since the 1880's.
By the way, it
is incredibly rare for a sitting governor to lose his own primary party
election. But Jimmy deserved it. I have pointed out his rather large
and obvious dark side, criminality, negligence, sociopath and other assorted
qualities since the first time I met him - when he ran for a lowly office in
1988.
To bad it took the good citizenry of Nevada 22 years to
figure it out, the damage has been near incalculable.
6.13.10 Bilderburger 2010
http://www.bilderbergmeetings.org/meeting_2010_2.html
6.12.10
Understand this is a Good Fundamentals Database
Daily
Graphs by IBD
http://www.dailygraphs.com/
Please
do write with any comments on the product, good or bad.
6.11.10
Source for some good precious metals widgets:
http://www.monex.com/resources/
6.8.10 Precious Metal Profiling
Our last 4 sales on ebay of 1,000 Mercury Dime lots:
- Marketing Executive, Large Expensive House, Wilmington, De
- Flower Farm, Washington State
- Insurance Executive, Connecticut
- Unknown career, Large House On Lake Michigan
The buyers aren't right wing survivalists. These are
savvy business executives who have a pulse on the US economy and the bottom
line.
6.8.10 Silver/Gold Ratio Reaches new
Historic Levels
Just because the silver/gold price ratio is out of whack
doesn't mean it will change any time soon unless the FUNDAMENTALS for such
change. At one point the Ag/Au ratio was 16:1, now almost 70:1.
We got lucky and turned some platinum profits into cheap
silver a couple years ago. But generally, I think it is easier said than done.
Like right now, what is the better buy, Ag or Au?
Au has better strength. It has HAD better strength for most of the past decade.
Reversion to the mean is a great long term concept but a tough short term
trading strategy.
What, EXACTLY, prevents the ratio from going to 100:1?
Unless some country monetizes silver again, which looks unlikely now, why will
the spread in the ratio now suddenly reverse course? Just b.c. you want it to
and placed your bets accordingly?
The only thing that I see might change is another country decides to take on the
pharmaceutical cartel and allow silver to again become ubiquitous in medical
applications. But, I won't hold either my breath or investment dollars until
that wind changes direction...
6.6.10 How
to Start in Coins as an Investment
(this
is how I got started):
1.
Begin with junk coins, bags of 100 or 1000 mercury dimes or walker
halves, for example (focus on a series or two so your education hours
are not watered down too much).
2.
Now, your ‘investment’ is just the junk silver cost. The downside is
limited to a) fluctuation of bullion price. Bullion has been in a
10-year uptrend. This could end at any time, but there is still an
intrinsic value nevertheless; and b) the spread, about 3-4%. Hence,
your downside risk is limited.
3.
Look at EVERY ONE of the 100 or 1,000 or 10,000coins. Figure out which
dates are more rare, learn the varieties in each date, understand the
minting/coinage/metallurgy issues that influence/create varieties.
4. Now
you have begun to learn the art of ‘cherry picking’. Many of these
varieties may sell at a premium in higher grades. These, along side the
better dates/mintmarks you pulled from the junk lots, provide upside to
the investment WITH NO ADDITIONAL RISK, just an input of time (which
creates another dividend called ‘education’).
5.
When you have competency in one series, then expand your coin universe
to other niches.
Most
of all, have fun!
6.4.10 The New Jobs Numbers are Abysmal
Almost 95% of new jobs are Census jobs (and many of them are
cooked up)
Yet dear leader is sufficiently alienated enough to declare
this a victory, an economy that can only produce drones which spy into your
personal like fits his vision of social progress.
6.3.10 How to Get Rid of Mold
This will be a growing problem as more of the crappy chinese
wallboard blooms and festers.
The
only way to kill mold in porous surfaces is by alternating ultra-violet
(UV) and Ozone (O3) disinfecting treatments with Borax treatments.
The UV and O3 will kill mold while the borax surface treatment will
prevent the mold colonies from expanding. Reason you need to
alternate the UV and O3 treatments is because the success is highly
dependent on pH of the porous surface. Hence, some
treatments will be more successful than others which requires repetition
and alternating disinfecting.
BE
CAREFUL, Borax is toxic and PETS like the taste. (You may not be
able to use this treatment). The borax is a mold inhibitor and is
used to prevent spread of colonies which can successfully spore.
Sometimes the best method to deal with a mold infestation is to move and
ensure the new place is dehumidified.
Good
news - you can kill mold colonies.
The
bad news is that some mold SPORES are effectively good as eternal (you
won’t kill 'em all).
When
they opened pharohs tomb, dormant mold spores in there for millennia
began to bloom with moisture from new air entering the tomb.
My
suggestion for your consideration is throw away anything you can, and
focus alternating UV/O3 disinfection only on what you really need to
save. Keep everything segregated in airtight plastic so you can begin to
isolate spores. When you recognize something won’t clean up, probably
too many spores – throw it away to prevent the spores from infecting
what you might be able to actually clean.
[NOTE:
There are some applications where you can either burn (full combustion)
or deep freeze dry (with complete dewatering/desiccation) but this is
effectively impractical for a household situation.]
[NOTE:
You can kill spores with strong solvents, but these will basically
destroy any porous surface except maybe some jewelry and other metals.
Even rocks such as limestone and marbles and karsts are rather
soluble/porous].
Furthermore, you need a really effective air purifier, not just a HEPA
fan. The cleaner MUST have at a minimum a GAC/ activated carbon
component AND a UV lamp AND HEPA and most preferably an Ionizer.
6.1.10
We closed our short position on BP today.
(Sold the news). Had a really nice
run!
Today’s action on BP was based on POLITICAL grandstanding and populism,
and not much else. Moratorium on drilling, ‘get those responsible
investigation’, blah blah blah window dressing for those that still
believe there is a difference in the political parties.
For
those trying to conduct FUNDAMENTAL or TECHNICAL analysis on this stock,
good luck with that. There is a new field of stock price analysis called
POLITICAL analysis. Frankly, the political populism, cronyism and cult
of pull trumps the real numbers. That’s the downside when you, as a
country, move away from rule of law.
Anyway, a bit on political stock analysis:
Politician Buy/Sell Indicator
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/summers052710.html
Furthermore, much of the price action no longer is driven by the old
standards of Price/Earnings PE/Growth, etc. because HUMANS no LONGER
make the trades, computers do most the volume nowadays.
High
frequency trading volume
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-frequency_trading
Anyone
entering BP last week was a sucker trade, see how the price bounced
right off the 13 Day EMA. Momentum (political) play here trumps FA and TA.
What
is actually most worrisome is the decline in stocks THROUGHOUT the
sector; those not affected by the moratorium. Apache (APA:NYSE) is a
great example. Look at the juicy fundamentals and technical’s on THAT
bird. Wooo. Setting up a potentially nice buy here if you can get in a
little cheaper, hopefully upper $70’s. Look for support near $75 (a
complete Fibonacci 50% retracement of the move from the lows in last
July to the high last month). Look at the 300 D EMA as major
resistance. Probably will find major resistance around 98$, which is
where the 20D EMA sliced the 300D EMA support and where the 50D EMA will
test the 300D EMA.
Yes,
even the Political pivot points will eventually face the math. Of
course, pivot points are nothing more than societal constructs
themselves (now adopted by mechanized trading platforms).
Funny stuff!
5.30.10 Remember the Heroes
Many heroes never wore a uniform.
5.30.10 Dispersant Used in Gulf: Corexit
http://www.epa.gov/oem/content/ncp/products/corex952.htm
The PLUME is there because the DISPERSANTS are working as
designed.
How Do Dispersants Work?
How do oil and water mix? Not very well. However, I be
you have used some 'Italian' salad dressing (water soluble vinegar and
non-water-soluble oil). Note that due to specific gravity, the oil floats
on the vinegar (or water).
Before using the dressing, you shake well.
This physical action DOES NOT:
- change the composition of the dressing;
- change the chemical characteristics of vegetable oil or
vinegar (including the specific gravity)
Thy physical action DOES 'disperse', or spread around the
heterogenous mixture more evenly within a closed system. So now, instead
of all the oil at the top, the homogenous oil sheen has been broken up into
droplets, surrounded by vinegar. Same concept with oil (a series of
hydrocarbons of various lenghts from CH4 to CH 28, more or less) in water
(ocean).
Dispersants work by creating emulsions. An emulsion is
a a suspension of one liquid in another. You can suspend solvents in a water
when separated by differences in cohesion constants. This is what the
dispersant does. The corexit surrounds and dispels clumps of oil initially (and
individual oil molecules eventually) and forces them apart. This is intended to
create more surface area around each individual oil molecule. When the oil
molecules are separated from each other, and surrounded by water, then the
microbes (bugs) will eat the oil molecule as food. True!
Nalco produces Corexit
The exact formulation is a trade secret, but the product is
simply a combination of SOLVENTS and SURFACTANTS
The solvents will ABSORB hydrocarbons while the SURFACTANTS
will ADSORB (a different work, note the d) hydrocarbons.
A solvent, another hydrocarbon chain, will absorb other
hydrocarbons into on homogenous (sort of) mixture.
You know surfactants more commonly as 'soap'. The
surfactant surrounds (absorb) each individual oil molecule and SEPARATES it from
all of it's other oil molecule friends.
A surfactant has a hydrophilic (water-seeking) chemical chain
on one end of the compound and an oleophilic (oil-seeking) compound on the other
end. This allows each compound to stack upon each other like aligned
magnets. One end of the compound is attracted to the other.
Water works this way, too. The surface tension between individual water
molecules determines the exact orientation of the water body.
Surfactants grab the oil molecule by the arm and the water molecule by the leg,
keeping each separate like a parent referee breaking up a fight by two kids
acting like kids. It is the difference in surface tension (which can be
manipulated) that changes the compounds orientation to each other (degree of
separation)
The DISPERSANT WORKS and CREATES the 'PLUME' by design.
Oil molecules are physically separated from each other so that the microbes will
begin to break them down.
A microbe is the smallest being that can be measured (so far)
that has the required suite of chemicals necessary to conduct and replicate all
life processes. These microbes, no more than one-micron in size (and some
smaller) possess the necessary enzymes to break down oil and other organic
matter
If you have understood that so far, keep reading:
Absorption means that the one substance has fully entered
(internal phase) into another. Really, it is a physical process whereby
one molecule 'sticks' to another.
The dispersant absorbs through the functions of colloid
chemistry. A colloid is simply a homogeous mixture of two liquid state
compounds.
The salad dressing started out at heterogeneous, oil floated
on water. By shaking up the bottle, you are using PHYSICAL energy to drive
apart the layers, creating a now homogenous mixture of two separate compounds.
Colloids are physically separated compounds evenly spread throughout another
liquid compound. The dispersant actually drives these small units of oil
away from each other, further down in the water column, creating the 'plume'.
The dispersant's surfactant chemical and physical properties
are father aided (actually, dwarfed by) the oceans chemical and physical
properties. As this great energy drives apart the medium from each other,
in a continuous phase, you now have another degree of separated colloids knows
as a DISPERSED medium.
The ocean constantly churns the water column through
advective and chemical processes. In turn, this also drives apart the oil
compounds. This is a good thing. The surfactants will eventually
break apart. Since the lighter hydrocarbon compounds (e.g. benzene) are
now gone (they break off the molecule more easily and were also adsorbed by the
solvents) and the oils will eventually combine again, through physical mixing
and churning, into tar balls. These balls then can by mechanically removed
off a beach surface.
That is basically how it works folks.
(for my fellow remedial scientists - yes, I know - some
implications were presented for the lay person)
Hope this helps.
5.30.10 NALCO (ticker symbol: NLC)
Try to drive the snow back to virgin, it is inorexably contaminated by
chemicals. Dioxin is present throughout the world in parts per trillion,
should one believe the literature.
POLITICS drive the equities. The decisions and policy
determine which group of favored criminals benefit from public policy.
Look at that NLC chart. Variable as a teenage girl.
You can plot the highs and lows DIRECTLY to the way the political winds blew
regarding should/could dispersants be used on the oil spill.
We might like to think that WE control our economic fate in
the equity markets by knowledge, discipline, slight, diligence, and sheer
determination.
That was true when the equity market existed, unimpaired.
Now, just a casino. Right or wrong. (Computer driven trade on AMEX
now exceeds investor-placed orders).
One can make the case with five hundred other ticker symbols
plotted against the political vagaries.
Thankfully, some markets are larger than political
machinations (Presidents Working Group on Markets - The "Plunger Team"
established after the 1987 crash to prop up the stock market).
One can still build true equity in tangible assets and real
estate via diligence, ingenuity and sweat.
5.29.10 Twitter Trends Map
http://trendsmap.com/
5.29.10 For the Hardcore Doom and Gloomers
of which I am not one)
A minor treatise
Why do
the hardcore doom and gloomers never allow that the collapse may not be
universal, and that there may be pockets of collapse, and beneficiaries
elsewhere.
Fact
is there are very few ubiquitous collapses in written history. For
example, plague/middle ages in Europe benefitted Arabic cultures.
Collapse of Ottoman Empire benefitted central Europe. Etc.
Sure
Roman empire collapsed. SO WHAT! Italy has had over 40 governments since
end WWII. Rome has only improved, STILL one of the most
vibrant/alive/relevant cities for 2,000 years running.
Now,
you could say the last MAJOR collapse wiped out written history before
9,000 b.c
For
instance, Plato wrote of the destruction of Atlantis by her technology
used unwisely (and he was not a fiction writer elsewhere).
Nevertheless, where is your cognizance that even the Americans have
begun to awake in the past several years?
-
Most US was dead asleep during the ‘good’
years of Reagan/bush1/Clinton. Now MANY understand the existence of the
shadow government. Look at the outrage against the major parties, even
by those who still support such. Look at the rise of the independents,
etc
-
What about the neo-survival movement, back to
basics, frugality, belt-tightening, green energy demand? People do
change, sometimes for the better.
-
What the doomers consider ‘paper-overing’ by
the Powers That Be, throurgh mass printing of fiat to stave off
economic collapse, may in fact be eclipsed by a change in mindset by the
populace. Folks are creative and adaptable. That has been the history I
have read.
Fact
is, our country is on better footing now in many respects than we were
5, 10, 20, or 20 years ago.
I am
in better shape now than ever before, there are many others on similar
tangents.
Why
deny the pockets of improvement?
[p.s.
boiling weeds takes a lot of energy. That energy better served by
stocking away PROTEIN, which is what becomes real scarce real
quick-like.]
5.28.10 Is the Mississippi Canyon Oil
Disaster a Biblical Event?
http://sites.google.com/site/gulfcrisisobservations/
Kinda interesting...
After careful consideration, I've come to the conclusion that
if we blow the nuke at the well, it will solve one problem. If we blow the nuke
in DC it will solve MORE THAN ONE PROBLEM.
Of course, other problems will be created either way, but so what. That is the
beauty of a 180 day event horizon used by our world leaders.
eom
5.28.10 Oil Spill Portfolio
The numbered bullets were my thoughts/suggestions/ideas for
the oil spill play on May3rd. Commentary below the bullets written today.
-
Invest
in Dawn (Proctor Gamble -PG)
PG went immediately up, but came back to where is was
on May 3.
-
BP is
down 15%. Buy the bad news? Haliburton/WEL also immediate plays.
BP is now down just 10%, and half of that was on
today's action alone.
-
Who
will SUPPLY the FOOD for all the cleanup crews on the south coast?
Get a part of that.
SYY is flat, MCD is down 5%, YUM is up about 5%.
This was against the backdrop of the worst May equity performance in
several decades.
-
Increased government and BP contracts for the typical hazmat
response firms, especially those in SE USA.
VE is down 5%, CLH up 5%
-
Will
Price of Oil go up or down? What about the substitutes? Make a play
on both the underlying substituted commodity (e.g. play nat gas via
ETF UNG) or buy the solar/nuclear equipment manufacturers.
UNG up 8%
-
Consultants will get a payday heyday. Both the big firms that do
env response design (URS, TTEK, Bechtel, CH2M etc)
URS down 9%, TTEK is flat, of course Bechtel and CH2M
are privately held, but the industry ETF: FLM is flat.
-
Who
makes the booms, pads, pigs, nitrile gloves, scrubbers and other
gear (hint Dupont makes TYVEK! )
Just a few ideas for your further rumination…
Dupont (DD) is up about 8%.
Overall, not bad performances within what has otherwise been
a very poor equity market this month.
5.23.10 More Stock Buy/Sell Ideas
LHCG
@30.31
Veolia (VE) is
a BUY @ 25.97
[As of last week there is only
one Class-I Hazardous waste Facility left in the State of California).
Beginning last year there were three left. In 1986 there were 23!
JUST ONE LEFT! VE (facility in S. Oregon) will be a beneficiary of the
quagmire (until waste management pays off whatever politician sunk the
permit at Kettlemen City). American Ecology in Beatty, Nv another
beneficiary]
Northern Tiger Resources NTR-V @ .20
Buy Siemens (SI) on pullback
SELL Half Position of AEM and MFB
Sell all GFI
5.19.10 Went Long LLEN under $9.50
Lots of hot money chasers and traders pumped this dolly full
of hot air when it was trading at 12 and 13 just a couple weeks ago.
Now I'll begin to buy what they're selling scared.
And I'll share a secret with you
posted NOWHERE else.
Chinese just signed financing on
an Iron Ore deposit in middle Nevada several days ago. They will
build a $50 million dollar mine where currently there is, literally,
nothing. In fact, their Title I design requires power
infrastructure that doesn't even yet exist. True that.
5.19.10
Alexa Steele podcast on Kco
Looks
like she had a rough night.
Do
believe the periwinkle blouse means neutral rhodium whilst the left leg
crossed over the right one means go long GLD with a 3% stop.
However, possibly mixed signals here.
Must do a more in depth study...
5.19.10
Bought back GLD in Coverdell#1
What a difference a day makes!
More pull to 1165 than 1315, but interesting enough to take a seat at
the ring.
5.18.10
Sold GLD in Coverdell Account #1
@119.21
Had bought this position @ 733
do believe.
Either the seasonal begin to kick in (with metals headed lower),
or i will have to get back in
still long boatloads (ok, mini-subs) GDX, HUI, SLV 15 miners in trading
and Roth accts.
AND,
just bought DBA.
5.18.10
And yes, the oil spill certainly will affect US gold production…
… in
ways not currently ascertained. The MMS sister agency, Bureau of Land
Management (BLM), plays a major permitting role in most all US mining
precious metal operations. Don’t think for a moment that the scrutiny
currently heaped on MMS graft fraud and waste won’t result in more
‘regulations to protect the earth’. Should each of these operations now
require an Environmental Impact Statement instead of the current Env.
Assessment under NEPA, costs will rise significantly for US mining
operations.
Moreover, the psychological impact of the spill, and the clockwork pol
refrain to increase a revenue tax so the resource extracting sector
‘pays its fair share’ will only underscore serious efforts in Australia
and Nevada to dramatically increase miner’s revenue.
Of
course, instead of complaining about the gold vs non gold post ratio,
you could have posted something useful regarding the sector. There is
always that opportunity.
5.14.10 Continued Fraud, Waste, and Abuse at the
Minerals Management Service
The administration rubber stamps drilling permits, sometimes
allowing drilling before the permit is even done.
So says the NY Times:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/14/us/14agency.html
Gee, that is exactly what the internal investigation found
LAST YEAR. Guess what the administration did then?
NOTHING!!!
5.14.10
Nobody ever makes the point, so allow me:
The 1980 spike in Price of Gold
(POG) was the first leg.
Something I NEVER see anyone
mention is thus:
The rise from $35 in 1971 to 2nd
Primary Wave Low in 1999 (at $255) is basically an order of magnitude
move in 30 years.
The previous time required for
prices to move an order of magnitude in the gold as money era (as
measured by price of hourly wages, homes and automobiles, primarily) was
40 years. (1930 to 1970).
So, it took 40 years for the
price of stuff to move up 10x. It took 30 years for the next 10x move
(a house cost 30k in 1970 cost 300 in 2000; a car cost 3k in 1970 cost
30k in 2000).
Very well could happen, the next
order of magnitude will only take 20 years.
2000 to 2020.
Here is a comparison of the most
recent large bull markets over the past 30 years:
http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-putting-the-gold-rally-in-context-with-prior-secular-bull-markets-2010-5
Note two very important items
within those bar charts:
1. The gold bull described above
(1971 to 1980) is not even mentioned, and
2. The Bond bull is the ONLY one
that hasn't crashed (YET!)
5.14.10 Sold Half of B2Gold Today
Around 1.73. Stock chart looking crappy.
5.13.10 1st
hand account of BP blowout
http://www.rigzone.com//news/article.asp?a_id=92765
5.12.10
Went long QID
...this morning. Timed it well,
through luck and circumstance.
5.11.10 Head of Nevada Department of
Conservation and Natural Resources (NDEP), Allen Biaggi, retires
30 Years worth. Nice guy, known for being respectful
and full of integrity. Rather young still, wonder why he wants out now??...??
http://www.dcnr.nv.gov/2010/03/biaggi-announces-retirement/
NDEP functions as one of the major permitting bodies for new
and existing mines in the State of Nevada.
Here is a list of the minimum permits required for new,
operational or abandoned mines:
http://minerals.state.nv.us/forms/mining/SPL6_StAndFedPermitsRequired_200907_V2.pdf
Fact is, it can take up to a year for some of these permits
to work their way through the state and public processes.
Better timeframes require the permittee understand the
process, the basic resources, the environmental and safety aspects of mining
operations, the issues of concern that arise from resource 'taking', the
socio-economic factors impacted by resource development, the technical aspects
of mining development and operation, and the permitting and public review
process. Few are those that can handle every one of these regulatory
slices.
The most effective and efficient timeline requires that each
of these separate permits be phases such that they aid and assist, rather than
hinder, each other.
Any one of the permitting requirements can take on a life of
their own, full of idiosyncrasies and challenges and quests none can imagine
upon inception.
Your property might be a great resource, but if the minerals
lie within ancestral homelands, as does
Mount Tenabo, the fight could drag on long, expansive and expensive.
http://intercontinentalcry.org/court-denies-injunction-to-protect-mt-tenabo/
Your resource may have previously been considered
economically viable, but how will that change due to new state grabs into the
miners purse bags through
increased mining revenue taxations?
http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/Nevada_Mining_Tax_Measure_(2010)
5.7.10 Even an English Teacher can
figure out Real Economics:
"Tomatoes and Cheap Labor
CHEAP TOMATOES?
This should make everyone think, be you Democrat, Republican or
Independent
From a California school teacher - - -
"As you listen to the news about the student protests over illegal
immigration, there are some things that you should be aware of:
I am in charge of the English-as-a-second-language* department at a
large *second language??
southern California high school which is designated a Title 1
school, should be the only
meaning that its students average lower socioeconomic and income
levels. language
Most of the schools you are hearing about, South Gate High, Bell
Gardens ,
Huntington Park , etc., where these students are protesting, are
also Title
1 schools.
Title 1 schools are on the free breakfast and free lunch program.
When I say
free breakfast, I'm not talking a glass of milk and roll -- but a
full
breakfast and cereal bar with fruits and juices that would make a
Marriott
proud. The waste of this food is monumental, with trays and trays of
it
being dumped in the trash uneaten.
I estimate that well over 50% of these students are obese or at
least
moderately overweight. About 75% or more DO have cell phones. The
school
also provides day care centers for the unwed teenage pregnant girls
(some as
young as 13) so they can attend class without the inconvenience of
having to
arange for babysitters or having family watch their kids.
I was ordered to spend $700,000 on my department or risk losing
funding for the upcoming year even though there was little need for
anything
my budget was already substantial. I ended up buying new computers
for the
computer learning center, half of which, one month later, have been
carved
with graffiti by the appreciative students who obviously feel
humbled and
grateful to have a free education in America ..
I have had to intervene several times for young and substitute
teachers
whose classes consist of many illegal immigrant students, here in
the
country less then 3 months, who raised so much hell with the female
teachers
calling them "Putas" (whores) and throwing things, that the teachers
were in
tears.
Free medical, free education, free food, free day care etc., etc,
etc. Is
it any wonder they feel entitled to not only be in this country but
to
demand rights, privileges and entitlements?
To those who want to point out how much these illegal immigrants
contribute
to our society because they LIKE their gardener and housekeeper and
they
like to pay less for tomatoes: spend some time in the real world of
illegal
immigration and see the TRUE costs.
Higher insurance, medical facilities closing, higher medical costs,
more
crime, lower standards of education in our schools, overcrowding,
new
diseases etc., etc, etc. For me, I'll pay more for tomatoes.
Americans, We need to wake up.
It does, however, have everything to do with culture: It involves an
American third-world culture that does not value education, that
accepts
children getting pregnant and dropping out of school by 15 and that
refuses
to assimilate, and an American culture that has become so weak and
worried
about "political correctness" that we don't have the will to do
anything
about it.
CHEAP LABOR? Isn't that what the whole immigration issue is about?
Business doesn't want to pay a decent wage.
Consumers don't want expensive produce.
Government will tell you Americans don't want the jobs.
But the bottom line is cheap labor. The phrase "cheap labor" is a
myth, a
farce, and a lie. There is no such thing as "cheap labor."
Take, for example, an illegal alien with a wife and five children.
He takes
a job for $5.00 or 6.00/hour. At that wage, with six dependents, he
pays no
income tax, yet at the end of the year, if he files an Income Tax
Return, he
gets an "earned income credit" of up to $3,200 free.
He qualifies for Section 8 housing and subsidized rent.
He qualifies for food stamps.
He qualifies for free (no deductible, no co-pay) health care.
His children get free breakfasts and lunches at school.
He requires bilingual teachers and books.
He qualifies for relief from high energy bills.
If they are, or become, aged, blind or disabled, they qualify for
SSI. If
qualified for SSI they can qualify for Medicaid. All of this is at
(our)
taxpayer's expense.
He doesn't worry about car insurance, life insurance, or homeowners
insurance.
Taxpayers provide Spanish language signs, bulletins and printed
material.
He and his family receive the equivalent of $20.00 to $30.00/hour in
benefits.
Working Americans are lucky to have $5.00 or $6..00/hour left after
paying their bills and his.
Cheap labor? YEAH RIGHT!"
5.6.10 Turns out, not only are the
anthropogenic global warming fanatics wrong,
there is now a clinical diagnosis for their compulsive,
erratic and obsessive behaviors:
http://www.voxy.co.nz/national/psychiatry-congress/5/47523
5.5.10 The Collapse of Our Nation
i.e. Obamacare
Read it and weep...
http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/getdoc.cgi?dbname=111_cong_bills&docid=f:h3590enr.txt.pdf
5.5.10 Biggest Oil Spill ever will
Destroy Wildlife Refuges and National Parks
Meanwhile, the head honchos for both national parks and
wildlife refuges had better things to do then prepare the coast for an
environmental onslaught.
They went river rafting, down the Grand Canyon.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2010/05/while-oil-slick-spread-interior-department-chief-of-staff-rafted-with-wife-in-grand-canyon-.html
And when that started to look in REAALLLY bad taste, even for
lifer pols, the taxpayers paid the helicopter to pick them off the river and
deposit them back into the limelight!
Good job guys!
5.4.10 Crestmont Research goes on a
limb,
predicts a minimum of 0.50 bbp increase in fed funds rates
within 6 mos!
http://www.crestmontresearch.com
5.4.10 BLM Nevada to put over 100
geothermal parcels on the auction block.
Live registered bids.
http://www.blm.gov/pgdata/etc/medialib/blm/nv/minerals/geothermal.Par.68856.File.dat/GEOSalenotice%20finalz%20NOTICE.pdf
5.3.10 DOI pulls BP Safety and
Environmental Record
That's right, the MMS (part of DOI) had planned on presenting
BP a safety and environmental award this week!
Actually, the deep sea oil extraction sector HAS had a very
good safety and environmental record over the past 30 years. Safety record rates
are tracked by hours lost time per hours worked. The
DEPARTMENT of INTERIOR has an INCREDIBLY POOR safety and environmental record.
This DOI safety lost time record has historically been one of the worst in the
administration, with safety losses MULTIPLES higher than the industries it
regulates.
Try a little research before denigrating the honest men and women making a
living supplying the petro and minerals you demand as an integral part of your
daily life.
5.3.10 Remember this one, an oldy moldy,
all the way from a WHOLE YEAR AGO?
MASSIVE FRAUD, THEFT, WASTE AND ABUSE AT DEPARTMENT OF
INTERIOR MINERALS MANAGEMENT SERVICE.
http://blogs.federaltimes.com/federal-times-blog/2009/01/28/salazar-to-visit-mms/
Ah, nothing to see here folks, just the bureaucrat/criminal
class trading SEX and DRUGS for Mineral Leases and then MISSAPPEARING (Theft)
the money for personal benefit.
You know, the ones 'regulating' BP operations in the Gulf.
Yep, we sure got a good deal on THAT one?
You know how many MMS folks were fired for this, by either
administration?
Guess....
Here is comes....
000 ZERO 000 SERO 000 CERRO 000 ZERO 000 NADA 000 NILCH 000 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
But don't worry, Salazar and cronies are RIGHT on TOP of the
spills response, and getting paid by the hour, overtime, on your account.
Look what a great job they've done so far!
5.3.10 How to Make Money on the Oil
Spill...
So, what ARE YOU GOING TO DO to get a piece of the
pie?
Based on experience from the last oil spill in San
Francisco Bay (Cosco Busan), there will be LOTS OF EASY money flowing
from the admin and BP in the gulf.
What is your plan to siphon a bit off the top?
-
Invest
in Dawn (the BEST oil spill dispersant, anywhere)
No, that is often a guess of the newbies. The
reality is that Proctor and Gamble are a VERY large consolidated
materials conglomerate. Soap is a small piece of their pie. Moreover,
there is ALWAYS an oil spill somewhere – so the actual amount of soap
produced is not as you might think. However, makers of ALTERNATIVE
cleanup/remediation technoliges often get a shot in the arm. One
example last time was makers of cleanup absorbents made out of human and
other animal hair (it actually works pretty well).
-
BP is
down 15%. Buy the bad news? Haliburton/WEL also immediate plays.
-
Who
will SUPPLY the FOOD for all the cleanup crews on the south coast?
Get a part of that.
-
Increased government and BP contracts for the typical hazmat
response firms, especially those in SE USA.
-
Will
Price of Oil go up or down? What about the substitutes? Make a play
on both the underlying substituted commodity (e.g. play nat gas via
ETF UNG) or buy the solar/nuclear equipment manufacturers.
-
Consultants will get a payday heyday. Both the big firms that do
env response design (URS, TT, Bechtel, CH2M etc)
-
Who
makes the booms, pads, pigs, nitrile gloves, scrubbers and other
gear (hint Dupont makes TYVEK! )
Just a few ideas for your further rumination…
5.3.10 Oooh, oil spill recovery. THE
ADMINISTRATION FINALLY CAME UP WITH A REAL JOBS PLAN!!!
5.3.10 Most folks in
type-before-you-get-a-degree-or-understand-basic-principles-of-the-subject land
talking about the spill have no clue what they are blogging
about.
The reality is you CAN plug a deep hole. BP will need to drill a series of wells
(not just one that you hear in the corporate schmedia) that will tie into the
existing tap.
Pressure is a function of volume. Increase the capacity of the delivery vessels
and the volume decreases. At some point - though BP doesn't know it at the
moment - the pressure will decrease to the point they can cap the well, via
insertion of heavier than oil/water weighting agents (barium cement, for example) and
blockers (layers of various urethane foams and plastic plates).
2.10 Essential Toolbox Contents
This is a great list, well a start...
http://www.artofmanliness.com/2009/02/17/12-essential-tools-for-a-toolbox/
...for beginners, anyway.
AND some very wise posts in this thread.
Please allow me to note:
Only one person mentioned a welder!! (semi-genius)
Only one person mentioned a puller!! (semi-genius)
Only one person mentioned solder !! (semi-genius)
[Solder now in the US cannot have lead. The new stuff doesn't
really work]
NOBODY mentioned:
Basin wrench
Tap and Die set!!!
Drill bit sharpener
Hand Drill!!! (what will you do without power, eh?)
Drill bit extender
Deburrer
Pipe cutter
Metal detector
Metal (paint) scrapers
Rasp!!
hydraulic or scissors (or both) Jack
Block and tackle
House jack (seriously, you may need to lift a wall, or
portion thereof, to repair a foundation)
...and I won't even start on about machine shop tools.
I have been gathering up tools for five years now at
auctions, garage sales and estate sales. (I started basic house rehab on
the side). Above are really rather basic and essential tools, nothing
fancy.
Essentially, there is very little quality stuff made
in north america anymore. Almost anything I have bought from Asia in the
past 10 years has been absolute garbage in fancy plastic packaging and a
colorful label.
Thankfully for me I live in a town where the very old
military base shut down. The government workers would often steal tools,
entire shops actually, and bring them home. As the old men die off their
foolish heirs sell the tools at a song. Most of these tools made in
Chicago, Cleveland and Detroit in the 1920s - 1940s STILL work. I
literally have broken 'tools' recently bought at Home Depot, Harbor Freight,
Sears etc that have broke upon first usage! Some of the older tools I have
I don't know their usage, and I still can't find anyone who knows. I have
PERSONALLY witnessed 10 different men try to repair a boiler made in the 1960s.
Not only are decent tools getting scarce, but the *industrial knowledge* base in
now fading.
Wish I had better news here. The bright side is some
industrial arts co-ops are starting to form, to teach these lost crafts/arts.
Bottom line: Stock up NOW. Some of these tools are
starting to become rare, and even basic tools of high quality are getting scarce
in some series.
5.1.10 2010 NorCal Coin Shows
http://home.earthlink.net/~beedon/calshows.htm
5.1.10 Makes Sense to Me
From one who voted for the Arizona legislation, why and how
and who:
I'm Arizona State Senator Sylvia Allen. I want to explain SB 1070 which I voted
for and was just signed by Governor Jan Brewer. Rancher Rob Krantz was murdered
by the drug cartel on his ranch a month ago. I participated in a senate hearing
two weeks ago on the border violence, here is just some of the highlights from
those who testified.
The people who live within 60 to 80 miles of the Arizona/Mexico Border have for
years been terrorized and have pleaded for help to stop the daily invasion of
humans who cross their property . One Rancher testified that 300 to 1200 people
a DAY come across his ranch vandalizing his property, stealing his vehicles and
property, cutting down his fences, and leaving trash. In the last two years he
has found 17 dead bodies and two Koran bibles.
Another rancher testified that daily drugs are brought across his ranch in a
military operation. A point man with a machine gun goes in front, 1/2 mile
behind are the guards fully armed, 1/2 mile behind them are the drugs, behind
the drugs 1/2 mile are more guards. These people are violent and they will kill
anyone who gets in the way. This was not the only rancher we heard that day that
talked about the drug trains.
One man told of two illegal's who came upon his property one shot in the back
and the other in the arm by the drug runners who had forced them to carry the
drugs and then shot them. Daily they listen to gun fire during the night it is
not safe to leave his family alone on the ranch and they can't leave the ranch
for fear of nothing being left when they come back.
The border patrol is not on the border. They have set up 60 miles away with
check points that do nothing to stop the invasion. They are not allowed to use
force in stopping anyone who is entering. They run around chasing them, if they
get their hands on them then they can take them back across the border.
Federal prisons have over 35% illegal's and 20% of Arizona prisons are filled
with illegal's. In the last few years 80% of our law enforcement that have been
killed or wounded have been by an illegal.
The majority of people coming now are people we need to be worried about. The
ranchers told us that they have seen a change in the people coming they are not
just those who are looking for work and a better life.
The Federal Government has refused for years to do anything to help the border
states. We have been over run and once they are here we have the burden of
funding state services that they use. Education cost have been over a billion
dollars. The healthcare cost billions of dollars. Our State is broke, $3.5
billion deficit and we have many serious decisions to make. One is that we do
not have the money to care for any who are not here legally. It has to stop.
The border can be secured. We have the technology we have the ability to stop
this invasion. We must know who is coming and they must come in an organized
manner legally so that we can assimilate them into our population and protect
the sovereignty of our country. We are a nation of laws. We have a
responsibility to protect our citizens and to protect the integrity of our
country and the government which we live under.
I would give amnesty today to many, but here is the problem, we dare not do this
until the Border is secure. It will do no good to forgive them because thousands
will come behind them and we will be over run to the point that there will no
longer be the United States of America but a North American Union of open
borders. I ask you what form of government will we live under?
How long will it be before we will be just like Mexico, Canada or any of the
other Central American or South American countries? We have already lost our
language, everything must be printed in Spanish also. We have already lost our
history it is no longer taught in our schools. And we have lost our borders.
The leftist media has distorted what SB 1070 will do. It is not going to set up
a Nazi Germany. Are you kidding. The ACLU and the leftist courts will do
everything to protect those who are here illegally, but it was an effort to try
and stop illegal's from setting up businesses, and employment, and receiving
state services and give the ability to local law enforcement when there is
probable cause like a traffic stop to determine if they are here legally.
Federal law is very clear if you are here on a visa you must have your papers on
you at all times. That is the law. In Arizona all you need to show you are a
legal citizen is a driver license, MVD identification card, Native American
Card, or a Military ID. This is what you need to vote, get a hunting license,
etc.. So nothing new has been added to this law. No one is going to be stopped
walking down the street etc... The Socialist who are in power in DC are angry
because we dare try and do something and that something the Socialist wants us
to do is just let them come. They want the "Transformation" to continue.
Maybe it is too late to save America. Maybe we are not worthy of freedom
anymore. But as an elected official I must try to do what I can to protect our
Constitutional Republic. Living in America is not a right just because you can
walk across the border. Being an American is a responsibility and it comes by
respecting and upholding the Constitution the law of our land which says what
you must do to be a citizen of this country. Freedom is not free.
4.30.10 May Day, May Day
Obama appoints Janet Yellen to Fed Board of Governors.
She had been on the San Francisco Fed for years. Her main accomplishment
there was to oversee the complete collapse of the economies of Nevada and
California. Great job Janet, time for a promotion in the administration!!
4.30.10 hell, at least bush visited NOLA
during Katrina
"nice job brownie!"
remember that one?
(Bush patting the incompetent bureaucrat on the back as the
city drowned with fraud and disaster).
He should still be cleaning mold out of the 9th ward, would there be justice.
4.30.10 Major Environmental and Economic
DISASTER
One of the Largest Oil Spills in Gulf Coast History.
Caused by an EXPLOSION of UNKNOWN reason.
But nope, not errorism, nope. Only white 'militia' and tea
partiers and Muslims on airplanes are terrorist!!
During Cosco Busan in 2007, the coast guard swore up and down
that 480 gallons leaked. They didn't change their story until the next morning,
when they said it was over 50,000 gallons. The Coast Guard actually TURNED DOWN
mutual aid request from Port of San Francisco emergency vessels during the first
(critical) two hours of the spill. The original Incident Commander WALKED
OFF THE JOB! The Rapid Response Team WAS GETTING BOMBED IN LAS VEGAS at
the time and waltzed back.
You know how many govt officials were arrested, reprimanded
or docked pay?
ZERO!
4.30.10 Don't worry, the government will
send a team out to determine how the well and platform failed/blew up
in the gulf of Mexico.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/04/30/93216/obama-wont-back-off-drilling-plans.html
Hope they don't send the same one that 'investigated' WTC7,
government-produced anthrax sent to the senate, flight 93, and the destruction
of the banking system...
It's OK, I think OJ still has that crew on retainer looking
for Nicole's 'real killer'
4.30.10 The Genesis Lake EIS has
provisions for activities planned out until the year 2350.
240 years from now. Our country isn't even that old.
The geologists and planners think out centuries.
The politicians think out until the next budget fight or
election cycle, whichever is closer (nevermore than 12 months away).
From the Genesis EIS:
"The Genesis Pit lake is not expected to begin
forming from the rebounding regional water table until about 2130. When
groundwater levels reach equilibrium at an elevation of 5225 feet amsl,
the regional groundwater flow system will flow from the Genesis area
north toward the Betze/Post Mine area. The amount of groundwater flow
from the Genesis Pit to the regional groundwater flow system is
predicted to be low (one to two gpm). Model predictions show that 90
percent of the pit lake infilling would be completed by 2350."
4.30.10 BLM, Elko District, Currently
has three Environmental Impact Statements
Under public review for expansion of gold operations in the
county.
http://www.blm.gov/nv/st/en/fo/elko_field_office.html
Good stuff!
4.30.10 Bank robbery foisted by man with
concealed weapon
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100430/NEWS/100430013
Gee, how come AP/MSN/CBSwestinghouse/NBC/ABCcapcities didn't
break the story, much less carry the news...
4.30.10 Uh huh. Oil up another buck
But the geothermal and
nat gas sells off…
4.30.10 As anyone who has participated
on an oil spill response already knows...
There is no glory, press, or funding for actually PREVENTING
the oil from hitting the shore.
The reality is the administrations NEEDS the oil to hit the
land, so there is an ecological disaster, so that
...the camera crews are there in force
...the politicians have a nice photo op for grandstanding
...the government agencies get more pull in demanding
'additional federal funds' to prevent the next disaster
... the local agencies get 'cleanup' and 'restoration' monies
That's the way it works, from one who has been there.
4.29.10 Even Bill Clinton is a gold bug.
Just before the two minute mark billy goat lets the state
secret slip: our country has been swimming around the toilet bowl since going
off honest money.
http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/56731.html
No honest money = no honest politicians.
The power produces an aphrodisiac that requires constant
higher doses. These doses are available only for the kingmakers, and they demand
complete fealty and service.
Today the current puppet -in-chief enacted an executive
directive lowering the flag, at some sites, for some two-bit political whore,
now discarded.
He should have honored this honorable american who woke up,
albeit late: John Farmer
From Publishers Weekly
"(John) Farmer, senior counsel to the 9/11 Commission, updates the
commission's report in this thorough and bipartisan analysis.
Drawing on newly declassified records and recent investigative
reports from the departments of defense and transportation, the
author concludes that the failure to detect and prevent the attack
lay in the [bureaucratic] nature of modern government. ... Farmer
faults the disconnect between decision-makers and operational
employees, concluding that leadership was irrelevant on 9/11 and the
official version of events was almost entirely, and inexplicably,
untrue. ..."
4.28.10 Today, an inside day on the S&P
500
Means range bound action until it breaks either way.
4.25.10 Buckminster Fuller - One of
America's Greatest Philosopher-Scientists
Should be mandatory reading for every american:
http://reactor-core.org/grunch-of-giants.html
4.24.10 Worth a Read, How Phases of the
Moon affect Human Behaviors, including Investing and Stock Markets
http://lunar.behaviouralfinance.net/
4.23.10 What the new Financial
Regulations mean
Goldman Sachs already has Obama working for them.
Now they want you to fund their risk mitigation division.
True story!
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/Goldman-rallies-for-Obama-in-Wall-Street-_reform_-90957879.html
Reality is we don't need new regulations, we need someone to
enforce the multiple and myriad regulations on the books.
Problem here is the corrupt politicians don't have the spine
and the administration is so corrupt that the 'regulators' spend more time
surfing the internet for porn than they do building cases for prosecution.
http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/04/23/2010-04-23_porn_among_daily_duties_of_top_sec_honchos_sez_report.html
NONE of those abusers was fired! Government efficiency on
your behalf - prime example.
Quick, can you name 10 high profile prosecutions by the SEC
over the past decade? How about ONE?
Nope, but I bet you heard about Elliot Spitzer...
So, now to turn that prime example of government efficiency
to the healthcare fraud:
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100423/NEWS12/100423007/1004/news01/Report-says-Obama-s-health-care-will-cover-more-cost-more
4.21.10 The New Federal Reserve Note
http://www.newmoney.gov/newmoney/Default.aspx
Note the 'gold' 100 imprint. The fed know that
confidence in their fiat ponzi scheme is plummeting, so they grasp onto whatever
shred of respectability and stability they think they can get past the public.
But the public ain't buying it anymore...
4.21.10 The World's Top Five Holders of
GLD - the Gold mimic Exchange Traded Fund
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10731326/1/gold-etf-investors-influence-gold-price.html
4.21.10 Quadra Produces almost 50Million
Ounces of Copper in ONE QUARTER.
Takes the entire state of Nv to produce that much gold in ONE
YEAR.
http://miningquarterly.com/articles/2010/04/20/news/doc4bcde66480808503835317.txt
The most interesting part of the article is the last two
paragraphs (by then most folks stop reading?)
Quadra working with Chinese Military to develop copper
deposits.
So that they can develop ware materiel to use against us
after we stop paying on our debt...
4.18.10 Gasoline costs up 41% over the
year.
But the March Consumer Price Index reports no inflation!
4.18.10 More Geothermal Investment in
Northern Nevada
Vulcan Energy from Oregon invests in Fernley property:
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100418/NEWS/4180368
4.15.10 Tax Day
Is it going to the causes YOU support?
Sure, roads and bridges - right.
For every dollar spent on a bridge, over $350 is spent
on endless war, now lasting twice as long as WWII!
4.15.10 More on Hawaii Land Prices
http://www.hawaiitribune-herald.com/articles/2010/04/08/local_news/local03.txt
Not even the decent parcels are selling.
4.13.10 Interesting Read
http://intheknow7.wordpress.com/2010/03/25/kissinger-palin-mengele-how-deep-does-the-rabbit-hole-go-monarch-mind-control-global-management-team-pt-1/
The videos of Meade and Spears go a little beyond
infortainment...
4.12.10 BLM Trying to Decide/Public
Meeting on American Flat Mill, Virginia City
The largest concrete mill (precious metals) in the US.
http://miningquarterly.com/articles/2010/04/12/news/doc4bc34cd5ce697901918622.txt
This was always a great place for a party. Take a mushroom
and walk along the exposed walls 50 feet off the ground!
Ah the stupidity of youth. A better shade of gold than
the stupidity of middle age!
The Interior Department (BLM) received a cash infusion via
the 'stimulus bull' to 'properly abandon' the many adits, mills, holes left
scattered throughout the desert.
4.8.10 Chuck Prince and Bob Rubin dog
and pony show.
These parasites were televised presenting their schtick to
congress this week. Fact is, the televised event of their indictment,
public hearings and prosecution for fraud and treason would have provided the
only meaningful inquiry.
While the plebes were disinformed by the 'news media'
regarding the geometry of Monica's stained dress, Bob Rubin engineered the
repeal of Glass Steagal Act - which directly contributed to the meltdown of the
banking sector.
Further, he recommended that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
insure the packaged dreck foisted as Mortgage Backed Securities (alter to be
known as Collateralized Debt Obligations; later to be called "Toxic Assets", now
called packaged foistable dreck.
Moreover, after he did the dirty work for the clinton regime
Bob was then hired as the 'risk advisor' for Citibank. So what did Bob do?
Why, he recommended that Citibank tank on even MORE risk on JUNK mortgage
bundles (now known as toxic assets) pushed by the new brokerage-banking houses
(thanks to Graham/Leach/Rubin/Clinton).
AIG, for it's part meanwhile, was writing insurance
UNCAPITALIZED insurance against these assets ('synthetics'). This
insurance was in place specifically to bailout the small banks that bet the
wrong way on the mortgage pools. What actually happened is that the
meaningless insurance was put in place so that Goldman Sachs could SHORT the
mortgage market ('credit default swaps'). GS was betting that the loans
they were underwriting (the mortgage you were taking out on your dream house)
were going to DEFAULT.
Goldman was right, your mortgage and financial health
COLLAPSED. And it was all engineered to happen by the same people who
engineered the scheme.
Rubin and his friends should be doing life with our parole.
Who actually took accountability for the mortgage meltdown:
NOBODY.
Who actually went to jail for the worst financial fraud
scheme in written history: NOBODY
Think of the next time you get pulled over for a traffic
ticket of fined for some b.s. bureaucratic infraction
4.8.10 Great interview this morning by
Bloomberg Radio this morning with Roger Lowenstein.
Roger authored “The End Of Wall Street" and explained the
financial crimes committed by wall street and the criminal senators with
'oversight'.
4.7.10 Chinese Coin Counterfeiting
Here is a good series of pics about a Chinese counterfeit
coinage ring:
http://coins.about.com/od/worldcoins/ig/Chinese-Counterfeiting-Ring/
I've never once purchased something from China that wasn't a
compete piece of crap...
Sure, America's morals are in decline and her fortunes are
falling as a result.
But China? Not like they've ever really had much going
for them in the past 5,000 years.
Now they are in peak production, and cheap crap is the legacy
they'll leave behind (for a shelf like of a few years anyway)
4.4.10 Nevada vs. Delaware LLC
Nevada still has no income
taxes, but they are raising fees and taxes elsewhere. For example there
is now a $200 dollar fee on Nevada LLCs for a ‘business license’, on top
of the previous filing fee.
Personally, I think Nevada is
now cutting their throat. All those folks that bought on the dream of a
Nv LLC to somehow protect their businesses will eventually even migrate
moreso to the better Delaware LLC.
Delaware series LLC is better
than Nv LLC b.c. you can safely hold more than one property in just one
LLC, all protected from each other Each separate property is an
individual series. They function similar to a subsidiary within other
corporate formations. .
In addition Nv is now
considering taxing labor costs on services
Apparently Texas is now doing the same thing.
No
free lunch.
Especially when they regulate the soil, water and air; oversee what is
organic and not; administer the poison and sewage poured on the crop;
regulate the transportation of the food; inspect the packing plants;
regulate the kitchen, oversee the staff serving the food, tax the
business serving the meal; and then charge for the pleasure of tanking
in some nourishment.
The
bureaucracy will eventually consume all oxygen in the room until we kill
the parasite…
4.3.10 Remember the push for the 'Know
Your Customer Act"
The one where they wanted to track every one of your
financial transactions?
Well, what we really need is a "Know your Banker Act".
The one where you can track the criminals running the show.
Here's a start for you:
Troubled Banks
http://bankimplode.com/list/troubledbanks.htm
4.1.10 Looking for a technology to
vacuum medium grained sand, sandstone parent.
We want to vacuum dredge (super sucker) in a four inch cone,
if possible, up to depths of 20 feet and using sampling core of 15 feet;
conducting metals analysis at two foot intervals.
Please do forward your latest field example report.
Most obliged.
4.1.10 Nevada Mining Tax increase on the
fast track
http://miningquarterly.com/articles/2010/03/31/news/doc4bb3d3fcdb82b494628343.txt
When they start to amend your constitution to change the
wording from a MAXIMUM tax rate to a MINIMUM tax rate, be afraid.
Be very afraid!
4.1.10 This is terrible! One of my
favorite bars in the great state of Nv, CLOSED.
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100331/NEWS/100331054
Any of you who sat at the watering hole once held tight by
Frank and boys, amid antler encrusted ceiling with a view over the deep blue
azure knows exactly of what I bespeak.
4.1.10 The bestest most newest Gold Bug
for our Viewing Pleasure
Forget Nadler at Kitco, we pegged his shill gig rightly.
The more important piece for analysis is one lovely Alex Stiele:
http://www.kitco.com/Exclusive-News/
Sure, she doesn't actually say ANYTHING in her four-second treatises, but it is
HOW she says it that corrals my interest.
3.31.10 PCGS, the largest coin grading
company, releases their super-hyped Secure-Shield product.
(Collectors Universe is the parent company)
Yawn. Methinks PCGS just jumped the shark.
3.29.10 Iamgold Corp Started At Neutral
By HSBC Securities
Mar 29, 2010 08:42:36 (ET) - (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Now, how is it that a securities firm has enough interest to
begin following a firm, but not enough interest to proffer an opinion on the
companies fortunes one way or another?
hmm....
3.27.10 In 1923 the Bank of Nevada
Savings and Trust Company
Paid 5% interest every 6 months on a 1,500 deposit. The
firm was established by mining magnate George Wingfield (still the company
president in 1923) and was well capitalized at $140,.000. At the time and
in addition to healthy interest rates of return, banks would still send out
Anniversary Greetings or Christmas cards to express grateful sentiment to all
beneficent supporters.
Now, instead of thanking supporters, they rape 'consumers'.

3.27.10 Martin Armstrong's Latest
http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/From-the-Hole-5-3-23-10.pdf
3.26.10 Went Short Japanese Yen
Sold GDX
3.26.10 Aetna Poses quarterly loss
But the big story is they were actually able to open a mine
in California!
http://miningquarterly.com/articles/2010/03/26/news/doc4baceafc39fd8866389201.txt
3.26.10 Nice list of Geology Software
And they don't even have Runge, Netpath, Surfer, Vulcan
etc...
http://www.ndsu.nodak.edu/pubweb/~sainieid/software/software_list.shtml
3.26.10 Tungsten exposure causes
leukemia?
interesting article and comments:
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100325/NEWS/100325041/Tungsten-remains-at-center-of-cancer-cluster-probe
3.26.10 California to Legalize Marijuana
via ballot
About time (err, 50 years late actually).
Next
ballot initiative in 2011 will overturn Prop 13. That will drive the
boomer parasites to suck off another state medical system and allow the
working families to finally buy housing at the historic 1.5 annual
income ratio.
3.26.10 EUR/Germany/Greece
SNAFU
Well,
Yalta Conference was just about 65 years ago. At the time the three big
dicks, US/GB/Russia were arguing about Greece. Russia said, go ahead
US, you take em. US said, no, you go ahead and take them, please. So,
US/Russia foisted the bastard stepchild on GreatBritain/Germany. Stroke
of genius, really.
GB’s
descent into totalitarian irrelevancy surprises many. Germany is THE
economic engine of Europe, as it has been for the better part of 400
years. The problem NOW, is that Germany cannot escape its own shadow of
the past 90 years. In the latest chapter of fetid greek corruption
Germany SHOULD have stepped up to the plate, at claimed EUR as their
charge –sphere of control. Instead, they spoke out only for their own
fadderland. This played right into the US/Russia ballgame of the past 65
years. Germany will accrue the debt and shoulder the spoils in gilted
guilt.
Major
strategic misplay. And this amid a background of seriously shrinking GB
and Israel. Germany had the ring in their grasp and settled for silver
yet again; copper if it really wants.
3.25.10 Trust Us, We the Regulators are
to Keep YOU Honest
Chair of the California Regional Water Quality Control Board
allegedly failed to disclose her husband is a lobbyist for water dischargers.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/03/22/90846/water-regulator-failed-to-disclose.html
3.24.10 Great Basin Mining Watch
Attempts once again to Destroy Nevada Mining Industry
They are rather like acorn. Fail, go bankrupt, get booted and
simply fold up chairs, change name, and re-appear with the same old agenda.
Like a fungus.
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100323/NEWS07/100323052
3.24.10 Great Financial Sector Heat Map
http://finviz.com/map3d.ashx
3.24.10 Why did Forced Health
Registration Legislation Take so Long?
According to ranking member Dingell, it took that long to
build an administrative platform meant to 'Control the People'.
Of course, that has been the goal all along, this and every
other legislation passed in the past 100 years.
3.23.10 Bought UNG at @7.46
Right AT a 52 week 50% retracement; down 25% from when I last
sold.
In that same time period the geothermal producers (ORA, HTM)
are also down sharply, again about 25%.
Against that decline in gas and geothermal price of oil is up
4 or 5%.
Beware of trying to catch a falling knife and all that...no
major wager, majeure. Just a minor liner, miner.
Some of the discrepancy between nat gas, oil and geothermal
lies squarely with next major US senate action: pass the Carbon Credit Scam.
Perhaps time to sell healthcare sector (which rose early
yesterday against other sectors falling in price, and anchored the rise higher
in DOW), because the certainty (sort of) in the medical/health care sector is
now IN? And the paired trade is sell the utilities and buy air monitoring
equipment until that fix is IN?
3.23.10 Read and Understand

3.23.10 Against massive public outcry
and bi-partisan opposition
Herr Obamao signs 'healthcare'
As predicted, they had to sign something - a piece of junk
lined with mirrors. Frankly, not much will change for me.
What actually happens?
- Those with absolutely nothing, no education, no ability or
common sense, and infinitesimal odds of making something of theirselves (i.e.
'democrats) get 'free health care'. That is, they must pay up to 2%
of their gross income or face a penalty up to $2,000. What actually
happens is that they will pay the fine up until it is time to deliver a child
out of wedlock and/or they face massive health care issues. AT that point they
will sign up for the 'free program' and dump the system as soon as they are
treated and/or give birth.
The quality of 'health care' they receive will increasingly
become sub-standard, as better care is forced (and has been for some time)
outside the system.
The state of Massachusetts has recently show the above
examples to a tee.
Don't worry, there is something in there for 'republicans'
too. The IRS will expand by a full army Division of tax 'collectors' to put your
health data in a database, onto the 'Health ID card' which you must carry, and
exert for tribute to the state. All under the 'penalty of law'. Thankfully
the IRS has always employed the bottom of the barrel. The local office
here has one Wackenhut guard, in his 60's, blind and near deaf. Frankly,
we would rather see the local group of incompetents live their live to their
dreams. Ultimately they turn against each other any way - the demonstrated
threat.
3.21.10 Good Article on Structural
Unemployment
The 'Jobs' are not coming back, ever.
Of course, the article is only good and not great, because it
flat out lies about the reasons for structural unemployment. Namely, this has
all been engineered by your 'leaders' so that the poor will eventually tire of
the 'ills of capitalism' and choose something else altogether - one world
government.
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/03/how-a-new-jobless-era-will-transform-america/7919/
The "Health Care Bill" and other garbage in the wings,
viruses yet to be unfurled, will ensure that!
Time to rethink...many things.
3.20.10 Red Chip radio, interview of
John Nadler of Kitco.com by Brad Klein.
Nadler calls the 'equilibrium price' in Price of Gold between
680-880.
He says the current 'price premium' is fear based.
Three years of fear?
Why stop now; outbreak of hope on the horizon?
3.17.10
Back from a couple weeks in HI.
State budget and private
economy an absolute shambles from what I could tell/saw/was informed.
And I had believed IL/CA/NV/AL/PA were in trouble.
HI drought getting worse, not
better. On top of that the state is actually getting involved in
wastewater issues. HI has developed quite a bit more water regulation in
just the last three years. Of course, the state is in it just for the
check; not like there is much groundwater to actually regulate. The
state would butcher water management anyway. For proof, look at how
poorly the natural resources have been managed by the state/homelands on
Kahoolawe over the past couple hundred years (and the isles of Nihoa and
Necker over the past 5000 years).
An enterprising sort of folk
with a PE could make decent coinage by arbitraging the Underground
Injection Control regulations against the state’s promulgation thereof.
HI has reciprocity on PE (engineer) stamps with other states. $350 for
a site visit, another $350 for a couple page stamped report. Two hours
or so all-in. Makes for some surfing time.
During the whole trip Not Once
did I hear a shred of financial radio. No local radio at all – just
import of the most base mass media over the airwaves. Found HI local TV
quite GOOD, but again nothing on the financial realm.
Still, I was amazed how cheap
property now is on Hawaii, Molokai and Maui. None of that will help the
local economy in the medium term. Long term how will the Isles develop a
production-based local economy? Better hope the price of shipping across
the ocean stays low; guess that’s an economic plan. And of course, the
new “Homeland” government should also streamline everything. (insert
smiley winky face).
Though personally I imagine they will take the easy way out and allow
gambling. Why produce anything (except more bad law and politicians)
when you can coax the Asians to leave a few quid on the table!?!
Maui does have a Winery
http://mauiwine.com/whites.html
Of course, they must import
about 80% of their grapes from California (they only have 25 acres of
vineyard).
Personally, I found their
white’s from Pineapple a little sweet for my taste, though the blanc was
serviceable.
And of course, Maui also had an
Internment Camp
It’s just that very few of them
ever heard about it. You won’t see it mentioned by many reports on the
subject by ‘the experts’.
http://en.allexperts.com/e/j/ja/japanese_american_internment.htm
But a few still remember the
Internment Camp that was outside Pa'ia (Ha’iku plantation). Even a
smaller subset know that the Japanese actually fired on Maui in WWII.
Mama’s used to have a newspaper report of the incident posted on the
bathroom wall but apparently the local Japanese historical revisionists
were successful in removing such yellow press affronts.
Maui doesn’t have a coin store
that I could tell. JM Coins out of Vancouver does appear to have a
retail outlet to move local rocks to the tourist trade plying Lahaina.
The local paper dealer only had maps, no financial ephemera whatsoever.
(HI financial paper is quite hard to come by in volume. The Hawaii’n are
more vocal than literate and the paper suffers mightily from the black
mold over time. Best paper dealer in the Sandwich chain is on Kau’ai.
Had hoped to have a better
scoping report this time around. (looked at land on Maui, Hawaii and
Molokai), just wasn’t meant to be.
I did find the Maui folks
friendlier this time, not sure how that happened. Suppose a decent
depression helps dive away the hubris a bit. This time was able to drive
along the coast from Kihei (last time the road was closed at Kipahulu).
Frightenly beautiful and not near as crowded as the other roads.
Overall a nice trip for the
enjoyment and relaxation, just not as productive as I had hoped.
Perhaps anathema???
3.17.10
Colorado Ski Trip
Should’ve stayed local for the
ski trip. Colorado snow was poor to moderate, though we did have some
minor fresh powder. Vail/Beaver Creek was crowded and conditions were
poor. Of course, locally Tahoe has had a banner year, some of the best
snow on the continent from all sources, along with Utah. You saw the
misery Banff/Vancouver endured this year. Taos had been near dry.
As a point in fact had a great
afternoon on Ski Spooner outside Leadville. Better snow than vail and
few people clogging the decent runs. Locals in Leadville set me up with
the best rental equipment I ever had (right now I am down to just three
pairs of cross country skis).
Had hoped to write up a blurb on
the National Mining Museum in Leadville. Perhaps some year. WORTH THE
TRIP, nuff said for today.
Pretty down too, did not expect
to see the painted ladies (Victorian Houses, folks; other ladies moved
on to ply their trade in Denver). Denver Mint tour also interesting,
worth the time alone for the propaganda spewed by Treasury. Quite
entertaining, actually. But SAVE YOUR DOLLARS for the SF Mint Next
month; Scott is organizing another coin show at the Old SF Mint; the one
last fall was a fan favorite, hence the redux.
Unfortunately the very bad
drought on the Colorado Plateau will continue. Colorado River will
sink even lower, raising water and power costs on the west coast. But
even that lower river opens new possibilities. Believe one can now hike
into the Hopi fortress from the Tanner trail. I understand this was not
previously possible (and certainly did not appear easy when I went down
the trail last March; even then the river was only 13,000 CFS – was
39,000 CFS ten years ago).
Few months ago a water man from
Hawai’I went down the length of the Colorado River in the Grand Canyon
STANDING on a long (paddle) board. First time this has been done in
written history (okay, 300 years). The guy dedicated the journal to the
fight for water rights by the indigenous everywhere.
Water, lock yours up NOW…
3.17.10
Metal.com
Just recently sold for $165,000
3.17.10
Regal Gold Coins
In our experience they've done
everything the told us they would do.
http://www.regalgoldcoins.com/
Buy Gold Coins
For those considering a Rollover
IRA might be worth giving them a call.
Great website too...
3.16.10
Very (really) Basic (beginning) Intro to Counterfeit Coin Detection -
The Date:
http://www.ngccoin.com/news/viewarticle.aspx?NewsletterNewsArticleID=736
In a related note, NGC
(mercury’s preferred Coin Conservation Company) opens a Grading Office
in Hong Kong. Now they can get the counterfeit slabs made using LOCAL
examples…
3.17.10 Of
course, the Chinese now counterfeiting Hawaiin Coinage
Do yourself a favor and peruse:
Hawaiian Coins, Token and
Paper Money. Maurice M. Gould & Kenneth Bressett. 1960 45 pgs
…Before dropping a dime.
3.16.10
Whoever Asked About Stained Currency,
Not easy to remove. If the gunk
is on the surface, you can use various treatments repeating solvent
applications and steaming. If the problem is truly a stain, you have a
chemical issue.
Should the stain be very recent,
the best choice is to freeze dry the paper (do not have the paper in the
liquid phase whatsoever). Use dry Ice (nitrogen) in a vacuum to enduce
sublimation in the paper (water in the paper goes form solid-state to
vapor-state without every becoming a liquid.
There are more expensive freeze
dry chambers that can be utilized but if the currency is actually worth
something, suggest using one of the tope ‘conservation’ firms to
slab/authenticate the piece.
ON PAPER RESTORATION
Perhaps you've entertained the
idea of learning the ways of paper restoration and curation. Here are a
few subjects that would come in very helpful:
Math (geometry and algebra)
Botany
Chemistry 1a
Chemistry 1b
Chemistry 1c
Atmospheric Science
Brief
Organic
Metallurgy
Physical Chemistry or BioChemistry
Textiles, Dyes and Fabrics
Printing
LASER
Paper
Artistry
Should obtaining a four year
science degree not appear in your likely life path, you could simply
focus on fixing a problem without necessarily understanding all the
chemistry and physics underlying the problem. For your edification here
are but a few sample problems you will likely encounter with collectible
paper:
Removal from facing, backings
Deacidification
pH adjustment
Removal of foxing and acid
staining
Retouching
Alkaline and metal salt
application
Tape Removal
Stain removal
Hole, Rip and Tear Repair
(Joining)
Archival Patches and Backing
Laser Use
Flood and Fire water damage
Paper Restoration Machinery
http://www.hua-stroefer.de/ge/g12/manchinery.pdf
Paper Restoration with LASER
http://www.artconservation.nl/content/doc/Final%20report%20section%206.pdf
Proper Paper Care
Oils
Eucalyptus oil. Widely available in California and
Australia; carried by some department and hardware stores.
Peanut butter to remove labels.
On nonporous surfaces (glossy paper, etc.)
consider Neutrogena Sesame Body Oil.
Avon Skin So Soft is another product that removes
certain gummy glues well.
Olive oil, especially for use on metal.
Solvents
WD40 removes labels off of metal well. Hairspray
will remove many stickers. As with all solvents, can leave a
stain.
Goof-Off works well on sticky paper backings. The
same manufacturer also makes a product which removes labels from glass
called Painters Pal.
Citrus is an acidic solvent. Citrus based products
such as Goo Gone work well removing paper from wood. This product is
combustible.
Acetone has its applications, but it's such a
highly flammable material that only specialists should use it.
Tape
United Label [Unitedlabel.com] makes a product
called "At-Tack" which feels like oil but won't leave residue.
Bestine can be found in art supply stores.
Although both finicky and expensive, practice will provide applications
that prove very useful. (Labels off newspapers, etc.) Use cotton, such
a Q-tip to apply.
Scotch tape: Put over the unwanted sticker, press
firmly, remove quickly.
A Good View on Paper Document
Restoration Philosophy:
http://www.coxrail.com/restoration.htm
3.16.10 What’s up in Gulf of
Aden?
Didn’t you hear that chick on
CoasttoCoastAm two nights ago? She explained very carefully that HAARP
accidentally opened a hole in the ozone layer and is letting in dark
energy 4th dimensional beings in the general area! Explains everything!
She laid out a couple other
nuggets, but don’t want to ruin the suspense in case you planned on
listening to the podcast…
2.26.10 MERS Gets Neutered?
LANDMARK DECISION PROMISES MASSIVE RELIEF FOR HOMEOWNERS AND
TROUBLE FOR BANKS
For OpEdNews: Ellen Brown - Writer
A landmark ruling in a recent Kansas Supreme Court case may have given millions
of distressed homeowners the legal wedge they need to avoid foreclosure. In
Landmark National Bank v. Kesler, 2009 Kan. LEXIS 834, the Kansas Supreme Court
held that a nominee company called MERS has no right or standing to bring an
action for foreclosure. MERS is an acronym for Mortgage Electronic Registration
Systems, a private company that registers mortgages electronically and tracks
changes in ownership. The significance of the holding is that if MERS has no
standing to foreclose, then nobody has standing to foreclose " on 60 million
mortgages. That is the number of American mortgages currently reported to be
held by MERS. Over half of all new U.S. residential mortgage loans are
registered with MERS and recorded in its name. Holdings of the Kansas Supreme
Court are not binding on the rest of the country, but they are dicta of which
other courts take note; and the reasoning behind the decision is sound.
The rest at:
http://www.opednews.com/articles/LANDMARK-DECISION-PROMISES-by-Ellen-Brown-090921-894.html
2.23.10 Canadian Premier Leaves Canada
and Seeks Health Care in US
Pretty funny, and accurate.
"An unapologetic Danny Williams says he was aware
his trip to the United States for heart surgery
earlier this month would spark outcry, but he
concluded his personal health trumped any public
fallout over the controversial decision".
Canadian Press. Tara Brautigam. 2.22.10
2.22.10 Let me google that for you.
The company finally comes out with a semi-useful app (the
only one I've used so far):
http://lmgtfy.com/
2.23.10 As much as I love piling on...
Even I can't believe Toyota practiced their craft so poorly
as to not put out a manufacturer bulleting rather than a forced position
requiring another recall, this time of the Avalon. Are there ANY Toyotas
not recalled in the past 24 months?
2.17.10 Great Site that Documents
Inflations Past
http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/inflation_history_Zimbabwe_USA_101620073
The big one hasn't yet hit, get prepared now...
(and the big one may well be an even worse spell of deflation
than we have just experienced!)
2.14.10 Global Warming Fracas Continues
to Unravel
IPCC Pushed Known Falsehoods as part of their propaganda
campaign:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/7231386/African-crops-yield-another-catastrophe-for-the-IPCC.html
Supposed Data that showed Anthropogenic Global Warming in now
'Lost'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1250872/Climategate-U-turn-Astonishment-scientist-centre-global-warming-email-row-admits-data-organised.html
2.14.10 mmmmm
Chocolate covered strawberries!
2.12.10 Nevada Geothermal Sector
Ram Power, of Reno, signs 20 year production deal with NV
Energy.
http://www.rgj.com/article/20100210/BIZ/100210037/1071/NV-Energy-inks-power-purchase-agreement
2.9.10 Major Ruling to Shake up 60 Years
of Nevada Water Rights
http://www.rgj.com/article/201002070920/NEWS07/100207004
And, a Decent Overview of the California Water War taking
Shape
http://www.callawyer.com/story.cfm?eid=907321&evid=1
Even operation of the pumps is matter of federal oversight:
http://aquafornia.com/archives/20165
What a mess. At least we have had a decent water year;
that will stave off anarchy for another 24 months...
2.9.10 As the Nevada Economy Plummets
The scavengers look to grab whatever is left - Mining Tax
Increase battle coming up next.
http://www.elkodaily.com/articles/2010/02/10/news/breaking_news/doc4b72e7531f384506353990.txt
All the fools that moved to Vegas in the last 6 years will
vote in the tax, and won't stop until the last sector of the last industry
leaves the state.
2.8.10 Toyota Finally cops to the
garbage called a Prius
Acknowledges brake failures; a week after I posted about it
here!
2.8.10 What the Grocery Store Looks Like
After Three days
without deliveries
http://foodies.blogs.starnewsonline.com/12274/grocery-crisis-in-d-c/?tc=ar
Virginia, 2010 snow storm.
THAT PICTURE is the reason why you NEED to prepare now!
2.8.10 And the Press reports NOTHING
About the Large Scale Financial meetings between
international bankers and Treasury Secretaries that have occurred in Switzerland
and Australia over the past couple weeks. These meetings are developing the
financial New World Order.
2.4.10 Head Start Impact Study Final
Report
The largest program in our public education proves a complete
unmitigated disaster and waste of resources. And none of the major new
outlets will even urn the story!
http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2010/0121_head_start_whitehurst.aspx
2.3.10 Give money to family?
1st They probably don’t
really need it; and would rather take your money instead of actually work a
second job/sell something/garage sale/pawn.
2nd
They probably don’t deserve it. Did they already pawn/sell everything?
Really, everything? Did they spend 85 hours last week trying to gain
some extra income? I doubt it. So that leaves CHARITY.
Charity does start at home.
But
first go look at the children burn hospital in Galveston or Fresno or
the children’s cancer unit at your local hospital.
And
then figure out which family could really use a break...
2.3.10 Toyota Blows Another
Rising customer complaints about the brakes:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8495132.stm
You've gotta love the Toyota QA/QC department. They're
not having problems with the windshield wipers, or radio, or dome headlight.
Nope, the accelerator sticks and the brakes fail!
The largest civilian organization fleet in the US, the United
States Postal Service, ran a fleet of almost 215,000 vehicles predominantly on
CNG from 1979 through 1996. At that time they began phasing CNG out b.c.:
1) Gas was cheap
2) b.c. gas was cheap, the public and other commercial users began moving away
from CNG.
3) the economy of scale was lost,
4) 2 of the 3 domestic manufactures of conversion kits closed up shop
Then the fools called Congress forced the ethanol production scam.
Now, the USPS is looking to re-tool the fleet back to variable or fixed
alternative fuels.
Lessons learned from the previous 15 year operational history are that CNG does
work and has about the same efficiency, cost and scale parameters as gasoline or
diesel.
The major drawbacks of CNG are:
1. Increased flammability of the fuel and associated risks
2. Ford never quite perfected the upper end of the engine regarding suitability
for transfer FROM gasoline to CNG. Service costs as a result remained high.
Right now Ford is producing some of the best cars on the planet, with a very
strong management team. Last I researched Nissan was the best overall car
manufacturer but Ford was just a hair behind, in second place. (Toyota was no
longer even in the top 5).
Ford only NOW should be up to the challenge to produce sound retrofit kits
and/or CNG cars off the assembly line.
Those are operational facts.
1.27.10 Guess What Else is Prohibited
Getting your money out of Money Market Funds:
http://www.zerohedge.com/
1.27.10 State of the Union Address: Had
me in Stitches
Funniest charade I've seen in quite some time! My
favorite part was when he said he would double US exports within five years!(*)
(* Subject to 'National Security Concerns)
That's right, NATIONAL SECURITY (crony contracts) trumps
bilateral trade - you heard it straight from the horses ass.
In other words, see my post two below where the US Treasury
Department is REFUSING INVESTMENT IN US MINES as a matter of policy.
And then they panned on the fugly-soul commissar. Hey
did you hear about how the guy working for TSA who planted white powder on an
innocent bystander last week 'as a joke' was brought up on charges?
No, Me neither...
1.27.10 Thousand of Toyota Car Customers
Left Holding the Bag and in the Dark
http://wcbstv.com/consumer/toyota.recall.dealerships.2.1453416.html
Frankly, I am surprised how many tools actually still buy
Toyota. Just a cursory amount of decent research will show that this brand
peaked years ago, and has been riding on outdated sense of quality ever since.
I don't plan on ever buying another one given the fiascos we had with our last
one - a true piece of junk.
The last two cars we have purchased have been Nissan.
They have both been EXCELLENT cars, no problems at all. Our due diligence had us
looking at Ford as a second choice, for both cars. Ford was just a little lower
than Nissan when we looked in 2002 and 2006. I have been looking again and
hope to by a Ford next. My favorite care so far was a Ford.
1.27.10 Toyota is also shutting down a
US plant, ramping up this week
The NUMMI plant was a joint venture with that other giant of
waste -GM. Large employer in Fremont, Ca. Drove by last Saturday and the place
was on skeleton staff. This week they held an advance canning session captured
on you tube. Showed ignorance on all sides.
Oh well, lost another major factory. No biggie. Kids today who become FEDERAL
POLICE will not have to pay back their college loans according to dear leader
this evening.
Who needs a factor job? Not nearly green/national security enough...
1.25.10 BIG PROBLEM in US Mining
Nobody is carrying this story, so I will...
There is not much domestic capital or credit available to small and midcap US
mining companies. It takes large amounts of money to fund a company that has
explored and discovered economic mining deposits and turn those deposits into a
producing property. Mills and processing units require large amounts of power,
water and CASH.
The Chinese have actively been buying up property in Nevada and have recently
begun to fund producers.
One such line of credit was extended by the Chinese, to the tune of almost $300M
USD, to the firm First Gold.
http://firstgoldcorp.com/default.asp
However, the US Treasury Department has DENIED the investment transaction based
upon UNSPECIFIED ‘National Security’ concerns.
Nevada is in the midst of a depression (not a recession) based upon dozens of
economic statistics and elementary analysis. Nevada needs increased employment
and a decent tax base. The US needs to minimize its trade deficit with CHINA.
One way to do this is to accept their cash (return of US Treasuries) to develop
POWER and MINING Infrastructure. In turn the state and the US will be able to
export physical gold to the highest bidder (which has been the Chinese for the
past several years).
Do not allow domestic enemies in the US Treasury to derail domestic
infrastructure and manufacturing.
Senator Harry Reid’s office is aware of this negative development but NEEDS TO
HEAR from You.
Further, the Nevada Lieutenant Governor, Brian Krolicki, has worked to reverse
this block against domestic gold production. He is the one who signed the
Memorandum of Agreement with the Chinese.
Brian also announced a Run against Harry Reid. At that point the Nevada Attorney
general started an ’investigation’ against B. Krolicki. Of course the empty
parade could only carry on for so long, and the NV AG has dropped the charade.
However, the damage has been done. The UST has not released the block against
First Gold line of credit offered by the Chinese.
Let your UST representative and your Majority Leader, Senator Harry Reid, know
that this unilateral action by the Treasury department is not supported by the
citizenry.
1.24.10 Video of Market Street
Streetcar, San Francisco, 1906 - couple days before the earthquake
Great video!
http://www.flixxy.com/san-francisco-1905-historical-footage.htm
1.23.10 San Jose Coin Show Today
San Jose Coin Club did a GREAT JOB with this show.
They heard the comments on the poor fairgrounds locale and did something to address the
concerns.
T'was a nice location, albeit a little tight space-wise. When I arrived
around 12:30 the walkways were packed and was hard to move around. Also, bourse
manager – PLEASE put a little longer ramp over the electric wire bundles, a few
older folks were obviously tripping over such.
Word was that though traffic was good, the dollars weren’t quite jumping out of
pockets – not completely surprising. Met a new (to me) dealer from Saint Louis,
Mark Reid; nice guy with some nice stuff I picked up at a great price (financial
paper).
Also spent some time at Mac’s collectibles. Had never bought from them before
and enjoyed the pleasant transaction with Dale. Other nice interactions and
transactions, as always with Locke, Griffin, Braga and some of the other N.Cal
regulars.
More positive props for Sal Falcone. A great asset to the
community; tried to convince a couple of us browsing his table to set up tables
of our own next time (not that we could get a spot); so he offered consignment.
On top of that he remembered a coin (ok, a token) he sold me last time he now
wants to buy back HIGHER. Now THAT doesn’t happen every day (at least to me).
[oh, Insert shameless plug here for next San Francisco Mint show in April].
One thing I did notice different this show versus all last year was reluctance
to take some gold bullion I had in trade. Seems that folks who snapped up every
fractional piece and salivated while doing so Last Year, now don’t want more
bullion (and this after a healthy $1,000 correction which makes it more
affordable.
Go figure...
1.23.10 Loss of
American Factories
Stark reality
per Richard McCormack
Since 2001, the country has lost 42,400 factories, including 36 percent
of factories that employ more than 1,000 workers (which declined from
1,479 to 947), and 38 percent of factories that employ between 500 and
999 employees (from 3,198 to 1,972). An additional 90,000 manufacturing
companies are now at risk of going out of business.
http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_plight_of_american_manufacturing
1.23.10 Obama Opens his Mouth on US
Economy
His 'plans' send the stock market down large three days in a
row...
1.23.10 Today 800$/oz USDollar is
average production cost.
This serves as the floor, just like $250 USD was double
floor.
Ca mines may be impacted by revision of California NPDES permit (clean water
act); construction Notice of Intent.
Pretty onerous can of worms, that one, shifting responsibility from certified
contractor to company official (prelude to a regulatory sector assault IMO)
1.23.10 Cartier Resources.
Explorer/Property play, worth a very small speculative gamble
on pullback to @ 0.22 (if it gets there) CDN IMO.
http://simulator.investopedia.com/stocks/c.ecr
10M CDN microcap; burn rate 40k winter to 160 k summer.
Not yet discussed anywhere...
1.23.10 Stillwater (SWC) Looks Stinky
Still overbought, MACD peaked, long way down to 50 Day
EMA@10.25; sell volume declining but STILL over
average volumes (three days running).
1.22.10 Bought HL @5.32
1.21.10 Important article - How the Fed
Robbed the Middle Class Blind
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/scandal-albert-edwards-alleges-central-banks-were-complicit-robbing-middle-classes
1.19.10 Nice to see 1 Million
Massachusetts Citizens piss on Teddy's Grave
A befitting tribute of legacy. My sense is the guy who
stopped leaving flowers and cognac at Edgar Allan Poe's grave after almost 50
years will start leaving the voting results and a Boston Globe Headline "Health
Care Dead" on teddychappy's grave...
1.17.09 Went to the local Coin Store
today
Shelves were rather bare. Nobody buying OR selling
coins.
Folks are holding out, keeping what they absolutely must and
jettisoning the junk.
I picked up a little gold.
Been averaging up for 10 solid years now. Still don't
have enough, and gold still looks cheap.
Go figure.
1.17.10 Great to see 1million Mass
citizens
piss on teddy's grave - a befitting tribute of legacy.
My sense is the guy who stopped leaving roses and cognac on Poe's grave will
start leaving the voting results and Boston Globe headline "HealthCare Dead" on
teddychappy's grave.
at least a start...
1.12.10 Today – There is No Federal
Estate Tax
The Estate Tax Expired January 1st.
Previously, there had been a 3.5
Million (7) United States Dollar (USD) exemption, per person, per
estate. So, if you and your wife have a 7 M estate (in a community
property state), then you HAD 3.5M exempted from federal estate tax and
she had 3.5M exempted so long as you had a properly drafted bypass (A=B)
trust. What actually had been the best strategy is that upon your death
3.5 million goes into the Bypass (B) portion of the estate, left for the
benefit of your children. Your wife then controls Part A of the trust,
living on that 3.5 million (which, in turn, can be passed along to
heirs). Money above and beyond was taxable up to a maximum rate of 45%.
As of TODAY there is NO USDollar
exemption. You can die with 100M USD and not pay any tax. However,
don’t put antifreeze in papa’s oatmeal just yet. There is very little
likelihood that a US congress dedicated to lowering your standard of
living will not provide some goofy ‘fix’ that reaches back
retroactively. The reality is when Congress is in session they will
concoct whatever is best for their lobbyist friends; anything is
possible, and the worse case scenario is the most probable. That is why
there is an entire industry devoted to ‘tax preparation. The regulations
were designed such that YOU must pay money to an industry to ‘properly
file’ your taxes. That industry, in turn, provides kickbacks to the same
crooks who write the impossible regulations.
As currently stands in
regulation for 2011, according to existing regulations, the exemption
will go to 1 Million (closer to 1.3M with fine print [step up in basis
adjustments]) with a top cap of 55%.
Even more troubling is the
sunset of previous guidance regarding step up in estate basis. A
complete mess brought to you by the same fools so actively working
behind closed doors to ‘FIX’ health care for YOU!
In other words the rich get
richer.
So:
-
Do you have more than 1.3M USD in assets?
-
Do you have an existing bypass trust
If so, time to fork over more
‘crooked congress tax’.
Bottom line: Do you have any
money?
Good...
Give it to your masters (or
don’t let them know you have any).
1.11.10 Are you converting an IRA into a
ROTH IRA ('ROTH Conversion), maybe?
Maybe not a bad idea, maybe...
(Or: Why the stock markets may face a major retraction in the
next 24 months).
If you are converting 100k, for example, from a traditional
IRA (and assuming relatively stable income history and claimed deductions) then
that 100k is taxable. However, the regulations are such that not all that
100k will hit your return this year as taxable income. Some of that
taxable income will be rolled back into 2011 and 2012. Half is added to
the 2011 income and the other half (50k in this example) hits the 2012 income
return. So, for those close to the 25% marginal income rate, this is an
opportunity to minimize your taxable income for two years on part of that
taxable income (the converted traditional IRA).
One potential drawback:
That 100k, in this example, rolled from the Traditional into
the ROTH IRA is now fully characterized as 100k ROTH money. What if,
between now and the end of 2011 (or 2012), the 100k that you put into the ROTH
IRA was entered into stock market (or bonds or whatever) and the stock market
tanks? Well what happens is this: Your account may go down in value, lets
say down by 30% (such as was the case for may in 2008) and now your account is
only worth 70k. How3ever, you still will have to pay taxes on that fully
characterized 100k, even though you only have 70kleft!
Not far fetched at all, in fact you only need to go back 10
years to see that this was EXACTLY THE CASE with the last Traditional to ROTH
window in 1998. (At that time you could spread the rollover over four tax
years). Folks that ran 100k after the go-go stock market runup in the
1990s lost, in some cases, 40k in the 2000 NASDAQ crash. So, they had to
pay income tax on phantom gains.
Same as it was last couple years with folks who enacted short
sales on their real estate. Some folks could no longer make their mortgage
payment on a 300k mortgage when the house was now only worth 200k. The bank
accepts a short sale at 200k, and the IRS hit them with a bill for taxable
income of 100k.
The law of unintended consequences.
Or, as some have pointed out: Just another scam engineered to
separate you form you money and force your pawnage onto the largesse of the
nanny state..
There is a strategic move here, file a tax extension so that
you can push back your filing until the middle of October, after you have
another six month window into stock market performance.
1.11.10 IRS Commissioner Does not
understand IRS Code, uses Tax Preparer
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/75119-irs-commissioner-doesnt-file-his-own-taxes
The goal of any regulation is to
make it so suspect, so complex, that the average person cannot
understand. This provides the option for the bureaucracy to randomly
charge anybody they choose (and not charge their allies). I call this
it the Tyranny of Random Enforcement.
Of course the Commissioner does
not understand the IRS code, for that matter, neither does any most of
his staff.
Depending which source you
believe, the IRS interprets their own regulations incorrectly between
20% and 48% of the time:
http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa222.html
More penetrating, is the
admission (only when caught) by the IRS Commissioners Boss, Mr. Tim
Geitner (US Treasury Department head), that he did not pay required IRS
tax. Hey, why pay it if you cannot understand it? Great precept (and a
great precedent, Mr. Geitner).
In fact, do believe that
precedent was developed by Hammurabi and followed by most courts of flaw
on this planet for the last several hundred years.
Time to follow his lead?
1.10.10
Treasure Hunters Mega Show Gold Coast Jan. 22-30 1,000. Las Vegas, N.V
1.10.10 Gold, Peace and Prosperity
Written by the Hon. Ron Paul, M.D.
True more today than yesterday...
1.9.10 The euro ain't what it used to be
(the 'never was')
Romanian family throws out shoes full of cash
(gypsies play w/ gypsies)
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article/comments/view?f=/n/a/2010/01/06/international/i054759S16.DTL
and as usual, the comments are better than the story...
1.9.10 One Man's Trash is Another Man's
Treasure
Wasn't that long ago that gas, oil and mineral explorers
would hit hot water on exploration wells. They would cap it, move on,
declaring a loss.
Now companies are coming in LOOKING for those hot water
sources.
Be careful what you declare a loss.
Blue Mountain Geo-Thermal drilling a success
http://pangea.stanford.edu/ERE/pdf/IGAstandard/SGW/2008/melosh.pdf
Of course, there have been a lot of folks dumping land around
Blue Mountain and Eugene Mountains in the last 18 months, as low as $250 acre.
Sand dunes and rock, mostly.
Get out under another pumper's cover, eh?
1.9.10 New Long Canyon results - AuEx
hits one
"Fronteer Development
Group on Wednesday announced new step-out drilling results show the
strongest high-grade, oxide gold mineralization encountered to date
at Long Canyon in Elko County.
AuEx stated that an
updated resource estimate for Long Canyon is expected at the end of
the first quarter, using results of the 2009 drilling campaign.
Vancouver-based Fronteer has an exploration office and warehouse in
Elko and has two other advanced exploration projects in Nevada,
Northumberland and Sandman.
Reno-based AuEx is also involved with Agnico-Eagle in another
exploration project in the Pequop Mountains and with NuLegacy Gold
at Wood Hills west of the Pequops, and has other exploration
projects in the state." — By Adella Harding
1.9.10 Pumpers: silver and silver miners
the lesser gurus and pontificators been pushing
lil sister silver into this run.
'undervalued compared to gold'
'over performing in this correction vis a vis gold'
dumping the lesser quality onto the greater quantify of masses, while they
rotate into white metals.
the smart money rotating out of white metals into water and energy production,
conveyance and rights business.
MEANS of PRODUCTION.
same as it ever was...
1.9.10 This beautiful work of art is
worth 8 minutes of your life.
pay attention at the beginning...
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=vOhf3OvRXKg
YouTube - Kseniya Simonova's Amazing Sand Drawing
1.9.10 GG muscles out ABX on El Morro.
Nice to see the majors begin to outbid each otherover existing properties.
They are investing forward. Miners can only develop certain properties. Unlike
real estate where you can always develop some crap housing suburb over a garbage
dump, fill, in the boonies etc.
Look for the energy transmission research, development and operations sector to
boom over the next ten years.
Along those lines, environmental document out regarding El
Paso energy proposal for a 1.5$ Billion pipeline to transport nat gas from
Wyoming to Nv and Or.
My understanding is that per capita, Wy is actually the
fastest growing state right now. Will be interesting to see if the 10
census bears that out...
Indeed, the smart ones with a little cash are buying up real
estate.
The smarter ones are buying up transmission providers.
The connected ones are swapping lesser parcels of land for
those in Right of Way of future transmission lines.
The smartest ones have already bought out the water rights
associated with those parcels (e.g. Nevada has a five year abandonment period).
The corrupt ones already had water rights 'given' to them via
legislative fiat decree.
You can lookup your favorite N. American minor water rights
here:
http://water.nv.gov/Water%20Rights/permitdb/permitdb_disclaimer.cfm?CFID=380493&CFTOKEN=33978264
It all comes out in the rinse and spin cycles, watch it go
around...
1.9.10
A hearse delivering a body to a funeral caught fire Friday afternoon
when sparks from a front tire flattened in a collision
sparked a blaze.
The driver was later arrested on suspicion of driving
drunk.
http://www.timesheraldonline.com/ci_14156296
And you didn't think undertakers had a sense of humor!
1.8.10 Very happy w/ NGD and IAG
They both have developed good properties and turned into
efficient and smart mid-tier producers.
Exactly the sweet spot of the smart market (wild speculation
notwithstanding).
1.8.10 Bought ORA @ 37.00
Triple bottom support short term. Up 2% after hours
(don't know why). Have not been in the stock for over 1 year (I prefer HTM).
1.8.10 What the full body scanner
Actually shows, vs. what the govt says it shows:
http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/46711.html
And you aren't outraged?
1.5.10 Must Reads
Some great stuff...
http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/The-Decline-of-the-West-Has-Western-Society-Come-to-an-End-12-09.pdf
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2010/01/class-warfare.html
1.3.10 Don't Give up the Good Fight
Pharting against the wind – I
don’t think so!
Prohibition
In early/mid 1980’s I and a few
like minded souls campaigned against marijuana prohibition. Partly b.c.
I was a smoker (but knew I would eventually quit, which I mostly have)
but MORESO b.c. I saw the ‘rules’ on prohibition allowed the govt to
confiscate cars, houses and other assets for simple possession – an use
those assts against the citizens.
I saw the song Reagan and the
Rubes used ‘Just Say No’ to further the police state and limit personal
freedom and responsibility. AT the time, in Nevada, ANY measurable
amount of THC was a FELONY. The Reno PD would PLANT on someone to get a
conviction/confiscate property.
At this point, the DA will no
longer prosecute for possession. The NV vote for medical Marijuana was
VERY close last time; prohibition will likely end next vote.
The tide turned.
I knew what I was up against at
the time. Myself and a very small band persevered, the tide turned, now
victory is at hand.
Precious Metals
In the late 1990’s I, and a few
like minded souls, pushed for gold as honest money and a method for
preservation of property and liberty. Most provided blank stares, a few
scoffed (especially during the most-recent housing ‘boom’). Now the
people, in numbers not seen in generations, are turning to precious
metals.
A Prepared Populace
Few years ago I, and a very
small band of fellows, began pushing personal and community preparation
(gold, guns, grub and WATER). Most laughed. Now the trend is known as
the Prepper’s, having acolytes in every community. In some stores
WalMart has a preparation section. Folks are planting gardens, stocking
away ammo, and otherwise PROVIDING for a COMMON DEFENSE against Domestic
Enemies.
An Honest Electorate
I’ve been hounding the current
Governor of Nv for 23 years now. Few listened in the 80’s and believed
what they needed. Now the fool is pilloried on all fronts. The populace
learned the hard way, but they indeed are learning. Walked door to door
for the Libertarians beginning in 1988. Fact of the matter is R. Paul
WON the Nv Caucus in 2008.
Citizenry are now nearing the
point of putting his son in Congress, and near-honest men as Schiff.
Every tide has undercurrents and
back eddies.
If you THINK you don’t make a
difference, you probably don’t…
1.3.10 Of
course, we’ve lost a few…
As of two weeks ago, there are
no more slot machines in Northern Nevada that pay in silver dollars.
They pulled the last just before Christmas, had been losing $ with
every payout. As recently as 2002 there was a slot machine that paid
bonus in gold coin (American Eagles)
1.3.10 A
Sustainable Economy
Is a local economy.
New Balance still makes shoes in
the US (some models)
1.2.10 The Spanish Established Potosi,
Bolivia, to Mine Surrounding Silver Ores
By the time Potosi was only just 30 years old, it was the
third largest city in the world, after London and Paris, supposedly.
1.2.10 Why Chertoff pushes the scanner
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/31/AR2009123101746.html
(Hint: He will make a buck off your half-naked grandmother
cowering apostate in front of the security goons)
http://gawker.com/5437499/why-is-michael-chertoff-so-excited-about-full+body-scanners
Just imagine the garbage that 'big sis' will push once they
shove aside her fat incompetent ass...
1.1.10 What Does Martin Armstrong
Believe the year will hold?
http://www.contrahour.com/ItsJustTimeMartinArmstrong.pdf
Interesting as his March 2009
date basically served as the bottom pivot in the US equity markets.
Reverse polarity?
1.10.10 Brimelow's report on worst 11
newsletter performances of 2009:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bottom-10-ok-11-letters-of-2009-2009-12-24
12.29.09 New Study: Percentage of Carbon
Dioxide in the atmosphere has not increased in 160 years
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/12/091230184221.htm
12.29.09 Interesting Blog
http://solari.com/blog/?p=2058
12.29.09
According to Plan: The Council of Rome
http://www.amazon.com/First-Global-Revolution-Report-Council/dp/0671711075
Things have mostly gone according to plan, if not exactly on schedule in
2009, as the Powers that be have designed:
-
Limits on population
-
A
created ‘environmental problem’ which requires global governance
-
Enslavement of your children via unpayable US debt
-
A
contrived reduction in the standard of living for western countries
12.29.09 Why the Cover up over the
Christmas Day attempted bombing of flight 253?
http://www.mlive.com/news/detroit/index.ssf/2009/12/flight_253_passenger_kurt_hask.html
So many distractions and
evasions according to standard spin doctors and misinformation outlets -
basically more cover for another clear false flag operation.
1. Why the discussion on CIA or
TSA and NOT a discussion on the firm that supplies the security check at
AMSTERDAM?
ICTS is that security firm
historically responsible for security at Schiphol Airport . You know,
the one that put the bomber son of a banker on the plane without a
proper Visa:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091231/ap_on_re_mi_ea/ml_yemen_us_airliner_attack
So who is ICTS?
This article from 2003...
" AIRLINE INDUSTRY INFORMATION-(C)1997-2003 M2 COMMUNICATIONS LTD. ICTS
International NV has formed a partnership agreement with ICTS Europe
Holdings BV, an unaffiliated company, to provide security services at
Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport. The partnership - named ICTS Netherlands
Airport Services - has been awarded two contracts. From:
http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-96464654.html
2. BTW, ICTS was also responsible for
security on the WTC flight. What a coincidence!
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10001555/1/icts-ran-logan-checkpoint-from-which-one-of-the-hijacked-jets-that-crashed-into-nycs-twin-tower-departed.html
(Gee, you ever wonder why NOT
ONE of the ‘mainstream’ news media printed this little fact? Nah, me
neither…)
Funny this - Norman Mineta,
former Secretary of Transportaion (and one of the lucky ones in the
bunker with 'shooter' Cheney on 911).
http://www.ictseurope.com/press-releases/Press%20Release%20ICTS%20Europe%20Supervisory%20Board%20July%202009%20English.pdf
3.Napolitano’s
first reaction is to confirm that the ‘system worked’. Only later has
she backtracked and covered up her original utterance.
Obviously a false sense of terror,
repeatable false flag operations, and a cramp down on the citizen’s
right to peacefully assemble and travel is exactly what the ‘system’ is
designed to do. Why?
Because it allows her to…
4. Put in place (previously
developed plans just waiting for a ‘trigger event’) to:
- Emplace full body scans
- Prevent citizens from
moving about an air cabin to use the bathroom
- Expand the ‘no fly’
database, including more of your personal information (at your time
and expense) to ‘prevent this from ever happening again’;
- Enhanced inspections at
security checkpoints
- Increased pat-downs
- Increased bag searches
- More explosive detection
canine teams
- More air marshals
- More behavioral detection
officers; and of course
- Allow full body and cavity
search on their personal whim
Which goes without saying:
- Allow Obama to state he will
review the system so that “it can be strengthened”
Question: None of the existing
measures worked. So why expand a fatally flawed system
Answer: The system is not
designed to protect you, rather there are other drivers.
Desire to test that thesis?
Simply research the number of
methods and materials that can cause an explosion aboard an airline that
are not on a trained dog sniffers list and cannot be identified via a
scanner.
There are many…
12.29.09 Bought GDX
12.28.09 On the so-called 'financial
transaction tax'
The increasingly common economically illiterate political
foot soldiers increase the volume on their drone drumming for a financial
transaction tax.
http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/dec2009/gb20091221_709165.htm?campaign_id=rss_topStories
Of course, the seeds for such a tax transaction are
already law. They were sewn in the TARP bill. Why do you suppose so many
banks are now falling over themselves to pay back the TARP funds? Namely,
they want out of the system, having just now read the fine print. The
idiots clamoring for the tax do no possess enough financial acumen to even
comprehend what is already law!
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125512957855977163.html
A bill has already been introduced in the house to expand the
tax sphere:
http://www.greencompany.com/blog/index.php?postid=15
Basically, the rubes are doing everything they can to destroy
the country. First they destroyed the family farm in the 1970s and 1980's
via environmental and tax regulations, pushing ownership of American food
production into a handful of bioengineering and chemical manufacturing firms.
Then the forced the industrial economy out of the states with further draconian
environmental regulations and 'free trade'. The only think left is the service
industry, and government. Guess which will be the last one standing?
12.22.09 Peak Oil a problem? nah.
The larger problem facing geologists is that they were
preceded by astronomers,
whose convention considers oxygen, silica, and almost everything else, a metal.
12.22.09 The Census Long Form.
An acquaintance just received
their long form in the mail and noted that failure to reply, or giving
wrong answers, was a $5,000 fine.
Why would you let the
bureaucracy outsmart you? That is, why on earth would you feel bound to
provide self-reported numbers that are 100% accurate? One third of your
responses could be near true, another third half-truths and the other
third completely made up about your neighbor.
Census does very little real
data verification. Very few qualified people work at Commerce
Department.
Here’s how it was explained to
me when I worked for Commerce on the 2000 census.
The manager told the surveyors
that their function was to simply ask the questions and write down what
the respondent said, without question or editorial. In other words, if
someone responded “white”, even if they looked like Richard Pryor, than
you checked the white box.
Of course that manager, and
everyone else I have met that worked for Commerce, regularly lied to the
pint I never felt any of them could discern the truth, much less tried.
My experience was that most the
‘data’ was made up in advance to support various political aims, and the
actual census was just a formality.
Now it worse than ever, given
that bureaucracies tend toward corruption over time.
They ALREADY have all that
information on you and are using YOUR labor to either
A)
Qa/Qc their database, or
B)
Incriminate yourself.
Let me ask you something.
You ever pull your CLUE or
APLUS score?
Ever check to see what Intelius
or ChoicPoint has on you?
And that’s just for starters...
How many people have you ever
read about, much less heard of, much less actually known - that were
successfully prosecuted by the Dept of Commerce for fibbing on a cenus
form?
Remember, laws (codified regs and EOs) aren't made to be followed.
They are made to be selectively enforced, set an example and scare the
rest.
Don't get scared.
Other wise - YES. The Dept of Commerce needs to be re-arranged, improved
(dismantled).
Ask Ron Brown how it worked for him!
12.22.09
You Hear it and Think it True
Doesn’t mean it will always be
true.
“You can only see two things
from space” and “There were more trees 100 years ago” were both true
statements at one time, the early 1980s, but are no longer true today.
Things change.
For instance, we have more
satellites in space with better technology (cameras, imagery software).
More things are now visible. More has been built, also.
Trees are a little more
complicated.
In 1980 the statement was more
likely true b.c. there was a HIGHER INTENSITY of USE in 1880 than in
1910. The slopes of the Cascades and Sierra were practically deforested
in many counties to support mining, railroading, city building and other
industrial pursuits of the Manifest Destiny being fulfilled during the
period of reconstruction and US industrialization between 1865 and 1895.
The modern practices of
reforestation were not in place in 1880, but were in place this century.
So, there probably were more
trees in 1910 than in 1880, the level of intensity dropped incredibly
during those years, and has flatlined since. Which actually means there
probably are NOTE more trees now than 100 years, ago.
Furthermore, number of trees is
not a great measure/metric/indicator. You can’t compare different
ordered forests with each other. First generation growth is not the
same as mature old growth. And fact is, neither of those likely support
a higher diversity than a middle aged forest. More on Intensity of Use
here:
http://phe.rockefeller.edu/Foresters_Lever/
12.22.09 We
all have something to lose
A security camera should have
two systems. One is a rather cheap – visible - camera. The perps will
disable that one. A better – hidden - system captures their activity
through a live video feed.
Be careful what you post on
line. Don’t keep a high profile on the internet, linking a picture of
yourself, your name, to your belongings. Make sure your WHOIS links to
a POBox, not your street address. Make sure there is very little
Personally Identifiable Information out there that you aren’t aware of.
Try to throw off Intelius, ChoicePoint et. al. by putting some
INCORRECT information out there on the web. At least create a few
little false leads…
Sandbag, sandbag, sandbag. Make
a criminal WORK for that score. Slow them down, most professionals only
want to be inside your house for under five minutes, if that. Don’t put
your stuff in one place, put it in 30 places. And, the
non-professionals can be fooled with substitute/look-like fakes and
lesser merchandise.
There is a CLUE score for both
you and your house. Try to find your current score and consult with
someone in the insurance biz, if possible, to determine what size claim
is possible w/o messing up the CLUE score to badly. Read more here:
http://www.privacyrights.org/fs/fs26-CLUE.htm
You might sit down with your
insurance agent and discuss other types of insurance that fit your
situation, some may not hit your scores.
Consider trying to appear that
you don’t have much money.And most importantly, your stuff
is replaceable, your life is not. IF it comes down to it, let them have
a few cents.
12.21.09 In California, 90% of the
abandoned mines
are gold mines.
90% of the current mines are aggregate.
Shows some type of debasement, no?
(Guess 90% of mines next century will be for lint, or garbage, or gold.)
Gold reserves play out quickly, aggregate does not.
That is why 90% of abandoned mines are Au and NOT aggregate.
Hard to go out of business selling rock. Not too many
abandoned gravel mines on the side of the road.
Home depot sells sand for 3$ a bag - for the junk stuff.
Around here 3/8 pea gravel retailing for almost $50 a yard.
The oldest operating business in town is the gravel mine.
In San Francisco, ocean sand will set you back over $100/yd (if you can find
it).
gold is rare, rock aint...
12.21.09 In Ca/Nv most the shallow mines
have collapsed
About 25% of the deeper and timbered mines have been closed
off (bat gates) by the BLM.
Perhaps another third still in private hands.
The BLM had been welding angle iron/bars over the mine entrances. Then they
switched to polyurethane. Now they've switched back to metal gates.
Mostly, so they say.
Fact is, the location of many of these mines are lost to records and primarily
known by the locals.
At the last gun show, I bought some pictures of a gold mine circa 1907-1911.
26 pictures in all. Really neat stuff, very rare.
Most likely the best photographic collection of that mine in existence.
Very few folks even knew the mine existed.
The only other photographs I could find that sold on the internet were
misidentified (wrong county). And that was by one of the eminent mining
historians in the US.
At one point was the largest employer in Shasta County.
Nothing left, can barely tell it was there.
The smelter is now under a reservoir, the deep part.
Mammoth Mine, Shasta County, California.
12.21.09 Amazing amount of crops failing
in California's central valley
including many mature orchards.
The state shut off water to agriculture earlier in the year to 'save' a
non-endemic species in the sacramento river. (actually, they are forcing a point
so the peeps support the peripheral canal).
Die-off in orchards just now becoming readily apparent
12.20.09 Poor legislation (has there
been any other kind in the last 50 years?)
Provides a very poor substitute for education and
understanding.
In fact, invariably more confusion, fraud, and inaction
results.
Given recent history, 'Bank Finance Reform' will probably come down to this:
You are required to keep your money in a bank. If not, you
are breaking the law and must pay fines until you comply.
12.18.09 Internationalists Embarrass
themselves at Copenhagen Farce
Their science is a sham, they can't agree how much to tax
each other, the politicians vilify them selves and their shrill global warming
alarm is drowned out by cold and snow.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/geraldwarner/100020279/copenhagen-climate-summit-most-important-paper-in-the-world-is-a-glorified-un-press-release/
Give 'em only enough rope to hang themselves and their horse
with the same loop!
Chavez had the best line, "Nobel Prize of War". Of
course, he should have said "Nobelbamba Prize of War, part II"
It was sold in Copenhagen that the euro queens, third world
wanna-be despots, and globalsocialists had to keep their hands in their own
pockets!
Took a year but I am starting to
'warm up' *(get it?) to Obama. He has completely destroyed the repub-democratic
agenda, brought unprecedented interparty and intra party bickering and gridlock
to D.C., made himself a lame duck in his first year, not signed any real
legislation, pushed back the globalist plans indefinitely and will help increase
the largesse impasse after the 2010 elections.
NO other candidate could have done better, way to go!
12.17.09 San Francisco - the City that
Can't - Worst Run Large City in the US
http://www.sfweekly.com/2009-12-16/news/the-worst-run-big-city-in-the-u-s/
And, regrettably, from personal experience I can tell you
things are even worse than the debacle outlined in the article...
12.17.09 Bought IAG @ $16.94
12.16.09 COFFEE, one Lump or Two?
One of those rare groups actually fighting for
YOUR privacy, rather than for a leviathan world government that owns you and
every thing you produce:
http://decafme.org
12.13.09 What Carbon Trading is
Really Designed to Do
Remove jobs from the west. Here is how the mechanism
works:
"The real gain to
Corus(steel) from stopping production at Redcar(UK), however, is the
saving it will make on its carbon allowances, allocated by the EU
under its Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). By ceasing to emit a
potential six million tonnes of CO2 a year, Corus will benefit from
carbon allowances which could soon, according to European Commission
projections, be worth up to £600 million over the three years before
current allocations expire.
But this is only half the story. In India, Corus's owner, Tata,
plans to increase steel production from 53 million tonnes to 124
million over the same period. By replacing inefficient old plants
with new ones which emit only "European levels" of CO2, Tata could
claim a further £600 million under the UN's Clean Development
Mechanism, which is operated by the UN Framework Convention on
Climate Change – the organisers of the Copenhagen conference. Under
this scheme, organisations in developed countries such as Britain –
ranging from electricity supply companies to the NHS – can buy the
right to exceed their CO2 allocations from those in developing
countries, such as India. The huge but hidden cost of these "carbon
permits" will be passed on to all of us, notably through our
electricity bills.
Thus, at the end of the day, Redcar will lose its biggest employer
and one of the largest manufacturing plants left in Britain. Tata,
having gained up to £1.2 billion from "carbon credits", will get its
new steel plants – while the net amount of CO2 emitted worldwide
will not have been reduced a jot.
And the connection with Dr Pachauri? Directly there is no connection
at all. But it just happens that Dr Pachauri's other main job, apart
from being chairman of the IPCC, is as director-general of the Tata
Energy Research Institute, funded by Tata, which he has run since
1981."
12.13.09 More damage from Climategate
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1235395/SPECIAL-INVESTIGATION-Climate-change-emails-row-deepens--Russians-admit-DID-send-them.html
It's sometimes OK to underestimate your audience's
intelligence, such as when you are writing for government bureaus or the AP,
Gannet, etc.
But when you are writing for a scientific audience, the words
better match the graphs, and the graphs better match the data.
Otherwise you are only as ridiculous as you can be of your
own accord.
Tony Blair, war criminal turned wanna-be president of the
world, acknoleges climate science flawed, but the world needs a carbon tax/world
government anyway.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-confe/6803921/Copenhagen-climate-summit-Tony-Blair-calls-on-world-leaders-to-get-moving.html
Rather like, no - exactly like, when he went to war against
the Iraqi people based on lies.
12.12.09 From the US Congressional Record, Oct 11, 1940
S844 : An act to simplify the accounts of the Treasurer of the Unites
Sates, and for other purposes.
Makes you wonder what those 'other purposes' were.
The passed that damn same law every single congress to simplify the Treasury
Accounts.
Why, just look how simple it all is today!
Way to go congress, good work...
12.12.09 To graduate (with honors) from
Lisk-Wilmerding High School in 1918,
One had to pass the following subjects:
English
Spanish
History: History, Medieval, Modern and US (Govt)
Algebra: Theory and Elementary
Plane Geometry
Trigonometry
General Science
Electrical Theory
Mechanical Theory
Physics
Chemistry
Drawing and Instruments
Woodwork
Forge Work
Molding
Machine Shop
Sheet Metal
Auto Shop
Electrical Shop
But hey, today the kiddies know about Chad with Two Dads;
Global Warming; Scales and Bling; Sexting and Computers (with lab); Consumerism;
and English.
Long live progress!
12.12.09 Back in the 1920's People were
very Familiar with Metal Prices
The Nevada State Journal posted metal prices on Page
One, Header. On April 6, 1926 A bar of Silver was 65 5/8 cents; Copper
(dull) was 1c on the Electolytic spot and futures; Lead was spot $8.20 ask
$8.30.
Can you guess what the unit weights for those prices were?
They weren't posted in the paper, because people knew.
They weren't posted in the paper, because people knew -
automatically.
In the 1920's Reno public high schools taught common law.
People knew the law and metal and money, automatically.
It's kind of like today, people know who Tiger's major sponsors are. Same thing,
really.
12.12.09 Dear Stockholder October 12,
1931
It has been some time since you have received a report of
progress. The last two years have bee trying ones.
Yep, the president of the company called the great depression
"trying".
Today, we call these 'Difficult economic times".
Putin. last week, called the situation a 'crisis' and
'perfect storm'
What do you suppose the main difference is, between
'difficult' and 'trying'?
Well, trying is an action verb; you are DOING something,
slowly, methodically, with varying results.
'Difficult' is a situation. Something HAPPENED to YOU. Not
your fault, no - of course not. How were you to know, afterall?
What, they didn't teach you that in Chad with Two Dads;
Global Warming; Scales and Bling; Sexting and Computers (with lab); Consumerism;
and English.
Poor baby, you...you... victim.
12.12.09 ClimateGate - you can't
whitewash the facts:
Don't think for a minute this is about 'saving the planet' or
any of that. It all comes down to control, complete control, over you by
un-elected 'authorities':
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/carbon/6527970/Everyone-in-Britain-could-be-given-a-personal-carbon-allowance.html
12.11.09 McAleer, registered with a
Press Pass in Copenhagen
asks Professor Schneider, on the panel taking questions, a
climategate question.
Schneider starts into the talking points package of lies,
immediately stumbling badly, before security shuts down the panel.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aUtzMBfDrpI
Is this the freedom of press you support?
Is this what Al Gore means when he states "The debate is
over".
Scary!
12.11.09 Why buying green makes you a
jerk
"Holier than thou" syndrome documented by researchers.
http://www.slate.com/id/2237674/?gt1=38001
Kinda makes sense, many of the folks I know who drive a Prius
are first class A-holes.
12.10.09 What to buy: Food or Gold
One of my faves is how he accepts the Nobel Peace Prize for
escalating a war that can't be won in Afghanistan. Afghan war will expand,
by design to Pakistan. American involvement in this war has already lasted
longer than WWI and WWII combined! And for what?
The reality is he is committing thousands more to serve in
vain, because he knows there is no way they will be able to find jobs in their
hometown. Bait and switch...
Consider yourself lucky if you have the luxurious problem of
not knowing what to buy with an extra $2,200 - two ounces of gold or a years
supply of food.
$2,200USD will purchase over 35 boxes of freeze dried food.
That is about about one year food (a little less) for a family of four (little
kids, not teenagers).
Not everyone has that kind of storage space, or security. Only those with a
home, securely.
On the other hand, twenty 1/10 oz gold pieces offers portability, no?
True - when it gets really tough you can't eat the coins.
Most freeze dried (not dehydrated) today is very high quality and will last
10-15, easy. Some speculate up to 25 years for grains.
The crap my parent bought at insistence of Howard Ruff in 1979-1980 wasn't very
tasty, it was dehydrated. But the dehydrated foods made great strides in the
1980s and 1990s. I just recently had some dehydrated food that I know was at
least 12 years old. Salty but edible.
The freeze dried is much better quality and will last longer than dehydrated.
Honeyville is high quality, we have not had a problem with what we have sampled
so far.
http://honeyvillegrain.com/
Honeyville Grain has a 10% off deal starting today..
Also, I just bought a Costco lot. Have only tried the dried
onions so far, but very tasty.
Quality food is incredibly cheap priced in gold. Gold
holds its purchasing power over very long term time periods, and actually
increases purchasing power during times of debt repudiation, as which we are now
witnessing.
BTW, there is something more important that food: Water.
Not so easy to store a years worth either...
12.8.09 Someone asked - "Did anyone
actually ever listen to your rants on economics?"
Well, most folks faded me at
first (1999-2003), then derided me in the housing stratosphere of 2005.
But over the last 5 years, perhaps half have come to me asking financial
advice, if only as an aside.
That is just among my close and
somewhat-close circle of friends. Of course I have evangelized against
big government and a debt-financed totalitarian state to many thousands
of folks, to varying degrees, since 1988. Impossible to track my
success there.
One point - a single
conversation I had with an old woman in Ohio in 1987 generally changed
my worldview, although we knew each other and spoke for no more than 30
minutes. My supposition is that she never thought of me again, and now
has passed on. But I think of her every week of my life. You never know
what will take root in someone psyche, soul or heart.
As to your success rate, that
largely depends on your attitude (and accuracy of previous
speculations!)
12.6.09 More Attempts to strangle the
last successful industry in Nevada (mining tax)
http://www.rgj.com/article/20091206/NEWS12/91206005&OAS_sitepage=news.rgj.com%2Fbreakingnews
12.06.09 The fool who developed TARP
builds a uni-bomber cabin, loses 20 pounds
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/04/AR2009120402016.html?g=0
He should be working off those pounds in a federal prison,
for treason.
Instead he works on his ax handling on San Juan Ridge,
defaming the honest meth-cookers, dope growers, born-again hindus and failed
60's artists living around the area.
12.06.09 ClimateGate is an abortion on
so many levels
Understanding Climategate’s Hidden Decline
By Marc Sheppard The American Thinker
Close followers of the Climategate controversy know that much of the
mêlée surrounds an email in which Climate Research Unit (CRU) chief
Phil Jones wrote about using “Mike’s Nature Trick” (MNT) to “hide
the decline.” And yet, 17 days and thousands of almost exclusively
on-line op-eds into this scandal, it still seems very few understand
exactly which “decline” was being hidden, what “trick” was used to
do so, and why Jones’s words have become the slogan for the greatest
scientific fraud in history..............
......First and foremost — contrary to what you’ve likely read
elsewhere in the blogosphere or heard from the few policymakers and
pundits actually addressing the issue, it was not the temperature
decline the planet has been experiencing since 1998 that Jones and
friends conspired to hide. Certainly, the simple fact that the email
was sent in November of 1999 should have allayed any such confusion.
In fact, the decline Jones so urgently sought to hide was not one of
measured temperatures at all, but rather figures infinitely more
important to climate alarmists – those determined by proxy
reconstructions. As this scandal has attracted new readers to the
subject, I ask climate savvy readers to indulge me while I briefly
explain climate proxies, as they are an essential ingredient of this
contemptible conspiracy..............
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/06/american-thinker-understanding-climategates-hidden-decline/#more-13783
12.06.09 Only 30 years ago the
government pushed the story about the New Ice Age boogeyman
http://www.forbes.com/2009/12/03/climate-science-gore-intelligent-technology-sutton.html
12.05.09 Classy Band
http://anniemosesband.com/
12.5.09
End of Global Warming
http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=2665
12.5.09 Barrick actually received a very
favorable ruling
http://www.rgj.com/article/20091205/NEWS/912050343&OAS_sitepage=news.rgj.com%2Fbreakingnews-
Had they been ruled in violation of native rights, that is a potential deal
breaker. But, an administrative violation is always just a delay, easily papered
over with money and politicking. Just a matter of payola changing hands and
enough time to pass such that most forget about the issue as the respite brings
up myriad other distractions...
12.3.09 MineFinders
Minefinders.com
Trades as ticker MFN on the Amex; also trades on the Toronto Exchange.
Listened to an interview with President and CEO, Mark Bailey
last Sunday.
Operations
Fifteen year mine life. Hope to increase production with
additional mill in a couple years to move up to 24k tons per day. Two
drills currently in action and they are exploring options for underground works.
They have focused on Americas with property in Az, Nv, and
Mexico. Looking at South American for possible.
Labor costs are up due to heavy interest and activity in the
mining sector; good people are demanding and justifying higher wages. (One of
the very few sectors with wage push).
Dolores Mine in Mexico is currently in production.
Per the Open Pit Mine Plan, Proven and Probable Reserves
- Gold Resources 2.4 Million Gold
- Silver Resources 127 Million oz Silver
Currently in Proven and Probable study phase.
Of course, being acquired by another larger firm is always a
possibility.
Fundamentals
Bailey believes fundamentals are bullish for silver due to
historic gold/silver ratio currently out of kilter and b.c. the demand for
silver as a water treatment agent will increase.
Leverage
Market Cap: 65 million shares currently out, about 650
The currently trade about 100$/ proven and probable oz .
Industry average
Debt
Trading at about 1.0 Net Asset Value (NAV) whereas sector
trading mostly above 1.3 x NAV
They have 90 million in working capital; up from previous
quarter/year.
He never discussed burn rate and I haven't had time to find
out this figure yet, but it is always an important one.
They will pay off 60M line of credit this year and pay off
convertible debt in 2011 (some of it financed up to 24%). Credit is
reportedly still available to the sector for both operations and constructions.
Analysts Coverage:
About twelve bank and broker analysts currently include Bank
of Montreal, CIBC, etc.
My Position: currently out but looking in
Could their valuation increase soon now that Minefinders is
in production? I think so, and again am looking for an entry point - most
likely lower..
I had last bought in February around 5$ and sold too early,
at a little under $8, when I thought the 50Day EMA would prove stronger
resistance than it actually had. At this point I imagine the price will back
down to where the 50 and 200 Day EMA merge around $9.35 later in the month,
setting up the next buy.
12.3.09 The Obama Job Summit Fails to
Get Hired
As Yet Another Manufacturer Opts Out of U.S.A.
"On November 11, David N. Farr, Chairman, CEO and President of Emerson Electric
Co., announced at the Baird 2009 Industrial Conference in Chicago that President
Obama has succeeded in chasing his multi-billion dollar industry right out of
the U.S.A. Why? Onerous regulation, high taxes, and the over $1 trillion Obama
debt should be reason enough for any business to consider shutting down U.S.
facilities and seeking greener pastures overseas says Farr.
The federal government is “doing everything in [its] manpower [and] capability
to destroy U.S. manufacturing,” says David Farr, chairman and CEO of Emerson
Electric Co., in a presentation at the Baird 2009 Industrial Conference in
Chicago Ill., on Nov. 11. In comments reported by Bloomberg, Farr added that
companies will continue adding jobs in China and India because they are “places
where people want the products and where the governments welcome you to actually
do something. I am not going to hire anybody in the United States. I’m moving.
They are doing everything possible to destroy jobs.”
http://biggovernment.com/2009/12/03/obama-job-summit-another-manufacturer-opts-out-of-u-s-a/#more-34562
12.2.09 Went Long UNG
Just below 8.70. Looks good for a swing bet.
12.2.09 juniors certainly outperforming
majors and mid producers.
And THAT is a sign of either a top in the metal has occurred or will soon.
12.2.09 Sold GG on Monday (the 30th)
This rise in mining shares, and Goldcorps, is against
declining volume today and what I consider a disappointing dividend.
Cripes. The dividend is up less than 40% in 7 years whilst Price of Gold
QUADRUPLED!
miner leverage my a$$.
Physical and NUMISMATIC over- performed in same time period.
Period!
11.30.09 Coin Photography for Internet
Sales
All coins are very unique, you may have to try something new
for each coin.
As already stated, use the macro lens. That input stays the same so the thing
that changes is the camera distance from the coin (most in focus) and camera
angle and the lighting. For lighting, strongly suggest you purchase or build a d
Desktop Photo Studio with a copy stand.
The studio is essentially a box with three white sides and a white top. The side
facing you is empty/open. The copy stand is basically a flexible tripod; the
camera attaches to the copy stand. You won’t be able to hold a camera still
enough to take a very good picture of a coin. You can use two other copy stands
or tripods to hold two lights. Using just one light will cause a shadow. We have
had most luck using non-natural lights, specifically the ‘daylight balance’
florescent bulbs.
Copper is best photographed with a black background. Use plain, single color
background (white or black) with no designs/patterns for silver coins. Gold
coins work better with a plain white background.
We host photos through Photobucket. Ebay pic hosting has had problems. They've
gotten better, but cost money. Photobucket is free (a few ads) and works fine.
Frankly, if you aren't going to do this on a regular basis you might consider
consigning with someone with established procedure, feedback and following - you
could get a better price that way.
11.29.09 Remember the Romer-Bernstein
chart?
Obama used that graphic when he 'gave his word' that
unemployment rate would not exceed 8 percent so long as we spent $900Billion of
our grandchildren's money on graft, fraud and abuse. The pols and their
talking heads call this 'The Stimulus Bill."
11.29.09 Why Climate Gate is the crime
of our generation:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/6679082/Climate-change-this-is-the-worst-scientific-scandal-of-our-generation.html
11.25.09 More Fraud amongst
the 'Global Warming' Alarmists:
Adjusting and tweaking data and applying more
fudge factors.
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO0911/S00282.htm
“NIWA’s official graph (done originally by Dr Jim Salinger, who features
also in the emails leaked from the Climatic Research Unit of the
University of East Anglia) shows considerable warming, which they give
as 0.92°C per century, saying this is consistent with global warming
over the 20th century. But the actual temperature readings taken from
the thermometers show an almost flat trend for 150 years.
This one is even better. As the alarmists
see public tide turn against their fear campaign, they reach for ever
more desperate images and stories - most of them fake. One
Australian outfit takes on the farce of the poor stranded polar bears:
http://newsbusters.org/node/11879
The facts, using uncorrupted data, show that New
Zealand's temperature has remained steady for the past century.
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2009/11/26/lawrence-solomon-new-zealand-s-climategate.aspx
11.22.09 Global warming scam facts are
getting traction
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/nov/24/hiding-evidence-of-global-cooling/
"If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act
now in the UK, I think I'll delete the file rather than send to anyone"
Illegal and inexcusable. And THIS is what the global
carbon tax on you and your children is based on ?!?
Some other takes on the
disaster:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017393/climategate-the-final-nail-in-the-coffin-of-anthropogenic-global-warming/
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=26117073
11.21.09 Worth a look at this the paper
titled "Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard".
The author details an historic inverse relationship between
gold and real interest rates.
The only way centralized federal
banks to wholly control interest rates is when they demonize gold in the
minds of the middle class – mostly buy artificially supporting the price
long enough to ‘prove’ a claim that gold returns no value to their
holders.
Read more at GATA's web site:
http://www.gata.org/files/gibson.pdf
CoinMine supports the good work of GATA.
11.20.09 Another Vaccine Poison Pusher -
Sid the Science Kid
entire episode the other day all about why vaccines are good
and why children should make sure they get one (or more)!
11.20.09 British Petroleum loses one.
They will end up paying for this (contamination in Mason
Valley, Nv, drinking water wells):
http://www.rgj.com/article/20091122/NEWS/91122016&OAS_sitepage=news.rgj.com%2Fbreakingnews
11.20.09 A New Alliance
This has taken decades, but for the first time ever
Many of the environmental organizations have joined together
with the true land managers, ranchers and farmers, against the tyranny of the
state regulators.
A great example is Defenders of Wildlife. Their
anti-agriculture stance has turned around 180 degrees. Just one example.
This is a recent development, you have not read about it
anywhere else.
11.20.09 America IS Alive
There are wonderful movement afoot all over the place.
This group started replacing asphalt with trees on Los Angeles area playgrounds.
They are gaining traction. The president is an electrifying speaker.
http://www.treepeople.org/
11.19.09 America
Died young but left a beautiful corpse.
11.18.09 Energy From Sugar Beets
First Time Every that I’ve seen
a US firm, at least in print, expressing interest in producing energy
from sugar beets. As you may already know, Brazil has been doing such
for years.
Of course, given the politics
here, the experiment would probably go along the lines of the recent
ethanol fiasco.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/environment/story/78705.html
11.16.09 Today's
'Environmental Engineers'
Just Friday night the city of
San Francisco held a stormwater charette where they invited about 75
stormwater experts to advise city planning. (Basically a good way of
getting free consulting time). One of the individuals at my table was
not even familiar with the term hydraulic head!
That is the level of excellence
many in the ‘green’ movement provide. Style over substance usually. Too
many lawyers and ‘environmental policy experts’ with no real
understanding of the carbon, nitrogen and sulfur cycles, and no hopes of
meaningful employment, create ‘ideas’ and ‘solutions’ with no regards
for basic environmental science, hydraulics, plumbing or feasible
physics.
The political carnies gobble it
up!
And ‘carbon credits’ come out
the other side of the sausage-making machine.
11.14.09
Instead of Saluting, like the other Men
The POTUS checks to see if he
has any balls left (he doesn't)
And you still pretend to 'never
knew' that O won't respect the flag during the national anthem, much
less salute a fallen soldier on Veteran's Day?!

gee, how come you didn't see
this picture on CNN/ABC/NYT/GANNET/NEWSCORP/MSNBC.
HMMMmmm, maybe it's because they
all receive the same news feed?
nah, couldn't be...
11.12.09 Pretty Funny Shit
http://twitter.com/Shitmydadsays
11.10.09 Going into Veterans Day - Not
easy for Those at Fort Hood
What was massacred, mostly, was the truth - the first
casualty of any conflict. How does super-shrink take out 40+ military men
and women without any of them taking him down? Either they are a bunch of
pussies, or the story is a crock. Remember, the first stories that come
out are usually the least cooked/booked and most accurate. Namely, the first
stories stated there were more than one shooter. That is likely.
Otherwise, the shrink had three handguns, each with a banana clip, and not one
other soldier was armed.
Right...
Who do you think is lying, Sgt. Major Jamie Posten or the
military/press?
11.6.09 Coin Show at the Old San
Francisco Mint Today and Tomorrow
November 6 and 7 (today and tomorrow)
On 5th Street Between Mission and Market Streets
San Francisco, Ca
Includes free tours of the Old mint. Drawings and door
prizes.
The Bay Bridge is open with no restrictions.
Look here for more information:
http://www.griffincoin.com/page5.html
See you there.
11.3.09 Geothermal Drilling Team hits
Magma in Boring
At a depth of 6,900 feet a geologic drilling team exploring
geothermal resources in Iceland hit molten rock. Only the third known time this
has happened on a geothermal investigation. The team had hoped to drill down to
11,5000 feet. (Source: UCDavis Magazine, Fall 2009)
11.3.09 Five Wave Gold Count (from Nov.
2008)
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/field/field112508.html
11.3.09 Las Vegas on Hard Times
But even worse than the hard times, are folks inability to
grasp the how and the why. For example, here is an awful article on Vegas
woes by Der Spiegel:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,657616,00.html
Agree that article on vegas was terrible?
More superficial than the city itself.
Gee - Der Spiegel goes ALL THE WAY back to 1980 for context.
Guess thy forgot (read: never learned) about the boom/bust cycle that has
defined Nv since 1864.
Going back further one can see the valley was farmed and booming in the
1910-1920's (abnormally wet), only to go bust at the end of the decade when the
mojave desert dried out again. BUST. Then the graft flowed again with the WPA/CCC
building Hoover Dam.
Going back a little further, through the archeology data, the Fremont Indians
farmed S.E. Nv for a few thousand years, always off and on. Eventually they gave
up a couple thousand years ago.
Haven't read Der Spiegel in a while. Are their articles usually now this poorly
written?
Sure, the accompanying der spiegel charts only go back three
years...
but those were THREE YEARS IN A ROW!
like, with no breaks in between.
wow, what insight - what research -what a contribution to society.
more brilliance from spiegel
"snowmaking machine helps ski resort battle global warming"
what absolute genius!
I had no idea Bundesbank had access to this type of penetrating analysis!
no wonder the duetchmark is at all time new highs!
11.3.09 Some Banks won't Let You Turn in
Large Volumes of Coins
I've heard
similar stories about banks instituting 'nickel and dime' policies
intended to increase their operating margin.
Those stories caused me to short the bank shares (only the publicly
traded companies, of course)
The strategy has worked rather well.
The banks can scheme up 'profits' by taking toxic assets off their
books.
However, the traders can still see reduced operating losses (which is
why the banks put in new methods for sqeezing a few more $ from the
customer) and the smart money shows the way before the big money
(institutions) get involved.
I call BAC two days before I want to get a brick/box of coins.
I spend the coins at the toll booth. The toll booth people don't like
that! So they give me small bills and change in return, never realizing
that is what I am offer - I use the toll booths to break 50$ bills if I
don't pay in change.
11.3.09 Collapse of CIT, the most
Devastating US Bank Closure in Decades
And nary a peep from the mainstream press. This collapse will
ripple through the US economy, colluding with greater amplitude at credit nodes,
and creating bigger waves crashing over the community economic landscape.
Small businesses, once the lifeblood of our national
financial structure, have been intentionally starved for credit. The
predatory Federal Reserve strangles the small business man and crowds out honest
banking competition while seeking supreme monopoly. They are one step
closer today. Now they will vacuum up small corporate assets, while
purging debts onto the citizenry.
The bank failures have turned serious.
Bank of America is quite possibly the next big one, in 2010.
(coincidentally, gold makes all time new highs against
USdollar)
11.2.09 India Buys 200 Tons of
Gold From IMF
Smart India...
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aa6oc6Wz9Ftg&pos=5
Now you know what the large banks of the world are doing with
THEIR money, what are you doing with your?
10.31.09 Turns out
the Nv Republican Party ‘Found’ the ‘Lost’ Ron Paul Ballots
And actually counted them this
time, rather than lock them up in a safe.
Also turns out that Nv ‘should’
have sent three delegates in for the Honorable Doctor Ron Paul.
Instead, the delegates went in
to support yet another fraud.
http://www.rgj.com/article/20091030/NEWS/91030046&OAS_sitepage=news.rgj.com%2Fbreakingnews
HO Hum. Top two Nevada
Republicans have been mired in ethics and fraud probes. Gibbons and
Ensign certainly represent, as impotently as possible, the fraud that
got them there.
The voters get what they deserve
(granted, many of the voters are imported for other states for this
direct and expressed purpose).
------
9.3.08 Nevada
republican party
Essentially in a state
of collapse. the ron paul organization is better run in that state,
by a mile. believe it or don't.
1.19.08 Can't
believe Ron Paul polled 14% in Nv.
When I waived his flag
in '88 (I actually canvassed northern Nv. door to door) we could
only convince in 2.5% of the electorate. Not sure what it means.
Sure, the candidates are 500% worse - believe it or not - but either
folks are waking up or the election process has devolved into such a
parody that now money and hacking the results are on even par
footing.
We stood a chance had
15% of the folks believed in the cause 20 years ago.
But at this point in
the game...
10.28.09 Looks like a Good Time to Short
Copper Right Here
10.28.09 In addition to the Mining
Indices, and Housing Builders,
The Banking Sector is getting crushed.
LYG, Lloyds Banking Group, might be worth a little of your
due diligence time.
10.28.09 WIP World-Inflation Protected
Security ETF
Never see much discussion on this play, maybe
worth a peek.
http://stockcharts.com/scripts/php/candleglance.php?WIP|D
Inflation vs Deflation on a worldwide scale, why not.
How complicated could that conversation anyway?
10.25.09 Resolute Mining reported a good
quarter.
Au production up 10% and costs down.
Of course, they announced a need for another $35M in financing so they better
put up some hopeful numbers.
10.25.09 Alaska Miners Convention and
Show Nov 2-8
http://www.alaskaminers.org/
Look at the Lyman's nugget on their nugget page. Jeez, I'd spend a few weeks in
the bush and mud to pull out that bugger from my pan!
10.25.09 Rocky Mountain Mineral Law
Foundation
Mine Closure and Reclamation Conference. First week of
November.
http://www.rmmlf.org/confrnce/IMP2news.pdf
10.25.09 Ontario Amends Mining Law
"Potential prospectors must also now undergo
"awareness training" before obtaining a prospecting license."
That made me giggle.
http://www.northernontariobusiness.com/Around-the-North/thisweek/Mining-Act-changes-passed-into-law205.aspx
10.25.09 Northwest Mining Association
announces November Conference
At the Nugget in Sparks, Nv.
As an added bonus, they are having a contest to vote for which miner has the
goofiest looking logo:
http://www.nwma.org/pdf/09OctBroch.pdf
10.25.09 Metal Companies Expected to
Lower Exploration Programs
for first time in seven years:
http://www.metalseconomics.com/default.htm
[Hint: that does NOT signal economic recovery].
Doug Hornig of Casey’s International Speculator Pushes rare
earth.
"...more than 90% of the world’s (rare earth) supply coming from China".
Now, China has just started their strategic supply. Nevertheless, if that figure
is right (and I have my doubts) whole lot of somebodies are indebted to China.
Heck, almost one quarter of all Idaho mining is just one rare earth metal: Moly
B. Denum is her name.
http://www.idahomining.org/ima/idmining.html
and Murkowski gets on rare earth bandwagon:
http://www.rollcall.com/features/Policy-Briefing_Energy-2009/energy_environment/39554-1.html?type=printer_friendly
too little, too late?
When politicians notice the trend, the trend is at an end.
However, the US - unlike most countries - actually has a
strategic metal supply. Look at Tantalum, for example:
The US Tantalum supply is 3 years, although it isn't being
replaced very fast:
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/News/2009/10/Pages/Tantalum-industry-in-dire-need-of-new-resources.aspx
10.25.09 Chinese purchase another miner:
Felix Resources
http://www.mining-journal.com/finance/australia-approves-chinese-take-over-of-felix
10.25.09 Another tip for Mining Due
Diligence
Look at the old drilling programs and log books.
Some of those well's which had un-economic ores may have not
been dry at all.
In fact, many of those wells may have had hot water under
pressure.
Those wells are being snapped up by Ormat, USGeothermal,
NvGeothermal, et. al
10.25.09 How to get the Hardrock Miners
Handbook
http://www.mcintoshengineering.com/HardRockMinersHandbook/tabid/76/Default.aspx
10.23.09 Why Commodity Stocks Could go
Down
basically, the other sectors have cut capacity and storage.
This has not been the case with commodities and mining stores. However, it
could be if industrial demand does not begin to pick up:
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE59M2C020091023?sp=true
10.25.09 Geological Society of America
met Last Week
Topic on Living with dynamic landscapes (volcanism)
http://www.geosociety.org/meetings/2009/
I would be interested in seeing any notes from sessions on
geothermal...
34th Mineral Law conference is next week
http://www.emlf.org/
10.23.09 Itronics makes forward progress
Clean Technology and all that!
RENO, NV, Oct 22, 2009 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX) -- Itronics
Inc. (PINKSHEETS: ITRO) (FRANKFURT: ITG) (BERLIN: ITG) announced today that its
wholly-owned subsidiary, Itronics Metallurgical, Inc., has been informed by its
distributor that GOLD'n GRO 9-0-0 Iron Man Z has been registered for sale in
California, the Company's largest market
NGD strikes again (er, at least swings the bat)
10.22.09 Mining Costs: Water and Fuel
If clean water is going to get cheaper, than so is
electricity/fuel
and hence production costs for the miners shall decrease.
seems unlikely from this chair...
If the fuel and water inputs forecast a decline in price of
such, then the junior producers should out-perform the market.
Indeed they have over the last year. Compare GSS/KGC/IAG to GFI/NEM/ABX, for example.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=nem#chart1:symbol=nem;range=1y;compare=iag+kgc+gss+auy+au+abx+gfi;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined
The smaller producers HAVE outperformed the larger ones over
the past 52 weeks. And the large miners have benefitted further from cheaper
labor.
However, that was looking back over a year. The smaller
producers appear ready to turn over, performance-wise, against their larger cap-brethern.
Just in time for oil to break out, imagine that!
And - just looking at that one chart
(perhaps simplistic, perhaps broad-brushly accurate)
Regression to the mean demands the minors and majors catch up
to each other.
My supposition is that the minor producers fade a bit, as
physical gold looks it may want to re-test 1,020.
And generally the physical should remain stronger, as the
Larger season of paper generally fades into winter of discontent.
10.22.09
Didn't you hear the NPR (national radio) this week?
Believe it was tues or wed. Topic: Toxic Waters
All about why drinking water will increasingly need more regulation and become
more costly.
They typically run these pieces as the state water commissions meet to set rates
(hint: usually up).
10.19.08 Went to the Gun Show Again
Code of the West, same promoter/circuit as usual. Now I
had heard, from here and else where, that the ammunition shortage has abated.
Wasn't my experience today. Granted, I showed up rather late, about 1pm on
Sunday. The only 9mm ammunition available was five boxes (50 rounds
ea./20$box) and a few re-loaded boxes (10-12$ each). Mostly the tables
were completely empty - sold out of ammunition.
Turns out the day before, Saturday, four mexican guys came
round with two separate six-wheel carts, the type of flatbed cart/handtruck you
find at Costco. They loaded each up, completely. That has to be at
least 2,000 boxes.
All of it was military/police caliber (38, 9mm, etc.)!
I bought some postcards...
10.17.09 Yes, Vaccinations Still Contain
Mercury
After you begin looking at CDC
‘information’ for a while, you will begin to see that CDC actually
speaks out of all 5,6540 sides of its collective mouth.
Here the CDC states that:
- Hg is present
in Thimerosal, at approximately 49% as ethylmercury.
-
Thimersol
is present in ‘the majority’ of influenza vaccines
- Thimersol may be present in
ANY vaccine at ‘trace amounts’.
- NOTE: CDC states Thimersol
contains ethylmercury. The PRODUCERS of such will typically report
in THEIR SPECIFICATION SHEET, that Hg is actually present as
sodium ethylmercuric thiosalicylate, a mercuric
salt. Ethylmercury is actually a metabolite. Further, you may be
familiar that CDC uses the broad term ethylmercury (which inlcudes a
number of mercury metabolites), rather than actually provide the
chemical compound. Either they are lazy, uninformed or
intentionally obfuscating the subject. Probably all three.
Here it is, per the CDC:
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/qa/thimerosal.htm
Note, the CDC will answer
almost all questions with both ‘Yes’ and ‘No’, each qualified of course
with run-on sentences and oddly placed dependent clauses and vague
qualifiers. You simply need to find the right webpage/spokesperson.
Further Note: Look into when
the CDC dropped ‘reportable’ amounts of thimersol and Hg. Fascinating
stuff.
I humbly suggest you consider
not linking YOUR credibility with credibility of the CDC b.c. I think
you have a lot to offer the discussion.
Further into Further, I would
love to see some double blind peer reviewed studies on ethylmercury
toxicity.
Have you any?
(and for the sake of simplicity,
I won’t even bring up variety of/and variance within, speciation
techniques).
At any rate, here are some of the studies
that are available:
http://www.fourteenstudies.org/ourstudies.html
10.16.09 On Solar Technology (how many
firms are making $ right now?)
Many are still making hype. Kinda like all those
ethanol plants - how 2006.
another mal-investment, way sunk costs, based on betting too much on the come
for the wrong technology.
another political energy play rather than a sound technical/financial play.
my call is for active Photovoltaic hardware to continue to decline in price for
the next few years, perhaps by another third.
In the interim, better to focus on passive solar when considering a home
technology, for your personal residence.
And better to focus on the environmental control hardware
from the investment side. (SCADA/Smart Tech, etc)
10.16.09 Plato Gold
http://www.platogold.com/
Trades as Trades on TSX PGC
- Nordo project
- Silver fox property in Timmins.
Just closed three financings in last month. 90million shares
outstanding. Low Cap (4.5M$USD)
Anthony Cohen, Pres, was on Stu Taylor show last week.
He mentioned the tried platitude that the best place to find gold is next to
another winning mine. He also mentioned his silver Fox exploration
project, ,on the Timmins, and strongly emphasized Apollo Gold (AGT) Black Fox
property nearby.
Wonder if he had some advance knowledge of AGT Black Fox
drill results before they were released today?
Or, carefully triangulated position/supposition.
Lucky guess?
10.15.09 Interesting New Communique from
America's top Living Economist: Martin Armstrong
http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/A-Three-Year-Old-With-a-Pocket-Calculator-Can-Figure-Out-We-Are-Screwed-10-1-09.pdf
But, are things really that dire?
How sure are you that the views you might express really
reflect your underlying corps/core beliefs - and are not unduly affected by
economists who may actively talk their book, literally.
Bad news sells better than good news.
My supposition is that Martin Armstrong (who I consider one of America's
greatest economists) might have a COMPLETELY different view/predictions if his
personal circumstances were different.
Things might look like they change fast. Think how different that truck
horn sounds in front of you versus once you past it. Much of that coriolis
effect is a time scale. Two trucks heading at each other at 60mph on the
highway, just appearing to each other after a small rise, look and sound VERY
different - and remain in each other's windshield, for a much shorter time
period than in the rear view mirror.
This collapse has been ongoing for quite some time, even if
the collapse is on a faster time scale than the Roman decay.
Relocation to foreign shores is a big decision which affects
and alters your family tree.
I have an acquaintance who is pursuing Italian citizenship
and plans to move to Italy.
His family had just come over here 90 years ago.
So, who made the mistake - his grandfather or he?
Moving from a home is often a drain on economic resources
(better to build long term wealth by staying in one house or continue to own and
rent out previous homes).
Think of the opportunity and sunken costs of moving to
different continents every three generations...
10.14.09 Please Watch out For Stolen
Coins (higher value coins)
Julian Leidman recently robbed in transit.
Nice dealer, rather free with his collected wisdom. He was actually an
underbidder on one of my coins once on ebay, pretty amazing considering the
lower end fare I typically peddle.
Anyway, the heist was in the east coast. Here is list of partial inventory
(about mid-page):
http://forums.collectors.com/messageview.cfm?catid=26&threadid=743438&STARTPAGE=3
Here is a better description of such (much of his inventory was taken).
http://juliancoin.com/usinvmain.html
Be on the lookout, esp. east coast.
Be careful out there!
10.14.09 Time to start hoarding nickel?
http://www.miningaustralia.com.au/Article/Nickel-is-the-metal-of-the-future-analyst/502202.aspx
Looks like India will be importing more steel and increase demand in the metals to do so:
http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/india/s-steel-consumptionby-57-in-april-sep-period/75931/on
10.14.09 Vancouver Olympics Au and
Ag coins
These coins are kinda goofy, but I do like the Vancouver
Olympic logo!
http://www.amark.com/button/Vancouver2010OlympicWinterGames.html
Vancouver would prove an awesome forum to begin handing our REAL gold and silver
medals.
I had wondered why some gold or silver
miner or association hasn't tried to sponsor an event, athlete, venue or
something and hand out a real silver or gold medal (while selling smaller
replicas on the side).
my sense is they have approached and the PTB at IOC shut that down in a hurry.
10.14.09 Interesting Thesis
"Any analysis of the gold price starts and ends with
investment demand."
You don't often hear that.
Let gold alert explain:
http://www.goldalert.com/stories/What-Gold-Bubble-Setting-the-Record-Straight
10.12.09 Barrick (ABX) to take over El
Morro project/mine
http://miningquarterly.com/articles/2009/10/12/news/doc4ad352a04a95b681669265.txt
NGD gets a nice bump, since they own the other 30%.
NGD released their quarterly
y-day, along with IAG and a few others.
NGD had been rather stinky swing trade, flat.
Now moves over to my core - as an operator/producer.
10.12.09 Intel reports this week, so does GE
They be keeping a mighty low expectation of GE results.
Watch it beat a (revised downward) loss by a penny and the equities scream up.
For about six hours...
10.12.09 Gold Analysis - The Macro View
Took a quick scan of about 40 gold-related sites I have
tracked over the years.
About 20 of them were forums.
Many of those are either defunct or barely used. I have not seen many new
sites take their place.
Here is the summary:
The Following are no longer extant/active posting:
- USAGold (biggest surprise)
- SI Gold
- Investors Exchange
- Financial Sense
- The Golden Pot: Sharefin stopped updating in 2008
- Investors Exchange Forum - Peaked in 2004
- Financial Sense: no longer supports a forum
- Raging Bull forum: defunct
- Bay street: less than a dozen posts in a year
- Stockhouse: still active pump and dumpers
- Goldcolony: defunct
- Redcats: couple posts a day
- G9999 gold forum: defunct
- comet gold forum gets maybe a couple posts a week
The following are improved IMO:
- Goldtent
http://goldtent.net/wp_gold/
- Goldismoney
Goldismoney has some quality discourse but in the same
annoying and awkward software/format that kitco uses.
The following seem about the same as they ever were (stagnant or reliable, your
call):
- Gold Eagle
- Kitco
Unsure (not user friendly)
- Le Metropole
- Eagle Ranch
Leave it up to you to judge this site.
I would count the bullion section over at PCGS.com and GoldvsFRN.com as the best
newcomers.
Also, Seeking Alpha - for the past year - has had more comments/discussion on
the metals than any other topic/sector.
Yet, of the 20 major gold discussion forums I just
surveyed/scanned (not including this one), that have at least a five year record
and use english as primary language, I just surmised:
12 are defunct/near dormant
2 unable to tell
2 improved
2 stagnant
2 new
Would be interesting to see what statistics/metrics any one OF YOU would use to
state any of those sites above (or this forum) are better/worse than they were
five years ago.
And, what new ones deserve coverage?
For my money, the general discussion content quality on gold/metals/mining
sector in the marketplace has DECREASED significantly in the past 7 years,
especially the last 4.
My conclusion is that the quality of gold analysis is way off from what it had
been in the golden year for economic analysis (1999-2003).
The last 3 or 4 years are markedly barren of the better analysis - across all
those 20+ sites (with forums) I track, with just a handful of exceptions.
Course, completely subjective - but I am happy with my criteria.
Also from the Kitco fourm implosion of 2006 there is an obvious movement to
suppress what had been some very penetrating analysis into global economic
collusion.
Further, probably some reluctance on part of the goldbugs to even post:
'Hey, you unemployed loser watching MSN losing your house and looking for a job
for 13months. Yeah you. Too bad you listened to the wrong
channel/politicians. I got plenty of gold/guns/grubs and you don't!"
Discretion being the better part of survival, much less valor...
10.12.09 It's COLUMBUS Day
Not indigenous peoples day or any other nonsense.
The ITALIANS named the place (the name that stuck)
To the victor goes the spoils and naming rights.
(Generally I've notice the more pc you are, the less Italian
you are)
For those that ain't Italian,
or those Canadian - Happy Thanksgiving!
now, e*trade ain't italian.
They won't transfer money between accounts WITHIN their brokerage b.c. the FED
RESERVE is closed.
Cripes, imagine the shutdowns when the real banking holidaze start in spades...
10.09.09 Last Bill Gross article was
garbage
Nice to have already made your name/money so you can now post
about your cat allergies and the colored bag one uses to scoop doggie poo.
http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Featured+Market+Commentary/IO/2009/Bill+Gross+Doo+Doo+Economics.htm
Let's face it, bond market is currently very difficult to
decipher. as these guys point out - activity is all over the map:
http://californiabondadvisor.com/generalnews.html
Note California bond/credit rating now below Louisiana!
At any rate, CA sold about 1.5 billion in bonds last week, though the hope was
for an even 2B.
yields remain fugly...
10.2.09 Will Israel and/Or US Conduct
Overt Air Strike on Israel by end of the year?
Futures market says no (but folks changed their minds a
couple times this week).
Even more interesting, the bet on Carbon Credits tanked, even
though Boxer and Kerry introduced asinine 'energy' legislation into the congress
yesterday installing all kinds of energy fees, charges and taxes.
That bet was down almost 10% today.
Still, the volume is thin and bid and ask aren't really
talking to each other.
Looks like the only sure bets in life are that Donny Osmond
is a good dancer and more troops will get slaughtered in Afghanistan...
http://www.intrade.com/
10.2.09
Brazil Blows a Bubble
right now bubbles fueled by
commodities like fuel and sugar
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-brazil-econ2-2009oct02,0,4409341.story
long term - they have the water and biodiversity (DNA stored in the
forest) to rule the planet.
you heard it here first.
10.2.09
Scripophily Hits Mainstream
Not just for financial
archaeologists anymore
http://www.siliconvalley.com/news/ci_13463162?nclick_check=1
See this guy's top ten list?
You'll know Gold has bubbled
when Newmont (NEM) and Gold Resource Corp. (GORO) are in the Top Ten!
10.2.02
Mining Headlines
Mercator and Stingray get
together
http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssIndustryMaterialsUtilitiesNews/idUSBNG46510520091002
Goldfields (GFI) invests in
itself (and their Deep South Mine)
http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssIndustryMaterialsUtilitiesNews/idUSL250429520091002
MSHA lays the finger on NEM,
blame for miner death
http://www.ktvn.com/Global/story.asp?S=11231589
...as reported, NEM previously paid $500,000 fine on this one.
moving to industrial metals...
http://www.elkodaily.com/articles/2009/10/02/news/local_news/doc4ac61c6d5d6c5705872928.txt
Mine Supt always an important position.
Mackay and Fair helped build the Comstock King coalition (along with
Flood and O'Brien) mostly based on their excellence as mining
superintendents.
10.1.09
Government Motors (GM) watches as Saturn Brand Dies on the Vine
Under the careful watch of Chief
Barry-Obama (who was out of town doing more important things,
sacrificing for the little people).
10.1.09 Dow
Down over 200 and Nasdaq Down 2%
October comes in whistling a
familiar tune...
9.27.09
Good Guru Rating Site
http://www.cxoadvisory.com/
9.24.09 As Heard on the Radio Yesterday
California had a decline in
immigration last year for the first time since WWII ended!
though i don't see that happening forever. take a look at the map sometime.
people don't keep moving indefinitely to where the weather is crappy.
There's a reason Alaska has less than a million souls...
AUS$ is fundamentally stronger too, IMO. Same with Canada, but their weather
sucks too.
You never here them complaining of overpopulation.
Canuckistan had something to gain from global warming. Too
bad for them temps been declining on this planet for the past decade.
had a looky at three big ass glaciers last week. every one of them began
retreating in the mid 1700s.
9.24.09 Mexivada!!
Here's
what i wrote on why i bought in, fundamentally - speaking:
---
5.9.08 More on solar research
Another angle to conducting due diligence: look for miners with access
to silver-tellurium - a requirement for solar panels. Mexivada is one
miner holding the resource.
http://www.mexivada.com/s/Home.asp
---
I looked for another post in my blog, but couldn't find it -
Was
whining just a month or two ago that mexivada was the all time worst
stock investment i had made in my life!!
Then the
pig triples or something and i am still underwater! (leetle amount)
So what, active solar is for the dreamers/suckers.
No shortage there...
9.24.09 How about Ghadaffi - been in
power longer than ANYONE
- Says flus are a bioweapon
- Says the kennedy assassination story stinks
- Calls the UN worthless and humiliating
Now, why do you suppose EVERY secret police org on the planet has NEVER taken
this guy on?
Heck, he just pissed all over UK (release of Lockerbie bomber) and now show up
for a cameo (first ever) and commands the floor in NYC?
getouttahere...
9.24.09 More Thoughts on Buying My House
Would do it all over again. I bought a few months after
the city declared bankruptcy. figured that was a ring the bell at the bottom
type of signal. as expected, the house has declined in value, about as much as i
thought. verrry hard to tell right now how much more decline is left. I suspect,
in general, quite a bit. however, most of the loans that defaulted around here
were sub-prime. the alt-a are a much bigger percentage in San Franciso - which
has just begun what looks like a major slump.
Would love to own a home in s.f, but would never think of being a landlord
there. my goal here is to fix the back house (mother in law cabin) and rent out.
unfortunately i don't have near the time i had hoped to fix the back house
(which i knew was a complete re-hab). so that part is going slow.
At the beginning of this spring i was a bit concerned, actually. five houses in
the immediate area were vacant.
However, three of those sold in the past 12-16 weeks and all are owner-occupied.
one of the houses had a complete rehab, by the entire extended family, in just
two or three weeks. the place next door is a rental. the last renter was there
12 years! very stable neighborhood all in all. This place will be a great
rental, especially with a spare house in the backyard.
Hope prices continue to decline, for my sake, b.c. I desire a bigger place with
acreage. but will take quite a bit of looking. price decline doesn't matter
since i sunk 30 year money into it. but mostly, b.c. I know it would cashflow
from the day i bought it. (great commuter hub - we have the best ferry station
on the bay two miles down the street).
So, I would do it all over again. plan to buy when i get the back place fixed
up. interestingly enough, when folks have been asking me about gold and mining
stocks (increasingly) I tell them to consider real estate. these were the same
folks telling me to buy a house a few years ago. they are afraid to death of RE.
funny/sad
9.25.09 On Virtual Real Estate. We now own and
operate MercuryDime.com
We have also been looking at and buying purchasing domain
names, since those prices have come WAY down.
Bought Mercurydime.com just a couple weeks ago. the domain had been in the top
18 million sites, with no work done to the page, no SEO, nothing, before i
bought it.
Now, just by putting in a very little tag/SEO text and links it jumped to top 8
million rank. Mercurydime, the search, receives like 10,0000 active
searches EVERY month.
Eventually i will build the site and sell it out. (i have six other domains i
would like to build up first).
Just called on coinmint.com.
The jokers want 20K for that domain!
(we paid under $800 for mercurydime.com)
So yeah - i am pretty high on RE, virtual or otherwise, as long as you have
water and cash flow immediately.
Where else you gonna put your$$? more physical? more guns/ammo? bonds?
Time to get right with the means of production (food/water/RE) imo.
Though - as always - hope I am wrong, and all my extended
family/friends/community do better than I...
9.24.09 Even More RE Thoughts
Nevada has been decimated. and I see LARGE percentage
declines still in the cards for Vegas and Reno bedroom communities.
Parts of many other western cities such as Portland, Seattle, S.F., have seen
some decent declines too from what I understand.
Continue to bet on having nice weather and access to fresh water = grow your own
food.
Seattle apparently just passed regs to allow two hens (no roosters) in city
proper.
Here nobody cares, goats chickens, whatever.
Oh yeah, they are re-doing all the streets and sidewalks in our city w/ stimulus
money!
We declare bankruptcy, the city looks better, the state goes down the tubes and
the CA legislature bans other cities from declaring bankruptcy!
Winning the pot with A-K-Q-J-9 of clubs...
9.24.09 Amazed how little type MERS has
received, anywhere.
Not too long ago in California one could actually own property.
Upon satisfying the loan (debt paid in full) the deed in trust, held as a
security, was transferred.
After going to MERS, most loans in Ca now simply recorded as a discharge of
lien.
downright hilarious!
9.23.09 In 1860 California population
was 100,000
and there were 100 millionaires, all made in gold mining.
The next group of millionaires made a fortune by selling and transporting
supplies and goods to the dreamers/workers.
9.23.09 For Those Crowing About Large
Gains in their Precious Metal Mining Stocks
big deal.
in 1865 Belcher mining stock went from $6 to $1,525
9.23.09 The Date the Pols Announce the
New World Government, Existence of Aliens, and Entrance into the Interplanetary
Federtion
Dec 21, 2012.
9.23.09 Motorcyclists to attempt new
world record jump
http://www.rgj.com/article/20090923/SPORTS/909230420&OAS_sitepage=news.rgj.com%2Fbreakingnews
and for a finale he will attempt to jump a Case 640 tractor over larry kudlow,
abby joseph cohen, bubby brinker and mahendra.
9.23.09 Costo to offer special: 1 year
of dehydrated food for $800
Usually $999
http://www.costco.com/Browse/Product.aspx?Prodid=11487214&whse=BC&topnav=&browse=&lang=en-US&s=1
they can smell/set a trend.
was up at b-inlaws place.
just so happens they've been buying the same brand of dehydrated food that we
have. funny.
9.22.09 The Yukon Gold Rush provides
quite the story.
What those folks did for the promise of just a few grams of yeller. Travel 3000+
miles and haul 1Ton of supplies (per RCMP) each, over a snow bound pass and
many-mile trail.
And those few that made Dawson by spring of 1898 found all the gold was spoken
for anyway.
Why didn't they just buy GLD?
the more things change...
Someone pointed out "Because gold was $18.98/oz in '98.......
10 years later t'was $18.99 .......hardly a spectacular return."
yah, hold gold for a decade and it goes up a lousy cent.
Of course, if the cent was a 1909-s, 1909sVDB, 1909S Indian Head, or even a
1908-S indian head they'll do ok over the next 100 years.
funny thing gold, doesn't move in price for 10 or 100 or 1000 years.
and yet if you bought exactly 10 years ago...
four bagger!
9.22.09 Back from a 7-night
Alaska/Inside Passage Cruise on NCL (Norewgian)
Highly recommend if you can put the time/money together.
Watching a glacier calve and icebergs float by in Glacier Bay
while looking out the 180 degree views from the Finnish Dry Sauna on Deck Twelve
is not an everyday occurrence (for me).
8.28.09
What, exactly, is the Historical Return of the
Original DJIA Twelve Stocks
I am looking for
return of $1,000 invested in the original 12 stocks that composed the
Dow Jones Industrial Index Average (DJIA, or the ‘Index’) in May 1896.
Alternately, one could use the figure of 40.94 as the starting amount
since on the first day of trading the DJIA posted the first daily
average of $40.94
Over the many years I have researched finance and economics I don't
beli |